How a Pink
Flower Defeated the World’s Sole Superpower
America’s
Opium War in Afghanistan
By
Alfred W. McCoy
February
23, 2016 "Information
Clearing House"
-
"Tom
Dispatch" -
After fighting
the longest war in its history, the United States
stands at the brink of defeat in Afghanistan. How
can this be possible? How could the world’s sole
superpower have battled continuously for 15 years,
deploying 100,000 of its finest troops, sacrificing
the lives of 2,200 of those soldiers,
spending more than a trillion dollars on its
military operations,
lavishing a record hundred billion more on
“nation-building” and “reconstruction,” helping
raise, fund, equip, and train an army of 350,000
Afghan allies, and still not be able to pacify one
of the world’s most impoverished nations? So dismal
is the prospect for stability in Afghanistan in 2016
that the Obama White House has recently
cancelled a planned further withdrawal of its
forces and will leave an estimated 10,000 troops in
the country indefinitely.
Were you to
cut through the Gordian knot of complexity that is
the Afghan War, you would find that in the American
failure there lies the greatest policy paradox of
the century: Washington’s massive military
juggernaut has been stopped dead in its steel tracks
by a pink flower, the opium poppy.
For more
than three decades in Afghanistan, Washington’s
military operations have succeeded only when they
fit reasonably comfortably into Central Asia’s
illicit traffic in opium, and suffered when they
failed to complement it. The first U.S. intervention
there began in 1979. It succeeded in part because
the surrogate war the CIA launched to expel the
Soviets from that country coincided with the way its
Afghan allies used the country’s swelling drug
traffic to sustain their decade-long struggle.
On the
other hand, in the almost 15 years of continuous
combat since the U.S. invasion of 2001, pacification
efforts have failed to curtail the Taliban
insurgency largely because the U.S. could not
control the swelling surplus from the county’s
heroin trade. As opium production surged from a
minimal 180 tons to a monumental 8,200 in the first
five years of U.S. occupation, Afghanistan’s soil
seemed to have been sown with the dragon’s teeth of
ancient Greek myth. Every poppy harvest yielded a
new crop of teenaged fighters for the Taliban’s
growing guerrilla army.
At each
stage in Afghanistan’s tragic, tumultuous history
over the past 40 years -- the covert war of the
1980s, the civil war of the 1990s, and the U.S.
occupation since 2001 -- opium played a surprisingly
significant role in shaping the country’s destiny.
In one of history’s bitter twists of fate, the way
Afghanistan’s unique ecology converged with American
military technology transformed this remote,
landlocked nation into the world’s first true narco-state
-- a country where illicit drugs dominate the
economy, define political choices, and determine the
fate of foreign interventions.
Covert Warfare (1979-1992)
The CIA’s
secret war against the Soviet occupation of
Afghanistan during the 1980s helped transform the
lawless Afghan-Pakistani borderlands into the
seedbed for a sustained expansion of the global
heroin trade. “In the tribal area,” the State
Department would report in 1986, “there is no police
force. There are no courts. There is no taxation. No
weapon is illegal... Hashish and opium are often on
display.” By then, the process had long been
underway. Instead of forming its own coalition of
resistance leaders, the Agency relied on Pakistan’s
crucial Inter Service Intelligence (ISI) and its
Afghan clients who soon became principals in the
burgeoning cross-border opium traffic.
Not
surprisingly, the Agency looked the other way while
Afghanistan’s opium production grew unchecked from
about 100 tons annually in the 1970s to 2,000 tons
by 1991. In 1979 and 1980, just as the CIA effort
was beginning to ramp up, a network of heroin
laboratories opened along the Afghan-Pakistan
frontier. That region soon became the world’s
largest heroin producer. By 1984, it supplied a
staggering 60% of the U.S. market and 80% of the
European one. Inside Pakistan, the number of heroin
addicts went from near zero (yes, zero) in 1979 to
5,000 in 1980 and 1,300,000 by 1985 -- a rate of
addiction so high the U.N.
called it “particularly shocking.”
