Scott Ritter: NATO Summit Serves Up
Cringe Nothing-Burger
July 14, 2023:
Information Clearing
House
-- Upon examining the
burger, Peller looks up in exasperation,
and proclaims “Where’s the beef?”
In the aftermath of the
Vilnius-hosted NATO Summit, a
two-day affair spanning July 11-12, one
cannot help but feel that the spirit of
Clara Peller was channeled into the
President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky,
as he pored over the results of the
event, and contrasted them with the
expectations that existed going into the
summit. I don’t know how to say “Where’s
the beef” in Ukrainian, but something
like that phrase had to be coursing
through the mind of the Ukrainian
President as he examined the big
“nothing burger” that NATO had delivered
up for him.
The Vilnius Summit was intended to
showcase the alliance’s unity and
resolve in the face of the challenges
presented by Russia and the ongoing
conflict in Ukraine. There had been a
great deal of discussion prior to the
summit about the prospects of Ukrainian
membership in NATO. It was understood by
all parties that, while the conflict
between Ukraine and Russia remained in
an active phase,
Ukrainian membership was impossible,
if for no other reason that, under
Article 5 of the NATO charter, NATO
would immediately find itself in a war
with Russia which had a good chance of
going nuclear.
The working premise going into the
Vil
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nius Summit was that
NATO would empower Ukraine to carry out
a massive counteroffensive designed
to break through the Russian defenses
and drive to the Sea of Azov, thereby
severing the land bridge between Crimea
and Russia, forcing Russia to negotiate
an end to the conflict. At that
juncture, having “frozen” the conflict
on terms that would be unfavorable to
Russia, NATO would extend an invitation
to Ukraine for membership, thereby
shrouding Ukraine’s gains with Article 5
protections while effectively checking
any future Russian offensive operations.
In the weeks leading up to the
summit, Ukraine was desperately trying
to do its part, throwing its newly
constituted NATO-trained and equipped
assault brigades at prepared Russian
defenses in actions which made the
infamous “Charge of the Light Brigade”
seem like the epitome of military
planning and execution by comparison.
With much of its NATO-provided weaponry,
including the much-touted Leopard tanks
and Bradley infantry fighting vehicles,
destroyed or damaged without ever
reaching the main Russian defensive
positions, and some 20,000 Ukrainian
casualties, the Ukrainian
counteroffensive fizzled out. Instead of
presenting his NATO partners with a
decisive Ukrainian victory, Zelensky
confronted his erstwhile allies with the
harsh reality that not only would the
conflict with Russia not be ending any
time soon, but also the growing
realization that, when it did end, it
would be as a decisive Russian military
victory.
Confronted with this reality, NATO
sought to soften expectations about
Ukrainian membership. Rather than
provide Ukraine with a concrete road map
to membership, NATO declared that it
would extend an invitation to Ukraine
when “conditions are met”, one of which
is that the conflict with Russia must be
over. NATO offered up as a consolation
prize the establishment of a
NATO-Ukraine Council “to advance
political dialogue, engagement,
cooperation, and Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic
aspirations for membership in NATO,” and
promised to “continue our support for as
long as it takes.”
For Zelensky, these words ring hollow
in the face of a deteriorating situation
on a battlefield largely defined by the
previous support of NATO. And the harsh
reality of the battlefield looms large
as Zelensky departs Vilnius with little
more than assurances that NATO will
continue to support Ukraine along the
lines of what it has done to date. But
all that this support has done is
condemn hundreds of thousands of
Ukrainian soldiers to death, while
stripping bare both the armories and
coffers of Ukraine’s NATO partners.
Zelensky must likewise reflect on the
words of President Joe Biden who, in an
interview with CNN, noted that Ukraine
was “not ready for membership in NATO,”
adding that any such dialogue was
“premature” while Ukraine was in the
middle of a conflict. Biden also stated
that he did not “think there is
unanimity in NATO about whether or not
to bring Ukraine into the NATO family
now, and that the process could take
place only after a peace agreement with
Russia was in place.”