US
Could Lose Ability For Global Dominance, DoD
Paper Says
By RT
July
31, 2016 "Information
Clearing House"
- "RT"
-
By 2035, the US could find itself in an
environment where Russia or China may match or
even exceed the West’s military and economic
might in some areas, taking advantage of a
“disordered and contested world,” the Pentagon’s
research unit said.
In just 20 years, the US and its allies will
live in a world where shaping a global order the
way they have since the end of the Cold War
would be increasingly difficult, if not
impossible, Pentagon’s research division, the
Defense Technical Information Center (DTIC),
warned in a new foresight report.
“The future world order will see a number of
states with the political will, economic capacity,
and military capabilities to compel change at the
expense of others,” reads the
paper entitled “The Joint Force in a
Contested and Disordered World.”
“Rising powers including for example, China,
Russia, India, Iran, or Brazil have increasingly
expressed dissatisfaction with their roles, access,
and authorities within the current international
system,” it states.
“Russia will modernize its land, air, and
sea-based intercontinental nuclear forces” and
make use of deterrent operations such as “snap
nuclear exercises, bomber flights, and strategic
reconnaissance overflights into US territory,”
the Pentagon’s researchers predict.
The report admits Russia and China are among
countries dissatisfied “with the current
Western-derived notion of international order.”
Russia, China, India, and others, labeled
“revisionist states” in the report, would promote
alternate international alliances, while the West’s
shrinking resources would also have an impact on
Washington’s dominance across the globe.
“Although seemingly insignificant today,
organizations such as the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization and the Eurasian Economic Union could
grow as China, Russia, India, and others turn to
these multinational groups to reorder international
rules in their favor.”
“Demographic and fiscal pressures will
continue to challenge NATO’s capacity and
capability,” the paper warns.
“In Asia,
perceptions of reduced US commitment may encourage
current allies and partners to pursue unilateral
military modernization efforts or explore
alternative alliances and partnerships.”
However, though the Pentagon’s report states that
“no power or coalition of powers has yet emerged
to openly oppose US global influence and reach,”
it claims “the United
States will operate in a world in which its overall
economic and military power, and that of its allies
and partners, may not grow as quickly as potential
competitors.”
A
number of states “can generate military
advantages locally in ways that match or even exceed
that of the Joint Force and its partners,”
while American technological superiority
“will be met by asymmetric,
unconventional, and hybrid responses from
adversaries.”
Offering a vision of the
world in 2035, the paper says in
conclusion it is unclear if the US
“can be
simultaneously proficient at addressing
contested norms and persistent disorder
with currently projected capabilities,
operational approaches, and fiscal
resources.”
“There may be times when it is more
appropriate to manage global security
problems as opposed to undertaking
expensive efforts to comprehensively
solve them.”
Moscow has repeatedly denied allegations
of it harboring global ambitions as
opposed to that of the US.
Russia “is not
aspiring for hegemony or any ephemeral
status of a superpower,” President
Vladimir Putin said at the St.
Petersburg International Economic Forum
last year, adding:
“We do not act
aggressively. We have started to defend
our interests more persistently and
consistently."
Earlier this year, Russia adopted a new
edition of its foreign policy doctrine,
which mentions a shift towards a
multipolar and a “polycentric”
world.
“A transition to
polycentric architecture should be
ideally based on the interaction of
leading centers of power,”
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov
said in April. He added however, that he
was not sure if that was achievable.
It is unacceptable to slander, smear or engage in personal attacks on authors of articles posted on ICH.
Those engaging in that behavior will be banned from the comment section.
In accordance
with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, this material
is distributed without profit to those who have
expressed a prior interest in receiving the
included information for research and educational
purposes. Information Clearing House has no
affiliation whatsoever with the originator of
this article nor is Information ClearingHouse
endorsed or sponsored by the originator.)