Behind the
Crimea/Russia Reunion
Official Washington marches in propaganda lockstep
about Crimea’s decision to rejoin Russia two years
ago, with references to a Russian “invasion” and a
“sham” referendum of Crimea’s voters, but the
reality is different, says ex-CIA analyst Ray
McGovern.
By Ray McGovern
March 20, 2016 "Information
Clearing House"
- With high symbolism Russian President Vladimir
Putin is visiting Crimea “to check on the
construction of the Kerch Strait Bridge, which will
link the Crimean peninsula and continental Russia,”
the Kremlin announced on Thursday.
As the Russians like to say, “It is no accident”
that he chose today – marking the second anniversary
of Russia’s annexation of Crimea three weeks after
the U.S.-sponsored coup in Kiev on Feb. 22, 2014,
and just days after a referendum in which Crimean
voters approved leaving Ukraine and rejoining Russia
by a 96 percent majority.The 12-mile bridge is a
concrete metaphor, so to speak, for the re-joining
of Crimea and Russia. When completed (the target is
December 2018), it will be the longest bridge in
Russia.
Yet, the Obama
administration continues to decry the political
reunion between Crimea and Russia, a relationship
that dates back to the Eighteenth Century. Instead,
the West has accused Russia of violating its pledge
in the 1994 Budapest agreement — signed by Ukraine,
Russia, Great Britain and the U.S. — “to respect the
independence and sovereignty and existing borders of
Ukraine,” in exchange for Ukraine surrendering its
Soviet-era nuclear weapons.
Did Moscow
violate the Budapest agreement when it annexed
Crimea? A fair reading of the text yields a Yes to
that question. Of course, there were extenuating
circumstances, including alarm among Crimeans over
what the unconstitutional ouster of
Ukraine’s president might mean for them, as well as
Moscow’s not unfounded nightmare of NATO taking over
Russia’s major, and only warm-water, naval base at
Sevastopol in Crimea.
But what is
seldom pointed out is that the other parties,
including the United States, seem to have been
guilty, too, in promoting a coup d’etat removing the
democratically elected president and essentially
disenfranchising millions of ethnic Russian
Ukrainians who had voted for President Viktor
Yanukovych. In such a context, it takes a markedly
one-dimensional view to place blame solely on Russia
for violating the Budapest agreement.
Did the
Western-orchestrated coup in Kiev violate the
undertaking “to respect the independence and
sovereignty” of Ukraine? How about the pledge in the
Budapest agreement “to refrain from economic
coercion designed to subordinate to their own
interest the exercise by the Ukraine of the rights
inherent in its sovereignty.” Political and economic
interference were rife in the months before the
February 2014 coup. [See Consortiumnews.com’s “Who
Violated Ukraine’s Sovereignty?”]
Did Ukrainian President Yanukovych expect to be
overthrown if he opted for Moscow’s economic offer,
and not Europe’s? Hard to tell. But if the putsch
came as a total surprise, he sorely underestimated
what $5 billion in “democracy promotion” by
Washington can buy.
After
Yanukovych turned down the European Community’s
blandishments, seeing deep disadvantages for
Ukraine, American neoconservatives like National
Endowment for Democracy President Carl Gershman and
Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs
Victoria Nuland pulled out all the stops to enable
Ukraine to fulfill what Nuland called its “European
aspirations.”
“The
revolution will not be televised,” or so the saying
goes. But the Feb. 22, 2014 putsch in Kiev was
YouTube-ized two-and-a-half weeks in advance. Recall
Nuland’s amateurish, boorish – not to mention
irresponsible – use of an open telephone line to
plot regime change in Ukraine with fellow neocon,
U.S. Ambassador Geoffrey Pyatt, during
an intercepted conversation posted on
YouTube on Feb. 4.
Nuland
tells Pyatt, “Yats is the guy. He’s got the economic
experience, the governing experience. He’s the guy
you know. … He has warned there is an urgent need
for unpopular cutting of subsidies and social
payments before Ukraine can improve.”
Arseniy
Yatsenyuk (aka “Yats”) was quickly named prime
minister of the coup regime, which was immediately
given diplomatic recognition by Washington. Since
then, he has made a royal mess of things. Ukraine is
an economic basket case, and “Yats” barely survived
a parliamentary vote of no confidence and is widely
believed to be on his way out.
Did
Moscow’s strong reaction to the coup, to the danger
of NATO setting up shop next door in Ukraine come as
a surprise to Nuland and other advisers? If so, she
ought to get new advisers, and quickly. That Russia
would not let Crimea become a NATO base should have
been a no-brainer.
