| Fomenting a War on Iran
Juan Cole
08/29/04 "ICH" -- Here is my take on the Lawrence
Franklin espionage scandal in the Pentagon.
It is an echo of the one-two punch secretly planned by the pro-Likud
faction in the Department of Defense. First, Iraq would be taken
out by the United States, and then Iran. David Wurmser, a
key member of the group, also wanted Syria included. These pro-Likud
intellectuals concluded that 9/11 would give them carte blanche
to use the Pentagon as Israel's Gurkha regiment, fighting
elective wars on behalf of Tel Aviv (not wars that really needed
to be fought, but wars that the Likud coalition thought it would
be nice to see fought so as to increase Israel's ability to
annex land and act aggressively, especially if someone else's
boys did the dying).
Franklin is a reserve Air Force colonel and former Defense
Intelligence Agency analyst. He was an attache at the US embassy
in Tel Aviv at one point, which some might now see as
suspicious. After the Cold War ended, Franklin became concerned
with Iran as a threat to Israel and the US, and learned a little
Persian (not very much--I met him once at a conference and he
could only manage a few halting phrases of Persian). Franklin
has a strong Brooklyn accent and says he is "from the
projects." I was told by someone at the Pentagon that he is
not Jewish, despite his strong association with the
predominantly Jewish neoconservatives. I know that he is very
close to Paul Wolfowitz. He seems a canny man and a political
operator, and if he gave documents to AIPAC it was not an act of
simple stupidity, as some observers have suggested. It was part
of some clever scheme that became too clever by half.
Franklin moved over to the Pentagon from DIA, where he became the
Iran expert, working for Bill Luti and Undersecretary of Defense
for Planning, Douglas Feith. He was the "go to" person
on Iran for Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz, and for
Feith. This situation is pretty tragic, since Franklin is not a
real Iranist. His main brief appears to have been to find ways
to push a policy of overthrowing its government (apparently once
Iraq had been taken care of). This project has been pushed by
the shadowy eminence grise, Michael Ledeen, for many years, and
Franklin coordinated with Ledeen in some way. Franklin was also
close to Harold
Rhode, a long-time Middle East specialist in the Defense
Department who has cultivated far right pro-Likud cronies for
many years, more or less establishing a cell within the
Department of Defense.
UPI via Dawn
reports,
' An UPI report said another under-investigation official Mr
Rhode "practically lived out of (Ahmad) Chalabi's
office". Intelligence sources said that CIA operatives
observed Mr Rhode as being constantly on his cell phone to
Israel, discussing US plans, military deployments, political
projects and a discussion of Iraq assets. '
Josh
Marshall et al. have just published a piece in the Washington
Monthly that details Franklin's meetings with corrupt
Iranian arms dealer and con man Manuchehr Ghorbanifar, who had
in the 1980s played a key role in the Iran-contra scandal. It is
absolutely key that the meetings were attended also by Rhode,
Ledeen and the head of Italy's military intelligence agency,
SISMI, Nicolo Pollari, as well as Rome's Minister of Defense,
Antonio Martino.
The rightwing government of corrupt billionnaire Silvio
Berlusconi, including Martino, was a big supporter of an Iraq
war. Moreover, we know that the forged documents falsely
purporting to show Iraqi uranium purchases from Niger originated
with a former SISMI agent. Watch the reporting of Josh
Marshall for more on this SISMI/Ledeen/Rhode connection.
But journalist Matthew
Yglesias has already tipped us to a key piece of
information. The Niger forgeries also try to implicate Iran.
Indeed, the idea of a joint Iraq/Iran nuclear plot was so
far-fetched that it is what initially made the Intelligence and
Research division of the US State Department suspicious of the
forgeries, even before the discrepancies of dates and officials
in Niger were noticed. Yglesisas quotes from the Senate report
on the alleged Iraqi attempt to buy uranium from Niger:
' The INR [that's State Department intelligence] nuclear
analyst told the Committee staff that the thing that stood out
immediately about the [forged] documents was that a companion
document -- a document included with the Niger documents that
did not relate to uranium -- mentioned some type of military
campaign against major world powers. The members of the
alleged military campaign included both Iraq and Iran and was,
according to the documents, being orchestrated through the
Nigerien [note: that's not the same as Nigerian] Embassy in
Rome, which all struck the analyst as "completely
implausible." Because the stamp on this document matched
the stamp on the uranium document [the stamp was supposed to
establish the documents bona fides], the analyst thought that
all of the documents were likely suspect. The analyst was
unaware at the time of any formatting problems with the
documents or inconsistencies with the names or dates. '
Journalist
Eric Margolis notes of SISMI:
SISMI has long been notorious for far right, even neo-fascist,
leanings. According to Italian judicial investigators, SISMI
was deeply involved in numerous plots against Italy’s
democratic government, including the 1980 Bologna train
station terrorist bombing that left 85 dead and 200 injured.
