Saudi
Arabia was denounced in the main editorial pages
of both the New
York Times and the Washington
Post – the US’ two leading newspapers – for
its “dangerous sectarian policies” and
“reckless regime.” This extraordinary
outpouring of condemnation followed the
execution of a Shiite cleric last weekend. The
Washington Post described the state killing of
Sheikh Nimr al-Nimir as “a step that was as
risky and ruthless as it was unjustified.”
For the
autocratic House of Saud such rare criticism
from the United States will intensify its
already brittle insecurity over its hold on
power in the kingdom.
The
Saudis may have acquired their modern state from
British colonialism in 1932, but it is the
patronage of the United States upon which the
autocratic rulers of the oil-rich desert kingdom
have relied for their continuing existence ever
since.
That
patronage is now coming under sharp scrutiny in
the wake of regional tensions sparked by Saudi
Arabia’s execution of Sheikh Nimr. The Middle
East’s Shiite power Iran reacted furiously to
the execution, setting off Arab allies of
Sunni-dominated Saudi Arabia to cut diplomatic
ties with Tehran.
The
burst of incendiary actions has led top
opinion-makers in Washington to some radical
conclusions regarding Saudi Arabia and its role
as a US ally in the strategically vital region.
In a
lead editorial, the NY Times openly
accused the Saudis of “barbarity” and of “actions
that blatantly fan sectarian hatreds, undermine
efforts at stabilizing the region and crudely
violate human rights.”
In a
Times’ opinion piece, Toby Craig Jones, a
professor at Rutgers University, castigated
the Saudi rulers for having “embraced
sectarianism” adding, “it should also
be clarifying for those who believe that Saudi
Arabia is a force for stability in the Middle
East. It is not.”
The
Post’s influential editorialist David Ignatius expressed
frustration with American indulgence of
Saudi rulers. He wrote: “Saudi Arabia’s
insecurities have been a driver of conflict for
40 years.”
Moreover – and this is a searing admission by
the American establishment – Ignatius accused
the Saudi elite of “bankrolling Al-Qaeda’s
founders and Syrian warlords.”
Back at
the Times, a news analysis piece
by David Sanger revealed this nugget on the
decades-old US-Saudi relationship: “The
United States has usually looked the other way
or issued carefully calibrated warnings in human
rights reports as the Saudi royal family cracked
down on dissent and free speech and allowed its
elite to fund Islamic extremists. In return,
Saudi Arabia became America’s most dependable
filling station, a regular supplier of
intelligence, and a valuable counterweight to
Iran.”
Hold it
right there. The United States, we are told, has
allowed the Saudi elite to “fund Islamic
terrorists” in a tawdry trade-off for
self-interests, principally the supply of oil.
This is something that much of the world has
long suspected, but now the two main newspapers
of the US are openly saying it.
While
the Obama administration did not publicly
condemn the Saudi execution of Sheikh Nimr, it
was reported that senior officials were angry at
the House of Saud for ignoring back-channel
advice to rescind the death sentence.
That
the New York Times and the Washington Post are
now calling into question the relationship with
the kingdom shows that there is a top-level
debate within the American political
establishment about the bilateral relationship.
What is
motivating Washington’s growing impatience with
the Saudis is that the regional instability is
jeopardizing US diplomatic efforts to launch a
political process in Syria, whereby the Obama
administration is trying to engineer its
long-held goal of achieving regime change in the
Arab country. The political talks are due to
begin later this month in Geneva and involve the
participation of Russia and Iran, as well as the
Saudis.
It is
clear that Washington wants the talks on Syria
to be a framework that will lead to the eventual
ouster of Syrian President Bashar Assad. Both
Russia and Iran maintain that the fate of Assad
is the prerogative of the Syrian people.
However, the “reckless” Saudi regime is
evidently jeopardizing Washington’s carefully
cultivated political project by inflaming
regional tensions, and in particular by
antagonizing Iran – a key ally of Assad’s Syria.
So, is
Washington shifting towards a fundamental
realignment towards Saudi Arabia?
As the
New York Times noted: “For years it was oil
that provided the glue for a relationship
between two nations that share few common
values… Today, with American oil production
surging and the Saudi leadership fractured, the
mutual dependency that goes back to the early
1930s, with the first American investment in the
kingdom’s oil fields, no longer binds the
nations as it once did.”
The
idea of Washington no longer patronizing the
Saudi rulers is tantalizing, but it is rather
naive. For such a notion fails to understand the
deep, essential dependence of American global
power on the Saudi regime.
On the
issue of oil, it is not merely the supply of the
black stuff. More importantly it is the
petrodollar system by which global oil trade is
conducted. When US President Franklin D
Roosevelt held his landmark summit with Saudi’s
founding monarch, Ibn Saud, in early 1945 the
two leaders set in motion the petrodollar
arrangement by which the soon-to-be world’s top
oil producer would sell in perpetuity the
commodity denominated only in the US dollar.
For the
next seven decades, Saudi Arabia and the other
Gulf Sunni Arab oil kingdoms have helped
maintain the petrodollar system. Without this
system, the US currency would cease to be the
world’s reserve currency. Without that status,
the US would collapse in bankruptcy.
Although Saudi Arabia’s position as oil supplier
to the US may have waned in recent years, it and
the other Gulf oil sheikhdoms are nonetheless
crucial to propping up the petrodollar system.
If Saudi Arabia were, for argument’s sake, to
start trading in Chinese yuan or the euro that
would doom the dollar. In short, the US is
beholden to the Saudi regime for its financial
and economic survival.
Another
vital factor is weapons sales. Last year alone,
the US sold some $20 billion in arms to Saudi
Arabia – or about 12.5 percent of its global
weapons exports.
Perhaps
topping the list is “deterring democracy” to use
the phrase coined by American writer Noam
Chomsky. Despite pretensions of upholding
democratic values and human rights, in the real
world US foreign policy operates to suppress
democracy in order to make the world “safe” for
American capital and exploitation of natural
resources.
Washington has not merely turned a blind eye to
Saudi despotism over the past seven decades, it
has relied on it for the suppression of
democratic movements in the oil-rich Middle
East. In that way, the House of Saud is the
other side of the American coin to the Zionist
regime in Israel. Both are fundamental to
American hegemony.
The US
ruling class might be vexed with the despotic
House of Saud for stoking regional tensions and
in particular for throwing sand in the wheels of
its political schemes for regime change in
Syria. But the relationship with Saudi Arabia’s
absolutist, head-chopping regime means that
Washington can’t afford to ever give it the
chop.