Central Banks Have Become A Corrupting Force
By Paul Craig Roberts and Dave Kranzler
August 24, 2015 "Information
Clearing House" -
Are we witnessing the corruption of central
banks? Are we observing the money-creating powers of central banks
being used to drive up prices in the stock market for the benefit of
the mega-rich?
These questions came to mind when we learned that
the central bank of Switzerland, the Swiss National Bank, purchased
3,300,000 shares of Apple stock in the first quarter of this year,
adding 500,000 shares in the second quarter. Smart money would have
been selling, not buying.
It turns out that the Swiss central bank, in
addition to its Apple stock, holds very large equity positions,
ranging from $250,000,000 to $637,000,000, in numerous US
corporations — Exxon Mobil, Microsoft, Google, Johnson & Johnson,
General Electric, Procter & Gamble, Verizon, AT&T, Pfizer, Chevron,
Merck, Facebook, Pepsico, Coca Cola, Disney, Valeant, IBM, Gilead,
Amazon.
Among this list of the Swiss central bank’s
holdings are stocks which are responsible for more than 100% of the
year-to-date rise in the S&P 500 prior to the latest sell-off.
What is going on here?
The purpose of central banks was to serve as a
“lender of last resort” to commercial banks faced with a run on the
bank by depositors demanding cash withdrawals of their deposits.
Banks would call in loans in an effort to raise
cash to pay off depositors. Businesses would fail, and the banks
would fail from their inability to pay depositors their money on
demand.
As time passed, this rationale for a central bank
was made redundant by government deposit insurance for bank
depositors, and central banks found additional functions for their
existence. The Federal Reserve, for example, under the
Humphrey-Hawkins Act, is responsible for maintaining full employment
and low inflation. By the time this legislation was passed, the
worsening “Phillips Curve tradeoffs” between inflation and
employment had made the goals inconsistent. The result was the
introduction by the Reagan administration of the supply-side
economic policy that cured the simultaneously rising inflation and
unemployment.
Neither the Federal Reserve’s charter nor the
Humphrey-Hawkins Act says that the Federal Reserve is supposed to
stabilize the stock market by purchasing stocks. The Federal Reserve
is supposed to buy and sell bonds in open market operations in order
to encourage employment with lower interest rates or to restrict
inflation with higher interest rates.
If central banks purchase stocks in order to
support equity prices, what is the point of having a stock market?
The central bank’s ability to create money to support stock prices
negates the price discovery function of the stock market.
The problem with central banks is that humans are
fallible, including the chairman of the Federal Reserve Board and
all the board members and staff. Nobel prize-winner Milton Friedman
and Anna Schwartz established that the Great Depression was the
consequence of the failure of the Federal Reserve to expand monetary
policy sufficiently to offset the restriction of the money supply
due to bank failure. When a bank failed in the pre-deposit insurance
era, the money supply would shrink by the amount of the bank’s
deposits. During the Great Depression, thousands of banks failed,
wiping out the purchasing power of millions of Americans and the
credit creating power of thousands of banks.
The Fed is prohibited from buying equities by the
Federal Reserve Act. But an amendment in 2010 – Section 13(3) – was
enacted to permit the Fed to buy AIG’s insolvent Maiden Lane assets.
This amendment also created a loophole which enables the Fed to lend
money to entities that can use the funds to buy stocks. Thus, the
Swiss central bank could be operating as an agent of the Federal
Reserve.
If central banks cannot properly conduct monetary
policy, how can they conduct an equity policy? Some astute observers
believe that the Swiss National Bank is acting as an agent for the
Federal Reserve and purchases large blocs of US equities at critical
times to arrest stock market declines that would puncture the
propagandized belief that all is fine here in the US economy.
We know that the US government has a “plunge
protection team” consisting of the US Treasury and Federal Reserve.
The purpose of this team is to prevent unwanted stock market
crashes.
Is the stock market decline of August 20-21
welcome or unwelcome?
At this point we do not know. In order to keep the
dollar up, the basis of US power, the Federal Reserve has promised
to raise interest rates, but always in the future. The latest future
is next month. The belief that a hike in interest rates is in the
cards keeps the US dollar from losing exchange value in relation to
other currencies, thus preventing a flight from the dollar that
would reduce the Uni-power to Third World status.
The Federal Reserve can say that the stock market
decline indicates that the recovery is in doubt and requires more
stimulus. The prospect of more liquidity could drive the stock
market back up. As asset bubbles are in the way of the Fed’s policy,
a decline in stock prices removes the equity market bubble and
enables the Fed to print more money and start the process up again.
On the other hand, the stock market decline last
Thursday and Friday could indicate that the players in the market
have comprehended that the stock market is an artificially inflated
bubble that has no real basis. Once the psychology is destroyed,
flight sets in.
If flight turns out to be the case, it will be
interesting to see if central bank liquidity and purchases of stocks
can stop the rout.
Dr. Paul Craig Roberts was
Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy and
associate editor of the Wall Street Journal. He was columnist for
Business Week, Scripps Howard News Service, and Creators Syndicate.
He has had many university appointments. His internet columns have
attracted a worldwide following. Roberts' latest books are
The Failure of Laissez
Faire Capitalism and Economic Dissolution of the West
and
How America Was Lost.