Campaign
2016: The Two-party System Loses Credibility
By Nat
Parry
June 08,
2016 "Information
Clearing House"
- "Essential
Opinion
" -
For generations, the U.S. public has largely
accepted that the two-party system was the best we
could hope for: while perhaps not perfect, this
particular brand of democracy – dominated since the
1800s by the Democratic and Republican parties – is
certainly more democratic than the one-party
communist dictatorships of China or North Korea, and
is probably more stable than the multi-party
parliamentary systems seen in Europe.
Yet, many
of us struggle every election cycle with a nagging
feeling that there is something wrong with a system
that limits electoral choices to just two political
parties but provides consumer choices so expansive
as to border on bewildering. How is it, we wonder,
that when we go into a voting booth our choices are
limited to “A” and “B” but when we walk into a
grocery store, we must choose between 15 varieties
of toothpaste?
As the late
great historian Howard Zinn once sardonically
said, “we have two parties, and this proves we
have democracy, though two parties is only one more
than one party!”
It’s a good
point, actually. While a one-party state would not
be considered democratic by any standards, somehow
the U.S. two-party system – with only one more party
than a one-party system – is touted as the crown
jewel of the world’s
oldest constitutional republic. But despite
misgivings over the lack of choice in the general
election, the two-party system’s saving grace has
long been the ability of voters to influence the
nomination process of these two parties.
Through the
primary process, defenders of the two-party system
point out, the people are empowered to determine the
leaders of the parties and therefore shouldn’t
complain when the choices end up being between a
giant douche and a turd sandwich, as “South Park” so
eloquently
described the situation in a brilliantly
subversive critique of Election 2004.
That has
always made some degree of sense, deflating
criticisms of the two-party system and enhancing its
democratic legitimacy to large degree, but what has
transpired in Campaign 2016 significantly calls into
question some of the underlying assumptions of this
argument. While the trends that we have seen this
year may have existed in previous election cycles,
the impacts that they are having in plain sight are
leading many to question the basic legitimacy of
this system.
First of
all, the ability of party elites to manipulate the
process by placing a “thumb on the scale” has more
clearly come into focus, highlighting the unfairness
to “populists” who don’t enjoy support from powerful
party insiders.
On the
Democratic side, before a primary vote had even been
cast, Bernie Sanders was severely disadvantaged by
the support that so-called “superdelegates” had
expressed for his rival Hillary Clinton, with the
media routinely reporting her superdelegate
advantage despite the fact that these individuals
had not voted yet – which only happens at the party
convention in the summer.
At the time
of the first “Super Tuesday” in early March, the
race was a dead heat in terms of pledged delegates
(i.e. the delegates selected by regular voters in
primaries and caucuses), but because Clinton had
already racked
up support from at least 459 superdelegates (the
handful of party insiders who are given a
disproportionate voice in the nominating process at
the Democratic National Convention), she was
routinely reported as being ahead of Sanders in the
overall delegate count by 503-70.
So, from
the beginning, Clinton effectively had what appeared
as a seemingly insurmountable lead in the delegate
count. This contributed to what was always Clinton’s
main advantage: the perceived inevitability of her
candidacy as the Democratic Party’s anointed nominee
and as the natural successor to President Barack
Obama. Sanders has had to struggle the whole
campaign season against this deficit in both
delegate count and public perception, a task that
was not helped by a media establishment
systematically sidelining him.
Anecdotal
evidence from the beginning of the campaign seemed
to indicate that there was something amiss when it
came to media coverage, with Sanders’ campaign
rallies treated as non-events while other
candidates’ rallies were given prominent coverage on
the networks. Over a year ago, in an analysis for
Media Matters for America, Eric Boehlert noted that
despite Sanders’ campaign rallies drawing
thousands of people – making them some of the
largest campaign events of 2015 by either Democrats
or Republicans – the media chose not to cover them
as major news events.
According
to Boehlert, writing in May 2015, “At a time when it
seems any movement on the Republican side of the
candidate field produces instant and extensive press
coverage, more and
more observers are
suggesting there’s something out of whack with
Sanders’ press treatment. And they’re right.”
When
Sanders did get reported on in the media, much of
the coverage portrayed him as outside
the mainstream of American politics, or viewed
him solely through the
prism of Hillary Clinton. “It’s all about how
his campaign might affect her strategy and her
possible policy shifts, instead of how his campaign
will affect voters and public policy,” Boehlert
wrote. “On the Republican side, candidates are
generally covered as stand-alone entities, not as
appendages to a specific rival.”