According
to the 1986 State Department report, opium “is an
ideal crop in a war-torn country since it requires
little capital investment, is fast growing, and is
easily transported and traded.” Moreover,
Afghanistan’s climate was well suited to this
temperate crop, with average yields two to three
times higher than in Southeast Asia’s Golden
Triangle region, the previous capital of the opium
trade. As relentless warfare between CIA and Soviet
surrogates generated at least three million refugees
and disrupted food production, Afghan farmers began
to turn to opium “in desperation” since it produced
such easy “high profits” which could cover rising
food prices. At the same time, resistance elements,
according to the State Department, engaged in opium
production and trafficking “to provide staples for
[the] population under their control and to fund
weapons purchases.”
As the
mujahedeen resistance gained strength and began to
create liberated zones inside Afghanistan in the
early 1980s, it helped fund its operations by
collecting taxes from peasants producing lucrative
opium poppies, particularly in the fertile
Helmand Valley, once the breadbasket of southern
Afghanistan. Caravans carrying CIA arms into that
region for the resistance often returned to Pakistan
loaded down with opium -- sometimes, the New
York Times
reported, “with the assent of Pakistani
or American intelligence officers who supported the
resistance.”
Once the
mujahedeen fighters brought the opium across the
border, they sold it to Pakistani heroin refiners
operating in the country’s North-West Frontier
Province, a covert-war zone administered by the
CIA’s close ally General Fazle Haq. By 1988, there
were an estimated 100 to 200 heroin refineries in
the province’s Khyber district alone. Further south
in the Koh-i-Soltan district of Baluchistan
Province,
Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, the CIA’s favored Afghan
asset, controlled six refineries that processed much
of the opium harvest from the Helmand Valley into
heroin. Trucks of the Pakistani army’s National
Logistics Cell, arriving in these borderlands from
the port of Karachi with crates of weaponry from the
CIA, left with cargos of heroin for ports and
airports where it would be exported to world
markets.
In May
1990, as this covert operation was ending, the
Washington Post
reported that the CIA’s chief asset Hekmatyar
was also the rebels’ leading heroin trafficker.
American officials, the Post claimed, had
long refused to investigate charges of heroin
dealing by Hekmatyar, as well as Pakistan’s ISI,
largely “because U.S. narcotics policy in
Afghanistan has been subordinated to the war against
Soviet influence there.”
Indeed,
Charles Cogan, former director of the CIA’s Afghan
operation, later spoke frankly about his Agency’s
choices. “Our main mission was to do as much damage
as possible to the Soviets,” he told Australian
television in 1995. “We didn’t really have the
resources or the time to devote to an investigation
of the drug trade. I don’t think that we need to
apologize for this... There was fallout in term of
drugs, yes. But the main objective was accomplished.
The Soviets left Afghanistan.”
The
Afghan Civil War and the Rise of the Taliban
(1989-2001)
Over the
longer term, such a “clandestine” intervention (so
openly written and bragged about) produced a black
hole of geopolitical instability never sealed or
healed thereafter.
Lying at
the northern reaches of the seasonal monsoon, where
rain clouds arrive already squeezed dry, arid
Afghanistan never recovered from the unprecedented
devastation it suffered in the years of the first
American intervention. Other than irrigated areas
like the Helmand Valley, the country’s semi-arid
highlands were already a fragile ecosystem straining
to sustain sizeable populations when war first broke
out in 1979. As that war wound down between 1989 and
1992, the Washington-led alliance essentially
abandoned the country, failing either to sponsor a
peace settlement or finance reconstruction.
Washington
simply turned elsewhere as a vicious civil war broke
out in a country with 1.5 million dead, three
million refugees, a ravaged economy, and a bevy of
well-armed warlords primed to fight for power.
During the years of vicious civil strife that
followed, Afghan farmers raised the only crop that
ensured instant profits, the opium poppy. The opium
harvest, having multiplied twentyfold to 2,000 tons
during the covert-war era of the 1980s, would double
during the civil war of the 1990s.
