August 24, 2015 "Information
Clearing House"
- "IPS"
- The long saga on Greece is
apparently over – European institutions have given Athens a
third bailout of 86 billion euros which, combined with the
previous two, makes a grand total of 240 billion euros.
There is no doubt that the large majority of
European citizens are convinced that this is a great example of
solidarity, and that if Greece is not now able to walk on its
own feet, the responsibility will lie solely with Greek citizens
and their government.
But this is only due to the fact that the
media system has, by and large, ceased to provide alternative
views … and some people even ignore that the bailout is a loan,
and therefore increases the country’s debt.
In fact, the productive economy of Greece saw
very little of that money because the bailouts were merely
financial operations and Greek citizens, not only did not see
anything, they have even had to pay a brutal price.
The truth behind the operation has been aptly
described by Mujtaba Rahman, the respected chief Eurozone
analyst for the London-based Eurasia Group, who said: “The
bailout is not really about a growth plan for Greece, but a plan
to make sure the European Central Bank (ECB) and the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) get paid, and the euro area
does not break up.”
And the purpose of this third bailout is
clear. Of the famous 86 billion, 36 billion will go to pay the
debt with the other European governments (and first of all
Germany). Another 25 billion will go to recapitalize the Greek
banks, because much capital left the country, heading for safer
European banks. Another 18 billion will go to pay interest on
the debt which Greece has been piling up. And, finally, seven
billion will go to pay the debt of the state with Greek
enterprises.
So, seven will go to the real economy and
nothing to the citizens, who will have now to go through several
new drastic measures of austerity, which will further depress
their standards of living and their ability to spend.
Financially, the bailouts have been a success.
All the losses and bad exposure of European institutions have
been passed on to Greece. Before the first bailout, French banks
were exposed with bad bonds for 63 billion euros, now only for
1.6 billion with no losses. German banks have gone from 45 to
five billion.
What is intriguing is that a number of studies
show that until the very last moment, when it was widely known
that Greece was in deep crisis, European banks and investors
continued to buy Greek bonds.
Were they certain that Greece would pay? No,
but they were confident that the Greek government would be
rescued, and that they would therefore recover their
investments, which is exactly what happened.
The financial system has now a life of its own
and has nothing to do with real economy, which it dwarfs by
being 40 times larger (if we judge by the volumes of daily
financial transactions against the production of good and
services). Capital is untouchable and circulates freely in
Europe, unlike its citizens. And now there is a great wave of
legislation to introduce lower taxation for the richest one
percent!
During the negotiations, one frequent
accusation levelled against the Greeks was that they were unable
to have their rich ship-owners pay their share of taxes. Of
course, ship-owners place their money where it cannot be
reached.
But is this not hypocritical when we know that
there are at least two trillion euros stashed in fiscal
paradises, and that, just to give one example, nobody has got
Ryanair to really pay taxes? Not to mention the fact that when
he was prime minister of Luxembourg, European Commission
President Jean-Claude Juncker granted secret tax rebates to over
a hundred international companies?
Now Agence France Press has circulated a new
astonishing study from the German Leibnitz Institute of Economic
Research, which says that
Germany has profited from the Greek crisis to the tune of
100 billion euros, saving money through lower interest payments
on funds the government borrowed amid investor “flights to
safety” and “these savings exceed the cost of the crisis – even
if Greece were to default on its entire debt.”
Meanwhile, a large number of studies point out
how, by having a positive balance of trade with its European
partners, Germany is in fact sucking capital from Europe.
Interpreting the third bailout and its
conditions of austerity as a mere economic operation would be to
commit a great error.
No economist can believe that Greece will be
able to pay back and not only because it has always had a
fragile economy, with little industry and with tourism as its
main source of income (aggravated by decades of mismanagement
and the corruption of its traditional parties, the very parties
that European leaders would like to see come back).
Greece is already in recession and now the
doubling of VAT is going to compress consumption further, also
because there will now be further reductions in pensions and
public salaries (which have been already cut by 20 percent). It
is widely believed that the Greek debt will now reach 200
percent of its GDP, up from 170 percent prior to the bailout.
How could any economist, even in the first
year of studies, fail to understand that, by cutting consumption
and raising taxes you are bound to depress an already depressed
economy?
Well, it is no coincidence that the IMF, which
is the Rotary Club of conservative economists, has refused to
join this bailout. The IMF has said it will not put in any money
unless European creditors (which is a diplomatic way of saying
Germany) accept a restructuring of the Greek debt.
It is clear that the bailout has not been a
technical but a political operation. Many European leaders,
starting with Juncker himself, intervened in last month’s
internal Greek referendum, asking Greeks to vote against Prime
Minister Alexis Tsipras. They indicated clearly and openly, in a
campaign that the Wall Street Journal repeated in the United
States, that the revolt against austerity and the neoliberal
economy should be stopped dead in its tracks to avoid political
contagion.
For her part, German Chancellor Angela Merkel
has declared on German television that she has come to the
conclusion that °Tsipras has changed°. This has an air of dejà
vu … was it not then British Prime Margaret Thatcher who, intent
on destroying the trade unions, launched her famous TINA slogan
– There Is No Alternative?
And is there no alternative to this kind of
Europe?
Edited by
Phil Harris