The
Russia-Iran Strategic Game-Changer
By Pepe
Escobar
August 24,
2016 "Information
Clearing House"
- "SCF"
-
Russian Tu-22M3 Backfire bombers – as well as
Sukhoi-34 fighter bombers – leave from the Iranian
Hamadan airfield to bomb jihadis and assorted
«moderate rebels» in Syria, and immediately we’ve
got ourselves a major, unforeseen geopolitical
game-changer.
The record
shows that Russia has not been present militarily in
Iran since 1946; and this is the first time since
the 1979 Islamic Revolution that Iran allowed
another nation to use Iranian territory for a
military operation.
Bets could be
made the Pentagon would, predictably, freak out like
a bunch of pampered, irate teens. They did not
disappoint, complaining that Russia’s advance
warning did not allow enough time to «prepare» – as
in blaring all across the planet another episode of
«Russian aggression», on top of it in cahoots with
«the mullahs». Further desperation ensued, with
Washington claiming Iran might have violated UN
Security Council resolutions.
Moscow’s spin,
in contrast, was a beauty; this was all about
logistics and cost cutting. Admiral Vladimir
Komoyedov, chair of the State Duma’s Defense
Committee and a former commander of the Black Sea
Fleet, gave a lovely explanation of the modus
operandi:
«It is
expensive and takes a long time to fly from bases in
the European part of Russia. The issue of the cost
of military combat activities is, at present, a
priority. We must not go over the current Defense
Ministry budget. Flying Tu-22s from Iran means using
less fuel and carrying larger payloads... Russia
won’t be able to find a friendlier and more
suitable, from the point of view of security,
country in that part of the world, and strikes must
be carried out if we want to end this war...
Airfields in Syria are not suitable because of the
constant [need for] flying over areas of combat
activities».
Don’t mess
with the SCO
All fine and
dandy then. The Pentagon will keep crying foul.
Enraged Zionists in Israel and fanatic Wahhabis in
Saudi Arabia will throw tantrums and turbo-charge
the proverbial «Iranian existential threat» to
apocalyptic levels. Whatever. These «facts in the
skies» cannot be altered. Especially because if they
open the way for a decisive victory in the battle
for East Aleppo, the foreign-imposed Syrian civil
war will be all but over.
Ali Shamkhani,
head of Iran’s National Security Council, made
no mistake this is all about Iran-Russia
strategic cooperation in a – real – fight against
ISIS/ISIL/Daesh terror, and not, as spun by Western
corporate media, the return of Iran as a «military
asset» of a great power.
Iraqi
Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, for his part, stressed, «I
allowed the bombers to fly over because we received
clear information about them. They make precise
strikes, avoid casualties among civilians. So, we
will consider all the requests concerning security
of civilians in Syria».
This was code
for Baghdad coolly allowing Russian access through
Iraqi airspace for the TU-22M3 bombers. Next
inevitable step would be the Russian Caspian fleet
launching cruise missiles over Iranian and Iraqi
airspace towards those Beltway-protected «rebels» in
Syria.
And there’s
more, much more.
A 2015
Moscow-Damascus agreement has now been ratified by
Russia. That, in effect, turns the Russian air base
at Khmeimim into a permanent military base in the
eastern Mediterranean.
Beijing and
Damascus, for their part, have just agreed on closer
military ties on top of Chinese humanitarian aid.
Syrian Arab Army personnel will eventually be
trained by Chinese military instructors.
Beijing is now
directly involved in Syria for a key national
security reason; hundreds of Uyghurs have joined
Daesh or follow al-Qaeda goon Abu Muhammad al-Julani,
the much-appreciated-in-the Beltway leader of the
Army of Syrian Conquest – and may eventually return
to Xinjiang to wage jihad.
And then,
there’s the absolutely delicious cherry in the
cheesecake, as professor of Middle East Studies at
Shanghai International Studies University, Zhao
Weiming, told the Global
Times; Beijing’s new power play in Syria is payback
for Pentagon interference in the South China Sea.
So what will
Hillary do?
All of the
above points to the new look of what used to be a
white elephant in the room; the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization (SCO) now means serious business.
As the «4+1»
(Russia, Iran, Iraq, Syria, plus Hezbollah) started
to share intel and operation procedures last year,
including a coordination center in Baghdad, analysts
such as Alistair Cooke and myself saw it as en
embryo of the SCO in action. This was definitely,
already, an alternative to NATO’s «humanitarian»
imperialism and regime change obsession. For the
first time NATO was not free anymore to roam around
the world like an out-of-control Robocop. Even
though only Russia and China were SCO members, and
Iran an observer, the cooperation involved – at the
request of a government fighting jihadis and still a
target for regime change – already qualified as a
major, new geopolitical fact on the ground.
Now, this
variant of the New Silk Roads – New Silk Airways? –
involving Russia, Iran, Iraq and Syria and precisely
targeting Salafi-jihadism, qualifies once again as
accelerated Eurasia integration. Both SCO
heavyweights China and Russia will not only admit
Iran as a full member as early as next year; they
know Iran is a key strategic asset in a battle
against NATO, and they will never let Syria become
the new Libya. In parallel, Russia’s strategic moves
in Crimea and Syria are set to be dissected in
excruciating detail in Chinese military academies.
Eurasia
integration is being progressively intertwined with
the SCO.
Whatever Tel
Aviv and Riyadh – with their massive Washington
lobbies – may fear about Russian-Iranian security
cooperation, it’s NATO that’s livid. And much more
than NATO, Hillary «Queen of War» Clinton.
The record
shows Hillary with a severe crush on Assad to be
dispatched the Gaddafi way. In the event of a
Hillary presidency, bets can be made she will force
the Pentagon to impose a no-fly zone in northern
Syria and weaponize assorted «rebel» remnants to
Kingdom Come.
And then
there’s Iran. During the 2008 US presidential
campaign, I was on the floor as Hillary addressed
the AIPAC conference in Washington, a truly
frightening spectacle. Using the – false – premise
of an Iranian attack on Israel, she said, «I
want the Iranians to know that if I’m president, we
will attack Iran. In the next 10 years, during which
they might foolishly consider launching an attack on
Israel, we would be able to totally obliterate
them».
Oh really?
Over Russia-Iran strategic cooperation? Over a
progressively integrated SCO? Bring it on, Queen of
War.
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