In this
period of turmoil,
opium’s ascent should be seen as a response to
the severe damage two decades of warfare had
inflicted. With the return of those three million
refugees to a war-ravaged land, the opium fields
were an employment godsend, since they required nine
times as many laborers to cultivate as wheat, the
country’s traditional staple. In addition, opium
merchants alone were capable of accumulating capital
rapidly enough to be able to provide much-needed
cash advances to poor poppy farmers that equaled
more than half their annual income. That credit
would prove critical to the survival of many poor
villagers.
In the
civil war’s first phase from 1992 to 1994, ruthless
local warlords combined arms and opium in a
countrywide struggle for power. Determined to
install its Pashtun allies in Kabul, the Afghan
capital, Pakistan worked through the ISI to deliver
arms and funds to its chief client Hekmatyar. By
now, he was the nominal prime minister of a
fractious coalition whose troops would spend two
years shelling and rocketing Kabul in fighting that
left the city in ruins and some
50,000 more Afghans dead. When he nonetheless
failed to take the capital, Pakistan threw its
backing behind a newly arisen Pashtun force, the
Taliban, a fundamentalist movement that had emerged
from militant Islamic schools.
After
seizing Kabul in 1996 and taking control of much of
the country, the Taliban regime encouraged local
opium cultivation, offering government protection to
the export trade and collecting much needed taxes on
both the opium produced and the heroin manufactured
from it. U.N. opium surveys showed that, during
their first three years in power, the Taliban raised
the country’s opium crop to 4,600 tons, or 75%
percent of world production at that moment.
In July
2000, however, as a devastating drought entered its
second year and mass starvation spread across
Afghanistan, the Taliban government suddenly
ordered a ban on all opium cultivation in an
apparent appeal for international recognition and
aid. A subsequent U.N. crop survey of 10,030
villages found that this prohibition had
reduced the harvest by 94% to a mere 185 tons.
Three
months later, the Taliban sent a delegation headed
by its deputy foreign minister,
Abdur Rahman Zahid, to U.N. headquarters in New
York to barter a continuing drug prohibition for
diplomatic recognition. That body instead imposed
new sanctions on the regime for protecting Osama bin
Laden. The U.S., on the other hand, actually
rewarded the Taliban with $43 million in
humanitarian aid, even as it seconded U.N. criticism
over bin Laden. Announcing this aid in May 2001,
Secretary of State Colin Powell praised “the ban on
poppy cultivation, a decision by the Taliban that we
welcome” and urged the regime to “act on a number of
fundamental issues that separate us: their support
for terrorism; their violation of internationally
recognized human rights standards, especially their
treatment of women and girls.”
The
War on Terror (2001-2016)
After a
decade of ignoring Afghanistan, Washington
rediscovered the place with a vengeance in the
aftermath of the 9/11 attacks. Only weeks later, in
October 2001, the U.S. began bombing the country and
then launched an "invasion" spearheaded by local
warlords. The
Taliban regime collapsed, in the words of
veteran New York Times reporter R.W. Apple,
with a speed “so sudden and so unexpected that
government officials and commentators on strategy...
are finding it hard to explain.” Although the U.S.
air attacks did considerable physical and
psychological damage, many other societies have
withstood far more massive bombardments without
collapsing in this fashion. In retrospect, it seems
likely that the opium prohibition had economically
eviscerated the Taliban, leaving its theocracy a
hollow shell that shattered with the first American
bombs.
To an
extent not generally appreciated, for the previous
two decades Afghanistan had devoted a growing share
of its resources -- capital, land, water, and labor
-- to the production of opium and heroin. By the
time the Taliban outlawed cultivation, the country
had become, agriculturally, little more than an
opium monocrop. The drug trade accounted for most of
its tax revenues, almost all its export income, and
much of its employment. In this context, opium
eradication proved to be an act of economic suicide
that brought an already weakened society to the
brink of collapse. Indeed, a 2001 U.N. survey found
that the ban had “resulted in a severe loss of
income for an estimated 3.3 million people,” 15% of
the population, including 80,000 farmers, 480,000
itinerant laborers, and their millions of
dependents.
