Trump's
National Security Adviser Facilitated the Murder of
Civilians in Afghanistan
By Gareth Porter
November 25,
2016 "Information
Clearing House"
- "Real
News"
-
After retired Lt. Gen. Michael J. Flynn spoke at the
Republican National Convention, The Washington Post
captured the
prevailing media view of Flynn in the headline: “He
was one of the most respected intel officers of his
generation. Now he’s leading ‘Lock her up’ chants.”
Now that
President-elect Donald Trump has chosen Flynn as his
national security adviser, media coverage has given
prominence to the more serious issue of Flynn’s
denunciation of Islam as a “cancer” and other
manifestations of his embrace of Islamophobia. But the
mainstream media view of Flynn’s military record ignores
his pivotal role in devising a targeting scheme that was
the basis for an indiscriminate Joint Special Operations
Command (JSOC) campaign of killing and incarcerating
Afghans suspected of being in the Taliban insurgency.
The corporate media, which have never examined that dark
chapter in the history of the Afghanistan war
critically, have long treated the campaign as one of the
few success stories of the war.
But as an
investigation published by Truthout in 2011
revealed, the target list that JSOC used for its
“night raids” and other operations to kill supposed
Taliban was based on a fundamentally flawed methodology
that was inherently incapable of distinguishing between
Taliban insurgents and civilians who had only tangential
contacts with the Taliban organization. And it was Flynn
who devised that methodology.
The “night
raids” on Afghan homes based on Flynn’s methodology
caused so much Afghan anger toward Americans that Gen.
Stanley A. McChrystal, the US commander in Afghanistan,
acknowledged the problem of Afghan antagonism toward the
entire program publicly in a March 2010 directive.
The system that
led to that Afghan outrage began to take shape in Iraq
in 2006, when Flynn, then-intelligence chief for JSOC,
developed a new methodology for identifying and locating
al-Qaeda and Shia Mahdi Army members in Iraq. Flynn
revealed the technologies used in Iraq in an
unclassified article published in 2008.
At the center
of the system was what Flynn called the “Unblinking
Eye,” referring to 24-hour drone surveillance of
specific locations associated with “known and suspected
terrorist sites and individuals.” The drone surveillance
was then used to establish a “pattern of life analysis,”
which was the main tool used to determine whether to
strike the target. We now know from reports of drone
strikes in Pakistan that killed entire groups of
innocent people that “pattern of life analysis” is
frequently a matter of guesswork that is completely
wrong.
Flynn’s
unclassified article also revealed that “SIGINT”
(signals intelligence), i.e., the monitoring of cell
phone metadata, and “geo-location” of phones were the
other two major tools used in Flynn’s system of
targeting military strikes. JSOC was using links among
cell phones to identify suspected insurgents.
Flynn’s article
suggested that the main emphasis in intelligence for
targeting in Iraq was on providing analysis of the
aerial surveillance visual intelligence on a target to
help decide in real time whether to carry out a strike
on it.
But when
McChrystal took command of US forces in Afghanistan in
mid-2009 and took Flynn with him as his intelligence
chief, Flynn’s targeting methodology changed
dramatically. JSOC had already begun to carry out “night
raids” in Afghanistan – usually attacks on private homes
in the middle of the night – and McChrystal wanted to
increase the tempo of those raids. The number of night
raids
increased from 20 per month in May 2009 to 90 per
month six months later. It reached an average of
more than 100 a month in the second half of 2009 and
the first half of 2010.
At this point,
the targets were no longer Taliban commanders and
higher-ups in the organization. They included people
allegedly doing basic functions such as logistics,
bomb-making and propaganda.
In order to
rapidly build up the highly secret “kill/capture” list
(called the “Joint Prioritized Effects List,” or JPEL)
to meet McChrystal’s demands for more targets, Flynn
used a technique called “link analysis.” This technique
involved the use of software that allowed intelligence
analysts to see the raw data from drone surveillance and
cell phone data transformed instantly into a “map” of
the insurgent “network.” That “map” of each network
associated with surveillance of a location became the
basis for adding new names to the JPEL.
Flynn could
increase the number of individual “nodes” on that map by
constantly adding more cell phone metadata for the
computer-generated “map” of the insurgency. Every time
JSOC commandos killed or captured someone, they took
their cell phones to add their metadata to the database.
And US intelligence also gathered cell phone data from
the population of roughly 3,300 suspected insurgents
being held in the Afghan prison system, who were allowed
to use mobile phones freely in their cells.
What the
expansion of cell phone data surveillance meant was that
an ever-greater proportion of the targets on Flynn’s
“kill/capture list” were not identified at all, except
as mobile phone numbers. As Matthew Hoh, who served as
the senior US civilian official in Zabul Province until
he quit in protest in September 2009, explained to me,
“When you are relying on cell phones for intelligence,
you don’t get the names of those targeted.”
What made
Flynn’s methodology for expanding the kill/capture list
even riskier was that there was no requirement for any
effort to establish the actual identity of the targets
listed as cell phone numbers in order to guard against
mistakes.
Using such a
methodology in the Afghan sociopolitical context
guaranteed that a high proportion of those on the
kill/capture list were innocent civilians. As former
deputy to the European Union special representative to
Afghanistan Michael Semple (one of the few genuine
experts in the world on the Taliban movement) explained
to me, most Afghans in the Pashtun south and east of
Afghanistan “have a few Taliban commander numbers saved
to their mobile phone contacts” as a “survival
mechanism.”
Nader Nadery, a
commissioner of the Afghanistan Independent Human Rights
Commission in 2010, estimated that the total civilian
deaths for all 73 night raids about which the commission
had complaints that year was 420. But the commission
acknowledged that it didn’t have access to most of the
districts dominated by the Taliban. So the actual
civilian toll may well have been many times that number
– meaning that civilians may have accounted for more
than half of the 2,000 alleged “Taliban” killed in
JSOC’s operations in 2010.
The percentage
of innocent people among those who were captured and
incarcerated was even higher. In December 2010, the US
command in Afghanistan leaked to a friendly blogger that
4,100 “Taliban” had been captured in the previous six
months. But an unclassified February 5, 2011, internal
document of the Combined Joint Inter-Agency Task Force
responsible for detention policy in Afghanistan, which I
obtained later in 2011, showed that only 690 Afghans
were admitted to the US detention facility at Parwan
during that six-month period. Twenty percent of those
were later released upon review of their files. So
alleged evidence of participation in the Taliban
insurgency could not have existed for more than 552
people at most, or 14 percent of the total number said
to have been captured. But many of those 552 were
undoubtedly innocent as well.
Michael Flynn’s
role in the JSOC’s killing and capturing of Afghans in
2009 and 2010 earned him a promotion to lieutenant
general in September 2011, and the following April,
President Obama nominated him to become director of the
Defense Intelligence Agency. Those rewards might give us
the impression that he did a splendid job in
Afghanistan.
In reality,
however, Flynn committed serious offenses against
Afghans and against the interests of all Americans. His
actions should have been a bar to holding the position
he has now been given. Instead, it appears, he has been
rewarded once again for his role in creating a system of
indiscriminate murder in Afghanistan.
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