Beyond
that, much of the early coverage unequivocally
declared that Sanders had no chance of winning, an
odd role for the media to play in covering a
nomination campaign. The press, after all, is
supposed to report on the nomination process,
not determine – or predict – the nomination process.
Yet, this is what a few prominent news outlets have
had to say when Sanders announced his candidacy:
“Bernie Sanders isn’t going to be president,” according
to the Washington Post last year. “He Won’t Win,” said Newsweek,
“So Why Is Bernie Sanders Running?” MSNBC:
“Why Bernie Sanders matters, even if he can’t win.”
The
coverage went on like that throughout 2015, with
Sanders systematically ignored and marginalized by
the mainstream media, with an independent media
analysis finding
late last year that the major networks’ evening news
broadcasts between January and November 2015 devoted
just ten minutes to the Sanders campaign. Meanwhile,
these same broadcasters (ABC, NBC and CBS) devoted a
whopping 234 minutes to Donald Trump’s campaign.
By April
2016, the disparity in coverage had grown too much
for Sanders supporters to handle, and hundreds of
protesters
took to the streets outside CNN headquarters in
Hollywood to voice their frustration with the
imbalanced reporting.
“There
should be fair and equal coverage for all
presidential candidates,” said one protester at the
rally.
“Stop
showing Trump so much,” said another. “Stick to the
issues.”
Indeed,
while the media throughout the primary season has
essentially treated the Democratic race as a
non-story in which Clinton was expected to easily
clinch the nomination, the Republican race was seen
as a titillating cliffhanger in which every movement
and change in the polls – not to mention every crazy
tweet sent out by Trump at three in the morning –
was given headline coverage.
Ultimately,
Trump accounted for 43 percent of all Republican
coverage on network news in 2015, out of an initial
field of 17 candidates. That means that the other 16
candidates competed for just over half of the
coverage. And this doesn’t even count all of Trump’s
appearances on morning programs and Sunday talk
shows, which would increase his airtime
exponentially. With this kind of saturation
coverage, is it any wonder that he emerged as the
top GOP contender?
Largely as
a result of this grossly disproportionate and unfair
media emphasis, not to mention a wildly
chaotic and arbitrary primary process
riddled
with
irregularities, we appear to be ending up with
two candidates who are more or less despised by the
general public. The two front-runners are the most
unpopular candidates seen in a generation, or to put
it into numbers, Hillary Clinton has a 57 percent
unfavorability rating in a recent Quinnipiac poll,
while Trump gets a 59 percent unfavorability rating.
Tim Malloy,
assistant director of the Quinnipiac University
Poll, said, “American voters don’t like either one
of the front-runners. The question could be who we
dislike the least.”
Perhaps
this is why nine out of ten Americans express a lack
of confidence in the electoral system and nine out
of ten young people want to see other alternatives
on the ballot in addition to the Democrats and
Republicans.
According
to a survey
by Data Targeting, which called the results
“shocking,” 55 percent of Americans favor having an
independent or third party presidential candidate to
consider this year, in addition to the two
traditional party choices. Of those 29 years of age
and younger, 91 percent expressed support for
additional choices.
Another
survey, conducted conducted May 12-15 by the
Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs
Research and published May 31, reported that a full
90 percent of voters lack confidence in the
country’s political system while 70 percent said
they feel frustrated about the 2016 presidential
election and 55 percent reported feeling “helpless.”
Forty percent went so far as to say that the
two-party structure is “seriously broken.”
“It’s kind
of like a rigged election,” Nayef Jaber, a
66-year-old Sanders supporter from San Rafael,
California,
told AP. “It’s supposed to be one man one vote.
This is the way it should be.”
According
to the survey, 53 percent of voters say that the
Democrats’ use of superdelegates is a “bad idea”
while just 17 percent support the system. Moreover,
most Americans say that neither political party
represents the views of ordinary voters. Just 14
percent say the Democratic Party is responsive to
the opinions of the average voter while eight
percent say the same about the Republicans.
Regardless
of one’s political views, the historic nature of
these numbers should be appreciated, and in some
ways may eclipse any other storyline of Election
2016. Basically, the two-party system is losing
credibility in an unprecedented fashion,
accelerating a general trend that has been growing
in America for several years.
For
example, five years ago,
a Gallup poll found an all-time high of 40
percent of Americans identifying as independents. In
2014, a new record was set, with
Gallup finding that an average 43 percent of
Americans identify politically as independent,
compared to just 30 percent who call themselves
Democrat and 26 percent who identify as Republican.
