Brazil: The
Provisional Banana Scoundrel Republic
By Pepe
Escobar
May 25, 2016 "Information
Clearing House"
- "Sputnik"
-
Every
political junkie on the planet has to be glued to
the ongoing Brazilian House of Cards, consistently
offering an unparalleled feast of cheap thrills.
The latest
cliffhanger was the leak of a conversation
between one of the key operators involved in the oil
giant Petrobras corruption scandal and a senator and
short-lived Minister of Planning in the usurper
interim government currently replacing President
Dilma Rousseff while she is undergoing an
impeachment trial by the Senate.
Call the
leak a short autopsy of what from the beginning
should have been defined as
golpeachment; a mix of coup (“golpe”,
in Portuguese) and impeachment, which took place
in a one/two sequential vote in the Brazilian
Congress and Senate, as a notorious congregation
of crooks investigated for myriad offenses and
crimes seized power in Brasilia in a full-fledged
Buffon’s Opera. I call their scam Provisional Banana
Scoundrel Republic (PBSR).
Meet the interim Walking Dead
The
leak/autopsy duly unveiled how the PBSR cancer
progressed. One of the key plotters outlines the
coup; stresses how it should protect Brazilian
plutocracy/kleptocracy from unintended consequences
of the ongoing, two-year-old Car Wash corruption
investigation; and how the Left – from President
Rousseff to Lula and the Workers’ Party – should be
criminalized for good.
The rest would
be history, including the demolition of recently
acquired social and workers’ rights via the
imposition of a neoliberal restoration; total
reversion in foreign policy, with geopolitical and
geoeconomic relations back to a colonized mindset;
and the reestablishment of a conservative,
neoliberal, rentier hegemonic class lording over a
socially-oriented, democratic society.
That fits
in with the current Brazilian Congress and Senate
dominated by “BBB” interests. “BBB” stands for Beef
(the powerful agribusiness lobby); Bullet (the
weapons and private security complex); and Bible
(evangelical fanatics), all supported by corporate
media. Many of these unsavory characters are
connected and/or represent the toxic Brazilian rural
aristocracy – which are in fact heirs to nobility
titles handed over to slave owners.
It was
going all so swell after only a few days – even
with the former head of the lower house, notorious
crook Eduardo Cunha, temporarily sidelined; Cunha –
the ringleader of a campaign financing scam
inside Congress – de facto had become the Prime
Minister of the puppet former Vice-President and
current, interim President Michel Temer.
Temer The
Usurper – who might actually become Temer the Brief
– has been under siege since he took power. His
unpopularity index is reaching reverse Kim Jong-Un
levels, standing at almost 99%. The overwhelming
majority of Brazilians want him impeached. He’s
mentioned in several corruption scandals while
serially nominating ministers mired in corruption
scandals themselves.
The problem is
the PBSR cabal simply can’t afford to let him go –
and let power slip away. The Dialogue of the Crooks
leak conclusively proved that the Car Wash
investigation was instrumentalized to criminalize
the Workers’ Party and bring down Rousseff while the
golpeachment scam advanced in parallel, making sure
certain key political forces would not be caught
in the Car Wash web.
The
Dialogue of the Crooks took place over two months
ago — and at least three weeks before the
golpeachment farce reached its apex in a
ghastly voting session in the lower house. Which
lead us to a key question; why the attorney general
and the provincial judge in charge of the Car Wash
investigation did not previously reveal its
contents, and why did they not take immediate
action? If the Dialogue of the Crooks was revealed
already in March, golpeachment could not possibly
have taken place.
The fact
that there was no leak two months ago raises all
serious eyebrows. The senator featured in the
Dialogue of the Crooks is a notorious node in a
historical corruption link inside oil giant
Petrobras since the Cardoso administrations in the
1990s. He happened to have been ensconced in the
political leadership of all Brazilian
administrations for the past 22 years. This means he
was always the go-to Crook-in-Chief for his
political party, the PMDB.
