Sleepwalking to Another Mideast Disaster
Denied crucial information about Syria, the American people are being led
toward the precipice of another Middle East war, guided by neocons and liberal
hawks who are set on “regime change” even if that means a likely victory for
Sunni terrorists, writes Robert Parry.
By Robert ParryJune 06,
2015 "Information
Clearing House" - "Consortium
News" -
If sanity ruled U.S. foreign policy, American diplomats would be pushing
frantically for serious power-sharing negotiations between Syria’s secular
government and whatever rational people remain in the opposition – and then hope
that the combination could turn back the military advances of the Islamic State
and/or Al-Qaeda’s Nusra Front.
But sanity doesn’t rule. Instead, the ever-influential neocons
and their liberal-hawk allies can’t get beyond the idea of a U.S. military
campaign to destroy President Bashar al-Assad’s army and force “regime change” –
even if the almost certain outcome would be the black flag of Islamic nihilism
flying over Damascus.
As much as one may criticize the neocons for their reckless
scheming, you can’t call them fickle. Once they come up with an idea – no matter
how hare-brained – they stick with it. Syrian “regime change” has been near the
top of their to-do list since the mid-1990s and they aren’t about to let it go
now. [See Consortiumnews.com’s “The
Mysterious Why of the Iraq War.”]
That’s one reason why – if you read recent New York Times
stories by correspondent Anne Barnard – no matter how they start, they will wind
their way to a conclusion that President Barack Obama must bomb Assad’s forces,
somehow conflating Assad’s secular government with the success of the
fundamentalist Islamic State.
On Wednesday, Barnard published, on the front page, fact-free
allegations that Assad was in cahoots with the Islamic State (also known as ISIS
or ISIL) in its offensive near Aleppo, thus suggesting that both Assad’s forces
and the Islamic State deserved to be targets of U.S. bombing attacks inside
Syria. [See Consortiumnews.com’s “NYT’s
New Propaganda on Syria.”]
On Thursday, Barnard was back on the front page co-authoring
an analysis favorably citing the views of political analyst Ibrahim
Hamidi, arguing that the only way to blunt the political appeal of the Islamic
State is to take “more forceful international action against the Syrian
president” – code words for “regime change.”
But Barnard lamented, “Mr. Assad remains in power, backed by
Iran and the militant group Hezbollah. … That, Mr. Hamidi and other analysts
said, has left some Sunnis willing to tolerate the Islamic State in areas where
they lack another defender. … By attacking ISIS in Syria while doing nothing to
stop Mr. Assad from bombing Sunni areas that have rebelled, he added, the United
States-led campaign was driving some Syrians into the Islamic State camp.”
In other words, if one follows Barnard’s logic, the United
States should expand its military strikes inside Syria to include attacks on the
Syrian government’s forces, even though they have been the primary obstacle to
the conquest of Syria by Al-Qaeda’s Nusra Front and/or Al-Qaeda’s spinoff, the
Islamic State. (Another unprofessional thing about Barnard’s articles is that
they don’t bother to seek out what the Syrian government thinks or to get the
regime’s response to accusations.)
The Sarin Story
So, “regime change” remains the neocon prescription for Syria,
one that was almost fulfilled in summer 2013 after a mysterious sarin gas attack
on Aug. 21, 2013, outside Damascus – that the U.S. government and mainstream
media rushed to blame on Assad, although some U.S. intelligence analysts
suspected early on that it was a provocation by rebel extremists.
According to intelligence sources, that suspicion of a rebel
“false-flag” operation has gained more credence inside the U.S. intelligence
community although the Director of National Intelligence refuses to provide an
update beyond the sketchy “government assessment” that was issued nine days
after the incident, blaming Assad’s forces but presenting no verifiable
evidence.
Because DNI James Clapper has balked at refining or correcting
the initial rush to judgment, senior U.S. officials and the mainstream media
have been spared the embarrassment of having to retract their initial claims –
and they also are free to continue accusing Assad. [See Consortiumnews.com’s “A
Fact-Resistant Group Think on Syria.”]
Yet, the DNI’s refusal to update the
nine-days-after-the-attack white paper undermines any hope of getting serious
about power-sharing negotiations between Assad and his “moderate” opponents. It
may be fun to repeat accusations about Assad “gassing his own people,” a reprise
of a favorite line used against Iraq’s Saddam Hussein, but it leaves little
space for talks.
There has been a similar problem in the DNI’s stubbornness
about revealing what the U.S. intelligence community has learned about the
Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 shoot-down over eastern Ukraine killing 298 people
on July 17, 2014. DNI Clapper released a hasty report five days after the
tragedy, citing mostly “social media” and pointing the blame at ethnic Russian
rebels and the Russian government.
Though I’m told that U.S intelligence analysts have vastly
expanded their understanding of what happened and who was responsible, the Obama
administration has refused to release the information, letting stand the public
perception that Russian President Vladimir Putin was somehow at fault. That, in
turn, has limited Putin’s willingness to cooperate fully with Obama on
strategies for reining in hard-charging crises in the Middle East and elsewhere.
[See Consortiumnews.com’s “US
Intel Stands Pat on MH-17 Shoot-down.”]
From the Russian perspective, Putin feels he is being falsely
accused of mass murder even as Obama seeks his help on Syria, Iran and other
hotspots. As U.S. president, Obama could order the U.S. intelligence community
to declassify what it has learned about both incidents, the 2013 sarin gas
attack in Syria and the 2014 MH-17 shoot-down in eastern Ukraine, but he won’t.
Instead, the Obama administration has used these propaganda
clubs to continue pounding on Assad and Putin – and Obama’s team shows no
willingness to put down the clubs even if they were fashioned from premature or
wrongheaded analyses. While Obama withholds the facts, the neocons and liberal
hawks are leading the American people to the cliffs of two potentially
catastrophic wars in Syria and Ukraine.
Though Obama claims that his administration is committed to
“transparency,” the reality is that it has been one of the most opaque in
American history, made much worse by his unprecedented prosecution of national
security whistleblowers.
Even in
the propaganda-crazy days of the Reagan administration, I found it
easier to consult with intelligence analysts than I do now. While those
Reagan-era analysts might have had orders to spin me, they also would give up
some valuable insights in the process. Today, there is much more fear among
analysts that they might stray an inch too far and get prosecuted.
The danger from Obama’s elitist – and manipulative – attitude
toward information is that it eviscerates the American people’s fundamental
right to know what is going on in the world and thus denies them a meaningful
say in matters of war or peace.
This problem is made worse by a mainstream U.S. news media
that marches in lockstep with neoconservatives and their “liberal
interventionist” sidekicks, narrowing the permitted policy options and guiding
an enfeebled public to a preordained conclusion – as New York Times
correspondent Anne Barnard has done over the past two days.
In the case of Syria, the only “acceptable” approach is the
reckless idea that the U.S. government must militarily damage the principal
force – the Syrian army – that is holding back the rising tide of Sunni
terrorism and then must take its chances on what comes next.
[For more on this topic, see Consortiumnews.com’s “The
Day After Damascus Falls” and “Holes
in the Neocons’ Syrian Story.”]
Investigative reporter Robert
Parry broke many of the Iran-Contra stories for The Associated Press and
Newsweek in the 1980s. You can buy his latest book,
America’s Stolen Narrative,
either in print
here or as an e-book (from
Amazon
and
barnesandnoble.com).
You also can order Robert Parry’s trilogy on the Bush Family and its connections
to various right-wing operatives for only $34. The trilogy includes
America’s Stolen Narrative.
For details on this offer,
click here.