Nuland may
have seen the coup as creating a win-win situation.
If Putin acted decisively, it would be all the
easier to demonize him, denounce “Russian
aggression,” and put a halt to the kind of
rapprochement between President Barack Obama and
Putin that thwarted neocon plans for shock and awe
against Syria in late summer 2013. However, if Putin
acquiesced to the Ukrainian coup and accepted the
dangers it posed to Russia, eventual membership for
Ukraine in NATO might become more than a pipedream.
Plus, if
Putin swallowed the humiliation, think of how
politically weakened he would have become inside
Russia. As NED’s Gershman made clear, not only did
American neocons see Ukraine as “the biggest
prize” but as a steppingstone to ultimately achieve
“regime change” in Moscow, or as Gershman
wrote, “Putin may find himself on the
losing end not just in the near abroad but within
Russia itself.”
Russian Equities
In a formal
address in the Kremlin on March 18, 2014, the day
Crimea was re-incorporated into Russia, Putin went
from dead serious to somewhat jocular in discussing
the general issue:
“We have
already heard declarations from Kiev about Ukraine
soon joining NATO. What would this have meant for
Crimea and Sevastopol in the future? It would have
meant that NATO’s navy would be right there in this
city of Russia’s military glory, and this would
create not an illusory but a perfectly real threat
to the whole of southern Russia. …
“We are not
opposed to cooperation with NATO … [but] NATO
remains a military alliance, and we are against
having a military alliance making itself at home
right in our backyard or in our historic territory.
I simply cannot imagine that we would travel to
Sevastopol to visit NATO sailors. Of course, most
of them are wonderful guys, but it would be better
to have them come and visit us, be our guests,
rather than the other way around.”
A
little-known remark by Putin a month later (on April
17, 2014) was unusually blunt in focusing on one of
the main reasons behind Moscow’s strong reaction –
namely, Russia’s felt need to thwart Washington’s
plan to incorporate Ukraine and Crimea into the U.S.
anti-ballistic missile deployment encircling
Russia. Putin was quite direct:
“This
issue is no less, and probably even more important,
than NATO’s eastward expansion. Incidentally, our
decision on Crimea was partially prompted by this.”
This is a
serious bone of contention, with far reaching
implications. In short, if the Russian military
becomes convinced that the Pentagon thinks it has
the capability to carry out a strategic strike
without fear of significant retaliation, the
strategic tripwire for a nuclear exchange will
regress more than four decades to the extremely
dangerous procedure of “launch on warning,” allowing
mere minutes to “use ‘em, or lose ‘em.”
Russia has
been repeatedly rebuffed – or diddled – when it has
suggested bilateral talks on this key issue. Four
years ago, for example, at the March 2012 summit in
Seoul, Russia’s then-President Dmitry Medvedev asked
Obama when the U.S. would be prepared to address
Russian concerns over European missile defense.
In remarks
picked up by camera crews, Obama asked for some
“space” until after the U.S. election. Obama can be
heard saying, “This is my last election. After my
election, I have more flexibility.” Putin claims to
have seen no flexibility on this strategic question.
What Coup?
The Obama
administration and its stenographers in the
mainstream U.S. media would like the relevant
Ukrainian history to start on Feb. 23, 2014 with
“Yats” and his coup cronies deemed the “legitimate”
authorities. To that end, there was a need to
airbrush what George Friedman, president of the
think-tank STRATFOR, publicly called “the most
blatant coup in history” – the one plotted by Nuland
and Pyatt in early February 2014 and carried out on
Feb. 22.
As for
Russia’s alleged designs on Crimea, one searches in
vain for evidence that, before the coup, the Kremlin
had given much thought to the vulnerability of the
peninsula and a possible need to annex it. According
to the public record, Putin first focused on Crimea
at a strategy meeting on Feb. 23, the day after the
coup.
Yet, given
the U.S. mainstream media’s propagandistic reporting
on the Ukraine crisis, it is small wonder that the
American people forgot about (or never heard of) the
putsch in Kiev. The word “coup” was essentially
banished from the U.S. media’s lexicon regarding
Ukraine.
The New
York Times went so far as to publish what it deemed
an investigative article in early 2015 announcing
that there was
no coup in Ukraine, just President Yanukovych
mysteriously disappearing off to Russia. In reaching
its no-coup conclusion, the Times ignored any
evidence that there was a coup, including the
Nuland-Pyatt phone call. In regards to Ukraine,
“coup” became just another unutterable four-letter
word.
