Scorecard on U.S. Interventionism
By Ivan Eland
August 18, 2015 "Information
Clearing House" - "Huffington
Post" -
Since 9/11, the United States has flailed away and
attacked or invaded at least seven Muslim countries. (I say "at
least" because, in contravention of the U.S. Constitution, American
presidents now run secret overseas conflicts, including the latest
drone wars, without public knowledge or the consent of their
representatives in Congress.) Since U.S. (non-Muslim) military
presence or intervention in Muslim countries was the original
motivator for the 9/11 attacks, doubling down on a failed policy
seemed a poor bet among many expert analysts, even during the period
of hysteria after the attacks on the Pentagon and Twin Towers.
Of course, the U.S. government has never wanted to
focus public attention on its own irresponsible conduct before 9/11,
so politicians and government bureaucrats have always told the
public that the terrorists attack us because of our "freedom" or
because they are poor and jobless--neither of which stands up to
objective analysis. Yet the American public, content to only
cursorily examine the problem, is content to see it as an "us"
versus "them" or "good" versus "bad" phenomenon, never wanting to
believe that their government had been part of the original problem.
In a democracy, that would then implicate public negligence in
correcting the root of the disease: allowing the American
governmental elite to conduct profligate and unneeded U.S. meddling
into the affairs of Islamic countries.
So because we can't tread on this sensitive
ground, how about just looking at the counterproductive results
since 9/11 of escalated U.S. interventionism--more of the same that
motivated the anti-U.S. Islamist terrorist attacks in the first
place. The obvious place to start is Afghanistan. Instead of just
blasting the central al Qaeda group, the perpetrators of the 9/11
attacks, in Afghanistan and Pakistan and calling it a day, the
United States decided it was going to pacify (and democratize)
Afghanistan with a nation-building occupation. Never mind that the
British failed to do this three times and the Soviets once very
recently and that the last successful occupation of untamed and
xenophobic Afghanistan was accomplished centuries before Christ by
Cyrus the Great of Persia. But somehow, American politicians
thought, the U.S. experience would be different. Not really.
Most of U.S. troops have now been withdrawn from
Afghanistan, and the Afghan Taliban have just conducted multiple
attacks on the capital of Kabul and have made inroads in the
north--not a traditional Taliban area of strength. After more than a
decade of fighting--costing more than 2,300 American lives, many
more Afghan lives, and at least hundreds of billions of dollars--the
United States lost the war and Afghanistan's future still looks
bleak. The U.S. war in Afghanistan also destabilized the neighboring
nuclear-armed state of Pakistan--perhaps the most dangerous country
in the world--leading to the rise of the Pakistani Taliban and that
group's attacking U.S. targets, including an attempted bombing of
Times Square in New York.
Completely overreacting to 9/11--doing exactly what Osama bin Laden
and terrorists historically have wanted--George W. Bush, employing
the classic Washington trick of taking advantage of a crisis to
promote an unrelated policy agenda, needlessly invaded yet another
Muslim country. As a response to the foreign invasion of Iraq, al
Qaeda in Iraq, more brutal than central al Qaeda in Afghanistan and
Pakistan, was created. Al Qaeda in Iraq then morphed into the
Islamic State or ISIS--even more heinous than both the predecessor
groups. ISIS has now taken over large parts of Iraq and Syria. When
natural borders of culture, language, and ethnicity or tribe don't
match actual borders, then instability, chaos, and civil war may
result if the dictator holding the artificial country together is
deposed. Most experts on Iraq knew deposing Saddam Hussein in Iraq
would be a folly, but Bush did it anyway--killing about 4,500 U.S.
military personnel and hundreds of thousands of Iraqis and wasting
trillions of dollars, only to bring chaos to Iraq and increase
terrorism worldwide. Even if the United States could have left a
small number of troops in Iraq, the ethno-centric centrifugal forces
pulling the country apart still would have likely done so.
Learning nothing from Bush's meddling in Iraq,
Barack Obama decided to commit the same idiocy in Libya. Implying
the false claim that Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi was massacring
civilians, Obama, pressured by the French, overthrew Gaddafi using a
bombing campaign. Like Iraq, Libya is an artificial country. Over
the centuries, the eastern half has oriented more to Egypt and the
western part to Tunisia. Predictably, after Gaddafi was overthrown,
the country is experiencing a civil war between two rival
governments made up of tribal coalitions--one in the east and one in
the west. Even worse, jihadists, using weapons from Gaddafi's vast
stockpiles and training received at terrorist bases in Libya, have
attacked neighboring Tunisia and Mali. In Tunisia, worsening
terrorist attacks by ISIS- and al Qaeda-related groups against
tourists have led to a state of emergency being declared in the only
country with any hope of a democratic outcome from the Arab Spring
movement. In Mali, French forces had to invade the country to beat
back the Islamist militants, but recently the Islamists have
advanced their attacks into central Mali from their normal area of
operation in northern Mali.
In Yemen, another artificial country in civil war
where natural borders don't match actual borders, empirical research
has shown an increase in numbers of al Qaeda in the Arabian
Peninsula (AQAP) fighters in the wake of U.S. air attacks on that
country. When your group or country is attacked and civilians are
killed (even if accidentally), a rally-around-the-flag effect
usually occurs.
In Somalia, George W. Bush, encouraged and aided
Ethiopia, perceived as a Christian country by the Somalis, in its
invasion of the country. As a result, the al Shabaab Islamist group
was formed, which took over most of the country. The United States
then encouraged Kenya and the African Union to beat back al Shabaab.
Al Shabaab has been weakened, but these insurgencies are rarely
over. Besides, Somalis from Minnesota that have gone to fight for al
Shabaab in Somalia could come back to the United States and attack
targets here.
As in the U.S. government's original inadvertent
creation of central al Qaeda by its aiding of the Islamist
Mujahideen guerrillas against the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in
the 1980s, the subsequent U.S. record of meddling in Muslim
countries has had a load of horrible unintended consequences. Yet
after media images of the few Americans beheaded by ISIS, Obama took
the bait and went back into Iraq and attacked Syria. And the
Republicans have egged him on by saying he was a wimp for doing too
little or waiting too long to meddle in Syria.
Yet the sickness of militarism and interventionism lies not with the
politicians, but with the American people. In a democracy, the
people can eventually stop stupid and counterproductive wars, as
they did in Vietnam, but they first need to admit that their
government is doing exactly what the Islamist terrorists want in its
too public and excessively profligate military overreaction to
terrorist provocation. Occasionally, a military response may be
needed to terrorism, but it should be quick, surgical, and done in
the shadows, so as not to be a recruiting poster for jihadists.
However, the United States shouldn't be needlessly making more
enemies by doing useless meddling in the political systems of
Islamic countries.
Ivan Eland is a Senior Fellow and Director of
the Center on Peace & Liberty, The Independent Institute
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