“The Day
After”
The US Has Never Sought Peace
By Soraya Sepahpourulrich
January 18,
2016 "Information
Clearing House"
-
Not the movie
about a fictional war between
NATO forces and the
Warsaw Pact and a
nuclear exchange between the
United States and the
Soviet Union, but the Day After the
Implementation Deal of the Iran Nuclear Deal.
Although I
said and wrote repeatedly in the past that the US
stance toward Iran will not change, by now it should
be obvious to all that this is the case. America
“thanked” Iran by imposing further sanctions on Iran
for its defense capabilities – the ballistic
missiles.
If we all
share a common dream of some balance in this world,
which would hopefully lead to more security for all,
here is what must happen.
With the
nuclear-related UNSC sanctions against Iran lifted,
the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SC)) must
IMMEDIATELY include Iran in the SCO as a full
member. The alternate is not pretty.
While some
Iranian ‘reformists’ have written that ‘America
needs Iran’, the truth of the matter is a more just
and balanced world needs Iran, foremost Russia and
China. The United States has not abandoned its
aspirations of becoming a global hegemon. The US has
never sought peace. Peace and expansion/domination
are incompatible.
In 1941,
Isaiah Bowman, a key figure in the Council on
Foreign Relations wrote: “The measure of our victory
will be the measure of our domination after
victory.”
True to
this, after the Cold War, Prominent Americans such
as Wolfowitz and Rustow opined that it was important
to contain Russia (the Heartland – Defense Planning
Guideline 1992, 1993). It was felt that the
domination of the Heartland (Eastern Europe, Russia,
Central Asia) would lead to the domination of the
World. Events in the past several years confirm the
implementation stages of the plan.
As recently
as April, 2015, during a
speech at the Army War College Strategy
Conference, Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Work
elaborated on how the Pentagon plans to counter the
three types of wars supposedly being waged by Iran,
Russia, and China. These goals have been facilitated
with the Nuclear Deal. Let us consider.
The deal buys America time.
Iran’s strength has been its ability to retaliate to
any attack by closing down the Strait of Hormuz.
Given that
17 million barrels of oil a day, or 35% of the
world’s seaborne oil exports go through the Strait
of Hormuz, incidents in the Strait would be
fatal for the world economy. Enter Nigeria (West
Africa) and Yemen.
In 1998,
Clinton’s national security agenda made it clear
that unhampered access to Nigerian oil and other
vital resources was a key US policy. In early 2000s,
Chatham House was one of the publications that
determined African oil would be a good alternate to
Persian Gulf oil IN CASE OF OIL DISRUPTION.This
followed a strategy paper for US to move toward
African oil. Push for African oil was on Dick
Cheney’s desk on May 31, 2000. In 2002, the Israeli
based
IASPS suggested America push toward African oil.
In the same year
Boko Haram was ‘founded’.
In 2007,
AFRICOM helped consolidate this push into the
region. The 2011, a publication titled: “Globalizing
West African Oil: US ‘energy security’ and the
global economy” outlined ‘US positioning itself
to use military force to ensure African oil
continued to flow to the United States’. This was
but one strategy to supply oil in addition to or as
an alternate to the passage of oil through the
Strait of Hormuz.
Enter Yemen.
To understand the geopolitics of the Saudi war
against Yemen, it is imperative to read “The
Geopolitics Behind the War in Yemen: The Start of a
New Front against Iran” written by Mahdi Darius
Nazemroaya. Nazemroaya correctly states: “[T] he US
wants to make sure that it could control the Bab
Al-Mandeb, the Gulf of Aden, and the Socotra
Islands. The Bab Al-Mandeb it is an important
strategic chokepoint for international maritime
trade and energy shipments that connects the Persian
Gulf via the Indian Ocean with the Mediterranean Sea
via the Red Sea. It is just as important as the Suez
Canal for the maritime shipping lanes and trade
between Africa, Asia, and Europe.”
In 2012,
several alternate routes to Strait of Hormuz were
identified which at the time of the report were
considered to be
limited in capacity and more expensive. However,
collectively, the West African oil and control of
Bab Al-Mandeb would diminish the strategic
importance of the Strait of Hormuz in case of war.
A very
important consideration is the stark fact that the
fallout from bombing an operating uranium enrichment
facility with several hundred kilograms of enriched
uranium would create an environmental catastrophe
which would dwarf all nuclear accidents to date
killing millions of people. The Iran Nuclear
Deal greatly reduces the scope of the ensuing
disaster should such steps be taken.
All this is
of course speculation.
There is no
doubt that the primary goal of the United States is
to install a Washington friendly compliant regime in
Iran. But what if it fails? Has Washington spent
billions of dollars to undermine and destroy the
Iranian revolution, decades in demonizing the people
only to change its mind? Isn’t this the same
scenario we hoped would be the outcome of the end of
the Cold War only to learn that Washington continued
a covert war against Russia?
Soraya
Sepahpour-Ulrich is an independent researcher and
writer with a focus on U.S. foreign policy. |