While the
U.S. bombing campaign raged throughout October 2001,
the
CIA spent $70 million “in direct cash outlays on
the ground” to mobilize its old coalition of tribal
warlords to take down the Taliban, an expenditure
President George W. Bush would later hail as one of
history’s biggest “bargains.”To capture Kabul and
other key cities, the CIA put its money behind the
leaders of the
Northern Alliance, which the Taliban had never
fully defeated. They, in turn, had long dominated
the drug traffic in the area of northeastern
Afghanistan they controlled in the Taliban years. In
the meantime, the CIA also turned to a group of
rising Pashtun
warlords who had been active as drug smugglers
in the southeastern part of the country. As a
result, when the Taliban went down, the groundwork
had already been laid for the resumption of opium
cultivation and the drug trade on a major scale.
Once Kabul
and the provincial capitals were taken, the CIA
quickly ceded operational control to uniformed
allied forces and civilian officials whose
inept drug suppression programs in the years to
come would, in the end, leave the heroin traffic’s
growing profits first to those warlords and, in
later years, largely to the Taliban guerrillas. In
the first year of U.S. occupation, before that
movement had even reconstituted itself, the opium
harvest surged to 3,400 tons. In a development
without historical precedent, illicit drugs would be
responsible for an extraordinary 62% percent of the
country’s gross domestic product (GDP) in 2003. For
the first few years of the U.S. occupation, Defense
Secretary
Donald Rumsfeld “dismissed growing signs that
drug money was being funneled to the Taliban,” while
the CIA and the U.S. military “turned a blind eye to
drug-related activities by prominent warlords.”
In late
2004, after nearly two years in which it showed next
to no interest in the subject, outsourcing opium
control to its British allies and police training to
the Germans, the White House was suddenly confronted
with troubling CIA intelligence suggesting that the
escalating drug trade was fueling a revival of
the Taliban. Backed by President Bush, Secretary of
State Powell then urged an aggressive
counter-narcotics strategy, including a
Vietnam-style aerial defoliation of parts of rural
Afghanistan. But U.S. Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad
resisted this approach, seconded by his local ally
Ashraf Ghani, then the country’s finance minister
(and now its president), who
warned that such an eradication program would
mean “widespread impoverishment” in the country
without $20 billion in foreign aid to create
“genuine alternative livelihood[s].”
As a
compromise, Washington came to rely on private
contractors like DynCorp to train Afghan
manual eradication teams. However, by 2005,
according to New York Times correspondent
Carlotta Gall, that approach had already become
“something of a joke.” Two years later, as the
Taliban insurgency and
opium cultivation both spread in what seemed to
be a synergistic fashion, the U.S. Embassy again
pressed Kabul to accept the kind of aerial
defoliation the U.S. had sponsored in Colombia.
President Hamid
Karzai refused, leaving this critical problem
unresolved.
The U.N.’s
Afghanistan Opium Survey 2007 found that
the
annual harvest was up 24% to a record 8,200
tons, which translated into 53% of the country’s GDP
and 93% of the world’s illicit heroin supply.
Significantly, the U.N. stated that Taliban
guerrillas had “started to extract from the drug
economy resources for arms, logistics, and militia
pay.” A study for the U.S.
Institute of Peace concluded that, by 2008, the
movement had 50 heroin labs in its territory and
controlled 98% of the country’s poppy fields. That
year, it reportedly collected $425 million in
“taxes” levied on opium traffic, and with every
harvest, it gained the necessary funds to recruit a
new crop of young fighters from the villages. Each
of those prospective guerrillas could count on
monthly payments of
$300, far above the wages they would have made
as agricultural laborers.
In
mid-2008, to contain the spreading insurgency,
Washington decided to commit
40,000 more American combat troops to the
country, raising allied forces to 70,000.
Recognizing the crucial role of opium revenues in
Taliban recruitment practices, the U.S. Treasury
also formed the
Afghan Threat Finance Cell and embedded 60 of
its analysts in combat units charged with launching
strategic strikes against the drug trade.