Last year,
when Sen. John McCain continued the “no coup”
fiction, I placed the following letter in the
Washington Post on July 1, 2015 (the censors
apparently being away at the beach):
“In his June 28 Sunday Opinion essay, ‘The Ukraine
cease-fire fiction,’ Sen. John McCain was wrong to
write that Russian President Vladimir Putin annexed
Crimea without provocation. What about the coup in
Kiev on Feb. 22, 2014, that replaced President
Viktor Yanukovych with pro-Western leaders favoring
membership in NATO? Was that not provocation enough?
“This
glaring omission is common in The Post. The March
10 World Digest item ‘Putin had early plan to annex
Crimea’ described a ‘secret meeting’ Mr. Putin held
on Feb. 23, 2014, during which ‘Russia decided it
would take the Crimean Peninsula.’ No
mention was made of the coup the previous day. …”
(emphasis added)
And so it
goes. More recently, in Jeffrey Goldberg’s lengthy
magnum opus in The Atlantic on
Obama’s foreign policy, there were two mentions of
how Russia “invaded” Crimea, two allusions to
Russia’s “invasion” of Ukraine, but not a word about
the coup in Kiev.
Invincible Ignorance
In Catholic
theology, the theory that some people can be
“invincibly ignorant” can lessen or even erase their
guilt. Many Americans are so malnourished on
accurate news – and so busy trying to make ends meet
– that they would seem to qualify for this
dispensation, with pardon for not knowing about
things like the coup in Kiev and other key
happenings abroad.
The
following, unnerving example brings this to mind: A
meeting of progressives that I attended last year
was keynoted by a professor from a local Washington
university. Discussing what she called the Russian
“invasion” of Crimea, the professor bragged about
her 9-year-old son for creating a large poster in
Sunday School saying, “Mr. Putin, What about the
commandment ‘Thou Shall Not Kill?’” The audience
nodded approvingly.
This
picnic, thought I, needed a skunk. So I asked the
professor what her little boy was alluding to. My
question was met by a condescending smirk of
disbelief: “Crimea, of course.” I asked how many
people had been killed in Crimea. “Oh, hundreds,
probably thousands,” was her answer. I told her that
there were, in fact, no reports of anyone having
been killed.
I
continued, explaining that, with respect to Russia’s
“invasion,” what you don’t see in the “mainstream
media” is that, a treaty between Ukraine and Russia
from the late 1990s allowed Russia to station up to
25,000 Russian troops on the Crimean peninsula.
There were 16,000 there, when a U.S.-led coup ousted
the democratically elected government in Kiev on
Feb. 22, 2014. (I had grabbed the attention of the
audience; yet stares of incredulity persisted.)
In contrast
to Crimea’s bloodless political secession from
Ukraine, the Ukrainian government’s “anti-terror
operation” against ethnic Russians in the east who
resisted the coup authorities in Kiev has killed an
estimated 10,000 people, many of them civilians.
Yet, in the mainstream U.S. media, this carnage is
typically blamed on Putin, not on the Ukrainian
military which sent to the front neo-Nazi and other
right-wing militias (such as the Azov battalion)
contemptuous of ethnic Russians. [See
Consortiumnews.com’s “Ukraine
Merges Nazis and Islamists.”]
A few weeks
before the professor’s remarks, after a speaking
engagement in Moscow, I had a chance to do a little
souvenir shopping on the Arbat. The behavior of the
sales people brought me up short. It was decades
since I had served as a CIA officer in the Soviet
Union; the shopkeepers then were usually taciturn,
allergic to discussing politics, and not at all
given to bragging about their leaders.
This time
it was different. The sales people wanted to know
what I thought of President Putin. They were eager
to thrust two coffee cups into the shopping bag that
I had filled with small gifts for our grandchildren.
On one was emblazoned the Russian words for “polite
people” under an image of two men with insignia-less
green uniforms – depicting the troops that
surrounded and eventually took over Ukrainian
installations and government buildings in Crimea
without a shot being fired. The other cup bore a
photo of Putin over the Russian words for “the most
polite of people.”
The short
conversation that ensued made it immediately clear
that Russian salespeople in Moscow – unlike many
“sophisticated” Americans – were well aware that the
troubles in Ukraine and Crimea began in Kiev on Feb
22, 2014, with “the most blatant coup in history.”
And, not least, they were proud of the way Putin
used the “polite green men” to ensure that Crimea
was not lost to NATO.
Ray McGovern
works for Tell the Word, a publishing arm of the
ecumenical Church of the Saviour in inner-city
Washington. During his 27-year career as a CIA
analyst he headed the Soviet Foreign Policy Branch.
In retirement, he helped create Veteran Intelligence
Professionals for Sanity (VIPS).
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