Yet nothing
gets as serious as the admission that the hidden
agenda of golpeachment has always been to ditch all
corruption probes as part of a broader agreement
involving selected Supreme Court judges. If this was
not the Brazilian House of Cards, the whole
golpeachment scam should have been declared null and
void by now. Yet, as I have been stressing from the
get-go, this is a sophisticated,
Hybrid War-style,
judicial-political-financial-media coup. And it will
be very hard to unravel it.
The
logic of perpetual scandal
So future
historians already have their story line – furnished
by the Dialogue of the Crooks; the 2016 golpeachment
was a scam concocted by a bunch of political
scoundrels willing to do anything to stay out of
jail.
Temer the
Brief, a lowly puppet, is now under siege. His two
manipulators – the former leader of the lower house
and his short-lived Minister of Planning – are now
forced to be in the shade. Practically, that means
approving deeply unpopular economic policies
in Congress will be much harder.
Temer The
Brief’s is a certified illegitimate reign. Not even
privileged actors – the Goddess of the Market,
assorted businessmen, even some mainstream media
sectors – are buying the farce. Meanwhile, the
Brazilian street won’t be quiet; that’s Rousseff’s
and the Workers’ Party’s strategy (although that’s
not enough).
So what next?
The only way Rousseff would be reinstated is if she
and the party could concoct a credible narrative
of the priorities for the country up to the 2018
presidential elections. That implies a lot of back
room political negotiation – and Rousseff is really
lousy at it.
What has
been aptly described as a
presidential condominium — the new normal
in Brazil – envelops conflicting agendas with no
consensus in sight. So one should expect the nation
to be mired, for a long time, in the logic
of perpetual scandal.
The key
variable from now on is how the PBSR gang will
maneuver – possibly illegally — to cling to power.
The Public Ministry and the Federal police are
totally politicized. Increasingly there are no
mediation powers. The PBSR gang will take no
prisoners. The Public Ministry will go after Lula
while the attorney general will try to block any
chance of Rousseff being reinstated.
Meanwhile,
the social democrats turned neoliberal enforcers –
key associates of the PBSR — will keep advancing
their own agenda; hardcore privatizations; handing
over the exploration of the pre-salt oil deposits
to US Big Oil; and dutifully prostrating
as Washington vassals. One just needs to examine the
extreme interest by the
US Department of Justice on all things related
to the Car Wash investigation to infer how
Washington is deeply involved in smashing leading
Brazilian corporations.
And
what about the BRICS?
Brazil is
now globally isolated. Vulture fund-friendly
Argentina President Mauricio Macri has been the only
leader to recognize the illegal PBSR government. The
PBSR worships Macri as if he was Beyonce; they
absolutely love his role of Slasher of a socially
inclusive cycle of governments in Argentina.
Washington has
not had the balls to do it directly – relying
on minions such as the State Department spokesman
and the interim ambassador to the OAS. But the
message is unmistakable; golpeachment is legal, and
Washington trusts Brazilian “democratic
institutions”. Compare it to the Russian Foreign
Ministry, which alerted to “foreign interference”
in Brazilian affairs.
The new
Brazilian Foreign Minister – a sore loser (twice)
in presidential elections won by the Workers’ Party
– took no time to launch his glorious Vassal
of Washington/US Big Capital policy. He already
issued a veiled “threat” to Cuba, Venezuela,
Nicaragua, Bolivia, Ecuador and El Salvador.
Mercosur will be sidelined to the benefit of the
Pacific Alliance – where Mexico, Peru and Colombia
are under Washington’s wings. Unasur will be
ditched.
And then
there’s the stale ice cream in the scoundrel’s tart;
the “B” in BRICS is now dormant. This means the role
of Brazil in the BRICS bank will be seriously
compromised. Granted, the BRICS were never a
homogenous group and have been riddled
with conflicting interests. For instance, India’s
nuclear-sharing agreement with the US effectively
ties it up with Washington. The next BRICS summit is
in India, in October. Brazil risks the ignominy
of being represented by the PBSR gang.
Meanwhile,
make no mistake; as much as the Car Wash
investigation was revealed to be a totally
politicized drive – where fighting corruption was
just a convenient cover – the PBSR gang and their
allies will do everything to get rid of the 2018
direct presidential elections. So here’s the sorry
Brazilian road map up to 2018; total political,
economic, social and juridical chaos.
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