August 04,
2016 "Information
Clearing House"
- With Democrats howling that Vladimir Putin hacked
into and leaked those 19,000 DNC emails to help
Trump, the Donald had a brainstorm: Maybe the
Russians can retrieve Hillary Clinton’s lost emails.
Not funny,
and close to “treasonous,” came the shocked cry.
Trump then
told the New York Times that a Russian incursion
into Estonia need not trigger a U.S. military
response.
Even more
shocking. By suggesting the U.S. might not honor its
NATO commitment, under Article 5, to fight Russia
for Estonia, our foreign-policy elites declaimed,
Trump has undermined the security architecture that
has kept the peace for 65 years.
More
interesting, however, was the reaction of Middle
America. Or, to be more exact, the nonreaction.
Americans seem neither shocked nor horrified. What
does this suggest?
Behind the
war guarantees America has issued to scores of
nations in Europe, the Mideast and Asia since 1949,
the bedrock of public support that existed during
the Cold War has crumbled.
We got a
hint of this in 2013. Barack Obama, claiming his
“red line” against any use of poison gas in Syria
had been crossed, found he had no public backing for
air and missile strikes on the Assad regime.
The country
rose up as one and told him to forget it. He did.
We have
been at war since 2001. And as one looks on the
ruins of Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya and Yemen,
and adds up the thousands dead and wounded and
trillions sunk and lost, can anyone say our War
Party has served us well?
On bringing
Estonia into NATO, no Cold War president would have
dreamed of issuing so insane a war guarantee.
Eisenhower
refused to intervene to save the Hungarian rebels.
JFK refused to halt the building of the Berlin Wall.
LBJ did nothing to impede the Warsaw Pact’s crushing
of the Prague Spring. Reagan never considered moving
militarily to halt the smashing of Solidarity.
Were all
these presidents cringing isolationists?
Rather,
they were realists who recognized that, though we
prayed the captive nations would one day be free, we
were not going to risk a world war, or a nuclear
war, to achieve it. Period.
In 1991,
President Bush told Ukrainians that any declaration
of independence from Moscow would be an act of
“suicidal nationalism.”
Today,
Beltway hawks want to bring Ukraine into NATO. This
would mean that America would go to war with Russia,
if necessary, to preserve an independence Bush I
regarded as “suicidal.”
Have we
lost our minds?
The first
NATO supreme commander, Gen. Eisenhower, said that
if U.S. troops were still in Europe in 10 years,
NATO would be a failure. In 1961, he urged JFK to
start pulling U.S. troops out, lest Europeans become
military dependencies of the United States.
Was Ike not
right? Even Barack Obama today riffs about the “free
riders” on America’s defense.
Is it
really so outrageous for Trump to ask how long the
U.S. is to be responsible for defending rich
Europeans who refuse to conscript the soldiers or
pay the cost of their own defense, when Eisenhower
was asking that same question 55 years ago?
In 1997,
geostrategist George Kennan warned that moving NATO
into Eastern Europe “would be the most fateful error
of American policy in the post-Cold War era.” He
predicted a fierce nationalistic Russian response.
Was Kennan
not right? NATO and Russia are today building up
forces in the eastern Baltic where no vital U.S.
interests exist, and where we have never fought
before – for that very reason.
There is no
evidence Russia intends to march into Estonia, and
no reason for her to do so. But if she did, how
would NATO expel Russian troops without air and
missile strikes that would devastate that tiny
country?
And if we
killed Russians inside Russia, are we confident
Moscow would not resort to tactical atomic weapons
to prevail? After all, Russia cannot back up any
further. We are right in her face.
On this
issue Trump seems to be speaking for the silent
majority and certainly raising issues that need to
be debated.
How long
are we to be committed to go to war to defend the
tiny Baltic republics against a Russia that could
overrun them in 72 hours?
When, if
ever, does our obligation end? If it is eternal, is
not a clash with a revanchist and anti-American
Russia inevitable?
Are U.S.
war guarantees in the Baltic republics even
credible?
If the Cold
War generations of Americans were unwilling to go to
war with a nuclear-armed Soviet Union over Hungary
and Czechoslovakia, are the millennials ready to
fight a war with Russia over Estonia?
Needed now
is diplomacy.
The
trade-off: Russia ensures the independence of the
Baltic republics that she let go. And NATO gets out
of Russia’s face.
Should
Russia dishonor its commitment, economic sanctions
are the answer, not another European war.
Patrick
J. Buchanan is co-founder and editor of
The American
Conservative. He is also the author of seven
books, including Where the Right Went Wrong, and
Churchill, Hitler, and the Unnecessary War. His
latest book is Suicide of a Superpower: Will America
Survive to 2025? See
his website.
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