Coalition or Cold War with
Russia?
American policy-makers and presidential candidates
must now make a fateful decision—join Moscow in an alliance against
ISIS, or persist in treating the Kremlin as an enemy.
By Stephen F. Cohen and Katrina vanden
HeuvelDecember 02, 2015 "Information
Clearing House" - "The
Nation" -
The 130 people murdered
in Paris on November 13 and the 224 Russians aboard a jetliner on
October 31 confront America’s current and would-be policy-makers,
Democratic and Republicans alike, with a fateful decision: whether
to join Moscow in a military, political, diplomatic, and economic
coalition against the Islamic State and other terrorist movements,
especially in and around Syria, or to persist in treating “Putin’s
Russia” as an enemy and unworthy partner.
If the goal is defending US and international
security, and human life, there is no alternative to such a
coalition. The Islamic State (ISIS, ISIL, or Daesh) and its only
“moderately” less extremist fellow jihadists are the most dangerous
and malignant threat in the world today, having slaughtered or
enslaved an ever-growing number of innocents from the Middle East
and Africa to Europe, Russia, and the United States (is Boston
forgotten?) and now declared war on the entire West.
Today’s international terrorists are no longer
mere “nonstate actors.” ISIS alone is an emerging state controlling
large territories, formidable fighting forces, an ample budget, and
with an organizing ideology, dedicated envoys of terror in more
countries than are known, and a demonstrated capacity to recruit new
citizens from others. Nor is the immediate threat limited to certain
regions of the world. The refugee crisis in Europe, to take a
looming example, is eroding the foundations of the European Union
and thus of NATO, as is the fear generated by Paris since November
13.
This spreading threat cannot be contained,
diminished, or, still less, eradicated without Russia. Its long
experience as a significantly Muslim country, its advanced military
capabilities, its special intelligence and political ties in the
Middle East, and its general resources are essential. Having lost
more lives to terrorism than any other Western nation in recent
years, Russia demands—and it deserves—a leading role in the
necessary coalition. If denied that role, Moscow, with its alliance
with Iran and China and growing political support elsewhere in the
world, will assert it, as demonstrated by Russia’s mounting air war
in Syria, whose advanced technology and efficacy against terrorist
forces are being under-reported in the US media.
France and much of Europe quickly made their
decision. Following the tragic events of November 13, French
President François Hollande called for “a grand coalition,”
specifically including Russia, against the Islamic State. Still
more, on November 17, his unprecedented appeal to the European
Union—not US-led NATO—to activate its own “mutual assistance”
provision was unanimously approved, implicitly endorsing his
proposed alliance with Russia. Hollande, rising to lead Europe, then
departed to meet with President Obama and Russian President Putin.
A few clear-sighted American political figures across
the spectrum have echoed Hollande’s call for a coalition with
Russia, among them former secretary of defense Chuck Hagel,
Republican Congressman Dana Rohrabacher, and, most importantly,
Democratic presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders.
Overwhelmingly, however, the American political-media
establishment—crucially, the Obama administration and Congress—has
taken the recklessly myopic editorial position of The Washington
Post: “An alliance with Russia would be a dangerous false step
for the United States.” Columnists and reporters of the policy
establishment’s other two leading newspapers, The New York Times
and The Wall Street Journal, similarly, to quote
Rohrabacher, “continue to denigrate Russians as if they were still
the Soviet Union and Putin, not Islamic terrorists, our most vicious
enemy.”Our policy elite’s disregard for
America’s national security is a result of the new US-Russian Cold
War under way at least since the Ukrainian crisis erupted two years
ago. We have argued repeatedly that Washington policy-makers bear
more than their reasonable share of responsibility for this
exceedingly dangerous and unnecessary development. Now is not the
time to recapitulate those arguments but instead to rethink
political attitudes toward Putin’s “pariah” Russia in order to join
Moscow in Hollande’s proposed coalition.
There are woefully few signs of such rethinking,
even after Paris. Like most of the Republican would-be presidents,
Hillary Clinton continues to speak derisively about Putin’s
leadership, insisting he “is actually making things somewhat worse.”
Inexplicably, unless she wants war with Russia, she also continues
to call for an “imposed” no-fly zone over Syria, which would mean
attacking Russian war planes flying there daily. Strobe Talbott and
John Bolton, each reportedly an aspiring secretary of state in the
next Democratic or Republican administration, respectively, agree
(uncontested, as usual, in the Times) that Putin’s Russia
remains “part of the problem.” Indeed, Paris scarcely diminished the
Cold War demonizing of Russia’s president; as Clinton did months
ago, a Post editorial and a Journal columnist
equated Putin with Hitler.
In addition to persistent Putinphobia (and perhaps
Russophobia), other ominous factors have been at work since November
13. On November 22, ultra-right Ukrainians destroyed Crimea’s source
of electricity, sharply re-escalating conflict between Moscow and
Kiev. Two days later, NATO-member Turkey shot down a Russian
warplane in still murky circumstances; jihadists waiting below
machine-gunned the pilot as his parachute descended over Syria.
Whether these two events were coincidence or provocations to prevent
a Western rapprochement with Russia, both testify that the new Cold
War, which has spread from Ukraine to Europe and now to Syria and
Turkey, risks actual war between the two nuclear superpowers.
In such perilous circumstances, only the American
president can provide decisive leadership. Over the years, Obama has
repeatedly treated and spoken of Putin in ways unbefitting the White
House—and detrimental to US national security. He did so again after
Paris. Putin told Hollande, “We are ready to cooperate with the
coalition which is led by the United States.” Obama, however, who
endorsed Turkey’s inexplicable shoot-down of the Russian warplane,
used his press conference with the French president to again demean
Putin and Russia’s contributions: “We’ve got a global coalition
organized. Russia is the outlier,” adding condescendingly that
Moscow might be permitted to participate, but only on US terms.
Those terms call for the removal of Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad as soon as possible rather than abiding by
the multinational plan for an evolutionary political transition in
Damascus. Unlike Putin and many other observers, President Obama
(and then–Secretary of State Clinton) have not learned the real
lesson of Libya, which is not “Benghazi.” It is the 2011 decision to
overthrow Libyan leader Moammar Qaddafi and abet his assassination,
which turned Libya into a terrorist-ridden failed state and now a
major base for the Islamic State. Imposed “regime change” in
Damascus may have the same consequences, while imploding the Syrian
army, currently the main “boots on the ground” fighting the Islamic
State. (As Putin candidly acknowledges, Russian warplanes seek to
protect and bolster Assad’s army, not Assad’s questionably
“moderate” enemies on the ground.)
In times of historic crisis, great leaders often
have to transcend their own political biographies, as did FDR and
Lyndon Johnson and, 30 years ago, Ronald Reagan and Mikhail
Gorbachev. It’s time for President Obama—and every candidate who
wants to succeed him—to do so.
Stephen F. Cohen is professor emeritus of
Russian studies, history, and politics at New York University and
Princeton University. A Nation contributing editor,
his recent book, Soviet Fates and Lost Alternatives: From
Stalinism to the New Cold War, is available in paperback
from Columbia University Press.
Katrina vanden Heuvel is Editor and Publisher
of The Nation.