Senior SISMI officers were in cahoots with celebrated swindler
Roberto Calvi, the neo-fascist P2 Masonic Lodge, other extreme
rightist groups trying to destabilize Italy, the Washington
neocon operative, Michael Ledeen, and the Iran-Contra
conspirators. SISMI works hand in glove with US, British and
Israeli intelligence. In the 1960’s and 70’s, SISMI
reportedly carried out numerous operations for CIA, including
bugging the Vatican, the Italian president’s palace, and
foreign embassies. Italy’s civilian intelligence service,
SISDE, associated with Italy’s political center-left, has
long been a bitter rival of SISMI. After CIA rejected the
Niger file, it was eagerly snapped up by VP Dick Cheney and
his chief of staff, Lewis Libby, who were urgently seeking any
reason, no matter how specious, to invade Iraq. Cheney passed
the phony data to Bush, who used it in his January, 2003
address to the nation in spite of warnings from CIA . . .
So Franklin, Ledeen, and Rhode, all of them pro-Likud
operatives, just happen to be meeting with SISMI (the
proto-fascist purveyor of the false Niger uranium story about
Iraq and the alleged Iran-Iraq plot against the rest of the
world) and corrupt Iranian businessman and would-be
revolutionary, Ghorbanifar, in Europe. The most reasonable
conclusion is that they were conspiring together about the Next
Campaign after Iraq, which they had already begun setting in
train, which is to get Iran.
But now The
Jerusalem Post reveals that at least one of the meetings was
quite specific with regard to an attempt to torpedo better
US/Iran relations:
The purpose of the meeting with Ghorbanifar was to undermine a
pending deal that the White House had been negotiating with
the Iranian government. At the time, Iran had considered
turning over five al-Qaida operatives in exchange for
Washington dropping its support for Mujahadeen Khalq, an
Iraq-based rebel Iranian group listed as a terrorist
organization by the State Department.
The Neoconservatives have some sort of shadowy relationship with
the Mojahedin-e Khalq Organization or MEK. Presumably its
leaders have secretly promised to recognize Israel if they ever
succeed in overthrowing the ayatollahs in Iran. When the US
recently categorized the MEK as a terrorist organization, there
were howls of outrage from scholars associated with the
Washington Institute for Near East Policy (a wing of AIPAC),
such as Patrick Clawson and Daniel Pipes. MEK is a
terrorist organization by any definition of the term, having
blown up innocent people in the course of its struggle against
the Khomeini government. (MEK is a cult-like mixture of Marx and
Islam). The MEK had allied with Saddam, who gave them bases in
Iraq from which to hit Iran. When the US overthrew Saddam, it
raised the question of what to do with the MEK. The pro-Likud
faction in the Pentagon wanted to go on developing their
relationship with the MEK and using it against Tehran.
So it transpires that the Iranians were willing to give up 5 key
al-Qaeda operatives, whom they had captured, in return for MEK
members.
Franklin, Rhode and Ledeen conspired with Ghorbanifar and SISMI
to stop that trade. It would have led to better US-Iran
relations, which they wanted to forestall, and it would have
damaged their proteges, the MEK.
Since high al-Qaeda operatives like Saif al-Adil and possibly
even Saad Bin Laden might know about future operations, or the
whereabouts of Bin Laden, for Franklin and Rhode to stop the
trade grossly endangered the United States.
The FBI has evidence that Franklin passed a draft presidential
directive on Iran to AIPAC, which then passed it to the
Israelis. The FBI is construing these actions as espionage or
something close to it. But that is like getting Al Capone on tax
evasion. Franklin was not giving the directive to AIPAC in order
to provide them with information. He was almost certainly
seeking feedback from them on elements of it. He was asking,
"Do you like this? Should it be changed in any way?"
And, he might also have been prepping AIPAC for the lobbying
campaign scheduled for early in 2005, when Congress will have to
be convinced to authorize military action, or at least covert
special operations, against Iran. AIPAC probably passed the
directive over to Israel for the same reason--not to inform, but
to seek input. That is, AIPAC and Israel were helping write US
policy toward Iran, just as they had played a key role in
fomenting the Iraq war.
With both Iraq and Iran in flames, the Likud Party could do as
it pleased in the Middle East without fear of reprisal. This
means it could expel the Palestinians from the West Bank to
Jordan, and perhaps just give Gaza back to Egypt to keep Cairo
quiet. Annexing southern Lebanon up to the Litani River, the
waters of which Israel has long coveted, could also be
undertaken with no consequences, they probably think, once
Hizbullah in Lebanon could no longer count on Iranian support.
The closed character of the economies of Iraq and Iran,
moreover, would end, allowing American, Italian and British
companies to make a killing after the wars (so they thought).
Franklin's movements reveal the contours of a rightwing
conspiracy of warmongering and aggression, an orgy of
destruction, for the benefit of the Likud Party, of Silvio
Berlusconi's business in the Middle East, and of the
Neoconservative Right in the United States. It isn't about
spying. It is about conspiring to conscript the US government on
behalf of a foreign power or powers.
Juan Cole is Professor of History at the University of
Michigan
Reprinted with permission www.juancole.com
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