Using
quantitative methods of “social network analysis”
and “influence network modeling,” those instant
civilian experts would often, according to one
veteran analyst, “point to hawala brokers [rural
creditors] as critical nodes within an insurgent
group’s network,” prompting U.S. combat soldiers to
take “kinetic courses of action -- quite literally,
kicking down the door of the hawala office and
shutting down the operation.” Such “highly
controversial” acts might “temporarily degrade the
financial network of an insurgent group,” but those
gains came “at the cost of upsetting an entire
village” dependent on the lender for legitimate
credit that was the “vast majority of the
hawalador’s business.” In this way, once again,
support for the Taliban grew.
By 2009,
the guerrillas were expanding so rapidly that the
new Obama administration opted for a “surge” in U.S.
troop strength to 102,000 in a bid to cripple the
Taliban. After months of rising troop deployments,
President Obama’s new war strategy was officially
launched on February 13, 2010, in Marja, a
remote market town in Helmand Province. As waves of
helicopters descended on its outskirts spitting up
clouds of dust, hundreds of Marines sprinted through
fields of sprouting opium poppies toward the town’s
mud-walled compounds. Though their target was the
local Taliban guerrillas,
the Marines were in fact occupying the capital
of the global heroin trade. Forty percent of the
world’s illicit opium supply was grown in the
surrounding districts and much of that crop was
traded in Marja.
A week
later, U.S. Commander General Stanley McChrystal
choppered into town with Karim Khalili,
Afghanistan's vice president, for the media rollout
of a new-look counterinsurgency strategy that, he
told reporters, was rock-solid certain to pacify
villages like Marja. Only it would never be so
because the opium trade would spoil the party. “If
they come with tractors,” one
Afghan widow announced to a chorus of supportive
shouts from her fellow farmers, “they will have to
roll over me and kill me before they can kill my
poppy.” Speaking by satellite telephone from the
region’s opium fields, a U.S. Embassy official told
me: “You can’t win this war without taking on drug
production in Helmand Province.”
Watching
these events unfold nearly six years ago, I wrote an
essay
for TomDispatch warning of a defeat
foretold. “So the choice is clear enough,” I said at
the time. “We can continue to fertilize this deadly
soil with yet more blood in a brutal war with an
uncertain outcome... or we can help renew this
ancient, arid land by re-planting the orchards,
replenishing the flocks, and rebuilding the farming
destroyed in decades of war... until food crops
become a viable alternative to opium. To put it
simply, so simply that even Washington might
understand, we can only pacify a narco-state when it
is no longer a narco-state.”
By
attacking the guerrillas but ignoring the opium
harvest that funded new insurgents every spring,
Obama’s surge soon suffered that defeat foretold. As
2012 ended,the
Taliban guerrillas had, according to the New
York Times, “weathered the biggest push the
American-led coalition is going to make against
them.” Amid the rapid drawdown of allied forces to
meet President Obama’s December 2014 deadline for
“ending” U.S. combat operations, reduced air
operations allowed the Taliban to launch
mass-formation
attacks in the north, northeast, and south,
killing record numbers of Afghan army troops and
police.
At the
time, John Sopko, the U.S. special inspector for
Afghanistan, offered a telling
explanation for the Taliban’s survival. Despite
the expenditure of a staggering $7.6 billion on
“drug eradication” programs during the previous
decade, he concluded that, “by every conceivable
metric, we’ve failed. Production and cultivation are
up, interdiction and eradication are down, financial
support to the insurgency is up, and addiction and
abuse are at unprecedented levels in Afghanistan.”
Indeed, the
2013 opium crop covered a
record 209,000 hectares, raising the harvest by
50% to 5,500 tons. That massive harvest generated
some $3 billion in illicit income, of which the
Taliban’s tax took an estimated $320 million, well
over half its revenues. The U.S. Embassy
corroborated this dismal assessment, calling the
illicit income “a windfall for the insurgency, which
profits from the drug trade at almost every level.”