Another Gallup poll last year found that 60
percent of Americans say that a third major
political party is needed because the Republican and
Democratic parties “do such a poor job” of
representing the American people.
But despite
this growing trend in public opinion rejecting the
two-party system, the Democrats and Republicans
enjoy a number of institutional advantages within
the U.S. electoral system that protect the status
quo.
In addition
to the challenges that minor parties face in
securing a plurality of votes needed to gain
representation in the U.S.’s winner-take-all system
(as opposed to proportional representation systems
which grant representation to any party passing a
threshold of, say, five percent), there are several
additional obstacles that tilt the playing field in
favor of the Democrats and Republicans, reinforcing
their dominance and their privileged status.
While the
two main parties are guaranteed ballot access in all
50 states, for example, competing parties must meet
rigorous requirements to even be listed on the
ballots, requirements that vary considerably from
state to state.
Further,
the Democrats and Republicans benefit from taxpayer
subsidies in the form of public funds to hold party
conventions and private primary elections, which in
many cases exclude independents from voting. In 2012
taxpayers shelled out over $600 million for party
conventions and primaries, even in states where they
are not permitted to vote in the primaries due to
registration requirements.
Then there
is the massive funding advantage enjoyed by the two
establishment parties, which
raised over a billion dollars each in the last
presidential election. Compare that to
just under a million dollars raised by the Green
Party in 2012 and
2.5 million raised by the Libertarian Party.
Also, the
limited public financing system that exists in the
United States only provides funds to parties that
receive at least five percent of the popular vote in
the previous election, which no third party achieved
in 2012. That means that while the major party
nominees
are eligible to receive up to $96 million in
federal funding, third parties receive nothing.
Further
entrenching the two-party system, independents and
third parties have no representation on the Federal
Elections Commission or Boards of Elections, which
are instead controlled by the Democrats and
Republicans, and therefore have no voice in setting
or enforcing rules of the game. Perhaps even more
significantly, the two main parties enjoy a near
monopoly of media coverage, and in presidential
elections, successfully collude to exclude third
party candidates from televised debates.
Despite all
of these disadvantages, however, the two biggest
third parties – the Greens and Libertarians – are
receiving considerable support this year, with a
recent survey finding
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate,
polling at 10 percent. This is roughly
twice as high as Johnson’s poll numbers from the
2012 election cycle.
Green
presidential candidate Jill Stein was not included
in that survey, but with her campaign having
succeeded in getting her onto the ballot in states
with 290 electoral votes – more than enough to win
the presidency – her supporters are calling on
pollsters to include her in future surveys. “With
polls showing a majority of Americans want an
alternative to Clinton/Trump, there’s no way to
justify not including Jill Stein in presidential
polls,” states
an online
petition.
Indeed,
with historic and unprecedented numbers of Americans
rejecting the two-party system as a whole, it is
becoming increasingly conspicuous for the media to
pretend that this election is just another
politics-as-usual affair in which we are expected to
happily choose between “A” and “B.” This is
especially the case this year when both major party
candidates are tainted by criminal investigations
and lawsuits.
According
to
one tally, Trump has been named in at least 169
federal lawsuits over the years, including the
ongoing
litigation against his for-profit school, “Trump
University,”
described by the conservative National Review
magazine as a “massive scam.” One of the lawsuits
against Trump is going
after the presumptive nominee through a
provision of the RICO Act, which could lead to
criminal charges being filed.
Meanwhile,
Clinton is the subject of an FBI investigation and
has just been
reprimanded by the State Department’s Inspector
General who found that she did not comply with the
agency’s policies on records in her use of private
email server while Secretary of State. She was also
criticized for failing to turn over records promptly
and for refusing to be interviewed for an
investigation into the matter – possible violations
of the Federal Records Act and other criminal
statutes.
In other
words, we are heading into a general election in
which the two major party candidates are faced with
significant legal problems and could conceivably be
facing prison time, and yet for the most part, the
media is continuing to present the two-party system
as the only game in town, despite the growing
indications that Americans are hungry for
alternatives.
How this
all plays out remains to be seen, but one thing for
sure is that this is no politics-as-usual election,
and those pundits and pollsters who continue to
discount the role of third parties do so at their
own peril.
Nat Parry
is co-author of Neck Deep: The Disastrous
Presidency of George W. Bush, which can be
ordered at
neckdeepbook.com or at
Amazon.com. His e-mail is
ndtparry@gmail.com . |