Economic Disinformation Keeps Financial Markets Up
By Paul Craig Roberts
May 09, 2015 "Information
Clearing House" - May 8. Today’s payroll jobs report
is more of the same. The Bureau of Labor Statistics claims that 223,000 new jobs
were created in April. Let’s accept the claim and see where the jobs are.
Specialty trade contractors are credited with 41,000 jobs
equally split between residential and nonresidential. I believe these are home
and building repairs and remodeling.
The rest of the jobs, 182,000, are in domestic services.
Despite store closings and weak retail sales, 12,000 people
were hired in retail trade.
Despite negative first quarter GDP growth, 62,000 people were
hired in professional and business services, 67% of which are in administrative
and waste services.
Health care and social assistance accounted for 55,600 jobs of
which ambulatory health care services, hospitals, and social assistance
accounted for 85% of the jobs.
Waitresses and bartenders account for 26,000 jobs, and
government employed 10,000 new workers.
There are no jobs in manufacturing.
Mining, timber, oil and gas extraction lost jobs.
Temporary help services (16,100 jobs) offered 3.7 times more
jobs than law, accounting architecture, and engineering combined (4,500 jobs).
As I have pointed out for a number of years, according to the
payroll jobs reports, the complexion of the US labor force is that of a Third
World country. Most of the jobs created are lowly paid domestic services.
The well paying high productivity, high value-added jobs have
been offshored and given to foreigners who work for less. This fact, more than
the reduction in marginal income tax rates, is the reason for the rising
inequality in the distribution of income and wealth.
Offshoring middle class jobs raises corporate profits and,
thereby, the incomes of corporate owners (shareholders) and executives. But it
reduces the incomes of the majority of the population who are forced into either
lowly paid and part time jobs or unemployment.
The extraordinary decline in the labor force participation
rate indicates shrinking opportunities for the American labor force. No
economist should ever have accepted the claim that the economy was in recovery
while participation in the labor force was declining.
The officially documented decline in the labor force
participation rate casts additional doubt on the claimed increases in payroll
jobs. If jobs are growing, the labor force participation rate should not be
declining.
Having looked at the actual details of the payroll jobs
report, which are seldom if ever reported in the financial media, let’s look at
what else goes unreported in the media.
The government’s economic statistical agencies are under
pressure not to roil the financial markets. Consequently, initial reports, which
are always the headline reports, are as close as possible to the “consensus
forecast” prepared by economists in the financial sector, whose jobs are to
maintain a good atmosphere for financial instruments.
This practice results in optimistic advanced estimates and
first estimates. The real reporting comes later in revisions. For example, today
the headline was 223,000 new jobs, recovery on track, stock market up. What was
not reported by the media is that the prior month’s (March) payroll jobs growth
was cut to 85,000 jobs, substantially below population growth.
The same thing happens with the reporting of GDP growth. The
first quarter GDP advanced estimate was kept in positive territory with a
0.2%–two-tenths of one percent–growth. When the revisions arrive, which we
already know will be negative GDP growth due to the trade figure, they will not
receive the same attention.
There are many additional problems with the economic
reporting. I have written about a number of them in past reports. Here I will
provide one more example. According to the payroll jobs report oil and gas
extraction lost 3,300 jobs in April. This low number is inconsistent with what
we know about layoffs from fracking operations. According to Challenger Gray, a
private firm that tracks job cuts announced by corporations, in April 20,675
jobs were lost as a result of falling oil prices. That is more than six times
the loss reported by the payroll jobs report.
Challenger Gray reports that during the first four months of
this year, corporations have announced 201,796 job cuts. Obviously, corporations
are not creating new jobs. That is why the BLS looks to waitresses, bartenders,
remodeling contractors, government, and social services for employment growth.
Jobs offshoring has shriveled the employment opportunities for
Americans. These shriveled opportunities are largely responsible for stagnation
and decline in real median family incomes, for the falling labor force
participation rate, for the rising inequality in the income and wealth
distribution, and for student loans that cannot be repaid from the lowly paid
jobs available. Corporations and Wall Street in pursuit of short-term profits
have given the economy away. Much of the former US economy now belongs to China
and India. Corporate executives and shareholders got rich off of this give-away.
Dr. Paul Craig Roberts was
Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy and associate editor of
the Wall Street Journal. He was columnist for Business Week, Scripps Howard News
Service, and Creators Syndicate. He has had many university appointments. His
internet columns have attracted a worldwide following. Roberts' latest books are
The Failure of Laissez Faire Capitalism and Economic Dissolution of the West
and
How America Was Lost.