As the 2014
opium crop was harvested, fresh U.N. figures
suggested that the dismal trend only continued, with
the areas under cultivation rising to a
record 224,000 hectares and production at 6,400
tons remaining near historic highs. In May 2015,
having watched this flood of drugs enter the global
market as U.S. counter-narcotics spending climbed to
$8.4 billion, Sopko tried to translate what was
happening into a single
all-American image. “Afghanistan,” he said, “has
roughly 500,000 acres, or about 780 square miles,
devoted to growing opium poppy. That's equivalent to
more than 400,000 U.S. football fields -- including
the end zones.”
In the
fighting season of 2015, the Taliban decisively
seized the combat initiative and opium seemed ever
more deeply embedded in its operations. The New
York Times
reported that the movement’s new leader, Mullah
Akhtar Mansour, was “among the first major Taliban
officials to be linked to the drug trade... and
later became the Taliban’s main tax collector for
the narcotics trade -- creating immense profits.”
After months of relentless pressure on government
forces in three northern provinces, the group’s
first major operation under his command was the
two-week seizure of the strategic city of Kunduz,
which just happened to be
located on “the country’s most lucrative drug
routes... moving opium from the poppy prolific
provinces in the south to Tajikistan... and to
Russia and Europe.” Washington felt forced to slam
down the
brakes on planned further withdrawals of its
combat forces.
Amid a
rushed evacuation of its regional offices in the
threatened northern provinces, the U.N. released a
map in October showing that the Taliban had “high”
or
“extreme” control in more than half the
country’s rural districts, including many where they
had not previously been a significant presence.
Within a month, the Taliban unleashed
offensives countrywide that aimed at seizing and
holding territory, threatening military bases in
northern Faryab Province and encircling entire
districts in western Herat.
Not
surprisingly, the strongest attacks came in the
poppy heartland of Helmand Province, where half the
country’s opium crop was then grown and, said the
New York Times, “the lucrative opium trade
made it crucial to the insurgents’ economic
designs.” By mid-December, after overrunning
checkpoints, winning back much of the province, and
setting government security forces back on their
heels, the guerrillas came
close to capturing that heart of the heroin
trade, Marja, the very site of President Obama’s
media-saturated surge rollout in 2010. Had U.S.
Special Operations forces and the U.S. Air Force not
intervened to relieve “demoralized” Afghan forces,
the town and the province would undoubtedly have
fallen. By early 2016, 14-plus years after
Afghanistan was “liberated” by a U.S. invasion, and
in a significant reversal of Obama administration
drawdown policies, the U.S. was
reportedly dispatching “hundreds” of new U.S.
troops in a mini-surge into Helmand Province to
shore up the government’s faltering forces and deny
the insurgents the “economic prize” of the world’s
most productive poppy fields.
After a
disastrous 2015 fighting season that inflicted what
U.S. officials have termed
“unsustainable” casualties on the Afghan army
and what the UN called the “real horror” of record
civilian losses, the long, harsh winter that has
settled across the country is offering no respite.
As cold and snow slowed combat in the countryside,
the Taliban shifted operations to the cities, with
five massive
bombings in Kabul and other key urban areas in
the first week of January, followed by a
suicide attack on a police complex in the
capital that killed 20 officers.
Meanwhile,
as the 2015 harvest ended, the country’s opium
cultivation, after six years of sustained growth,
slipped by 18% to 183,000 hectares and the crop
yield dropped steeply to 3,300 tons. While U.N.
officials attributed much of the decline to
drought and the
spread of a poppy fungus, conditions that might
not continue into 2016, long-term trends are still
an unclear mix of positive and negative news. Buried
in the mass of data published in the U.N.’s drug
reports is one
significant statistic: as Afghanistan’s economy
grew from years of international aid, opium’s share
of GDP dropped steadily from a daunting 63% in 2003
to a far more manageable 13% in 2014. Even so, the
U.N. says, “dependency on the opiate economy at the
farmer level in many rural communities is still
high.”
At that
local level in Helmand Province, "Afghan government
officials have also become directly involved in the
opium trade," the New York Times recently
reported. In doing so, they expanded "their
competition with the Taliban... into a struggle for
control of the drug traffic," while imposing "a tax
on farmers practically identical to the one the
Taliban uses," and kicking a portion of their
illicit profits "up the chain, all the way to
officials in Kabul... ensuring that the local
authorities maintain support from higher-ups and
keeping the opium growing."
Simultaneously, a recent U.N. Security Council
investigation
found that the Taliban has systematically tapped
“into the supply chain at each stage of the
narcotics trade,” collecting a 10% user tax on opium
cultivation in Helmand, fighting for control of
heroin laboratories, and acting as “the major
guarantors for the trafficking of raw opium and
heroin out of Afghanistan.” No longer simply taxing
the traffic, the Taliban is now so deeply and
directly involved that,
adds the Times, it “has become
difficult to distinguish the group from a dedicated
drug cartel.” Whatever the long-term trends might
be, for the foreseeable future opium remains deeply
entangled with the rural economy, the Taliban
insurgency, and government corruption whose sum is
the Afghan conundrum.
With ample
revenues from past bumper crops, the Taliban will
undoubtedly be ready for the new fighting season
that will come with the start of spring. As snow
melts from the mountain slopes and poppy shoots
spring from the soil, there will be, as in the past
40 years, a new crop of teenaged recruits ready to
fight for the rebel forces.
Cutting the Afghan Gordian Knot
For most
people globally, economic activity, the production
and exchange of goods, is the prime point of contact
with government, as is manifest in the coins and
currency stamped by the state that everyone carries
in their pockets. But when a country’s most
significant commodity is illegal, then political
loyalties naturally shift to the clandestine
networks that move that product safely from fields
to foreign markets, providing finance, loans, and
employment every step of the way. “The narcotics
trade poisons the Afghan financial sector and fuels
a growing illicit economy,” John Sopko
explains. “This, in turn, undermines the Afghan
state’s legitimacy by stoking corruption, nourishing
criminal networks, and providing significant
financial support to the Taliban and other insurgent
groups.”
After 15
years of continuous warfare in Afghanistan,
Washington is faced with the same choice it had five
years ago when Obama’s generals heli-lifted those
Marines into Marja to start its surge. Just as it
has been over the past decade and a half, the U.S.
can remain trapped in the same endless cycle,
fighting each new crop of village warriors who
annually seem to spring fully armed from that
country’s poppy fields. At this point, history tells
us one thing: in this land sown with dragon’s teeth,
there will be a new crop of guerrillas this year,
next year, and the year after that.
Even in
troubled Afghanistan, however, there are
alternatives whose sum could potentially slice
through this Gordian knot of a policy problem. As a
first and fundamental step, maybe it’s time to stop
talking about the next sets of boots on the ground
and for President Obama to complete his planned
troop withdrawal.
Next,
investing even a small portion of all that misspent
military funding in rural Afghanistan could produce
economic alternatives for the millions of farmers
who depend upon the opium crop for employment. Such
money could help rebuild that land’s ruined
orchards, ravaged flocks, wasted seed stocks, and
wrecked snowmelt irrigation systems that, before
these decades of war, sustained a diverse
agriculture. If the international community can
continue to nudge the country’s dependence on
illicit opium down from the current 13% of GDP
through such sustained rural development, then
perhaps Afghanistan will cease to be the planet’s
leading narco-state and just maybe that annual cycle
can at long last be broken.
Alfred W. McCoy, a
TomDispatch regular, is the
Harrington professor of history at the University of
Wisconsin-Madison. He is the author of the
now-classic book
The Politics of Heroin: CIA Complicity in the Global
Drug Trade, which probed the conjuncture of
illicit narcotics and covert operations over 50
years. His more recent books include Torture
and Impunity: The U.S. Doctrine of Coercive
Interrogation and
Policing America’s Empire: The United States, the
Philippines, and the Rise of the Surveillance State.
Follow TomDispatch on
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Facebook. Check out the newest Dispatch Book,
Nick Turse’s Tomorrow’s
Battlefield: U.S. Proxy Wars and Secret Ops in
Africa, and Tom Engelhardt's latest book,
Shadow Government: Surveillance, Secret Wars, and a
Global Security State in a Single-Superpower World.
Copyright
2016 Alfred W. McCoy
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