US “Grand Strategy” For War Against China Laid Out
By Nick Beams
May 02, 2015 "Information
Clearing House" - "WSWS"
- The advanced stage of discussions in US foreign policy circles over the
pursuit of an ever-more aggressive policy toward China has been revealed by the
recent release of a chilling report under the auspices of the influential
Council on Foreign Relations.Entitled “Revising US
Grand Strategy Toward China,” the report is nothing less than an agenda for war.
It is authored by Robert D. Blackwill and Ashley J. Tellis, both of whom have
close connections to the US State Department and various American foreign policy
think tanks.
The report cites a publication produced during World War II
defining “grand strategy” as one that “so integrates the policies and armaments
of a nation that the resort to war is either rendered unnecessary or is
undertaken with the maximum chance of victory.” This is not merely a concept of
war but “an inherent element of statecraft at all times.”
The report’s central theme is that US global dominance is
threatened by the rise of China and this process must be reversed by economic,
diplomatic and military means.
Significantly, at the beginning of the report, its authors
cite the Pentagon’s Defence Planning Guidance document of 1992, produced in the
wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union, which insisted that US strategy had to
“refocus on precluding the emergence of any potential future global competitor.”
While asserting that China has a “grand strategy” for regional
and ultimately global domination, the authors make clear they regard the threat
to the US position as arising from China’s economic growth within the present
international order.
This analysis recalls that advanced at the beginning of 1907
by the senior British Foreign Office official Eyre Crowe about the impact on
Britain of the rise of Germany. Crowe concluded that, whatever the intentions of
its leaders, Germany’s economic expansion, in and of itself, constituted a
threat to the British Empire. Seven years later, the two major powers were at
war.
China is not an imperialist power as Germany was, but its very
economic rise is undermining the US position.
According to the report: “Because the American effort to
‘integrate’ China into the liberal international order has now generated new
threats to US primacy in Asia—and could eventually result in a consequential
challenge to American power globally—Washington needs a grand strategy toward
China that centres on balancing the rise of Chinese power rather than continuing
to assist its ascendancy.”
A repeat of the Cold War policy based on “containment” is not
possible because that was grounded on the autarkic policies of the Soviet Union,
whereas China’s economic growth is bound up with economic globalisation and
China’s integration into world markets.
In its own way, this assertion is a direct confirmation of the
Marxist analysis that the origins of war lie in the very modus operandi of the
capitalist system itself. China has operated within the framework of the global
market, established not least by the United States, but this integration has
itself undermined US primacy.
In the report’s words: “US support for China’s entry into the
global trading system has thus created the awkward situation in which Washington
has contributed towards hastening Beijing’s economic growth and, by extension,
accelerated its rise as a geopolitical rival.”
Accordingly, in advancing the core elements of an American
“grand strategy,” the authors place considerable importance on economic issues.
As part of a plan to “vitalize” the economy, the US should “construct a new set
of trading relationships in Asia that exclude China, fashion effective tools to
deal with China’s pervasive use of geo-economic tools in Asia and beyond, and,
in partnership with US allies and like-minded partners, create a new
technology-control mechanism vis-a-vis China.”
The Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP), which currently excludes
China and for which Obama is now seeking fast-track authority from the US
Congress to negotiate, is regarded as essential. Failure to deliver it would
“seriously weaken” the US grand strategy.
The report’s focus on the underlying economic issues by no
means implies any downgrading of military means. On the contrary, the authors
spell out detailed measures, both in terms of US policy and those it must secure
from its allies in the region.
The relationship with Japan is regarded as occupying first
place. The report’s proposals include an expansion of the US-Japan security
relationship to encompass all of Asia, the upgrading of the Japanese military,
aligning Japan with concepts such as Air-Sea battle—a massive attack on military
facilities in mainland China—and intensifying Japanese cooperation with
ballistic missile defence (BMD). Anti-missile systems are seen as vital for a
first-strike strategy, which aims to render inoperable any retaliation.
With regard to South Korea, the report calls for increased BMD
capacity, as well as a comprehensive strategy, developed with Japan, to bring
about “regime change” in North Korea.
Australia is described as the “southern anchor” of US
relationships in the Pacific. The report calls for the use of the Stirling naval
base in Western Australia to support “US naval force structure in the region.”
The US and Australia should deploy surveillance and unmanned aerial vehicles on
Australia’s Cocos Islands in the Indian Ocean and “the two countries should work
together to more rapidly identify potential Australian contributions to
ballistic missile defence.”
And the list goes on. Indian nuclear weapons must be seen as
an “asset” in the current balance of power, and US-India military co-operation
should increase. Indonesia’s role in joint military exercises must be expanded,
naval exercises with Vietnam stepped up and the Philippines must develop a full
range of defence capabilities.
On the political front, the report calls for the reinforcement
of trusted strategic relationships and partnerships throughout the Indo-Pacific
region that include traditional US alliances but go beyond them. It advocates
strengthening Asian states’ “ability to cope with China independently” and
building new forms of intra-Asian co-operation—clearly directed to counter
China—that do not always involve the US but are systematically supported by it.
After detailing these anti-China measures on the economic,
military and political fronts, the report states that the US must energise
“high-level diplomacy” with China to “mitigate the inherently profound tensions”
and to “reassure US allies and friends in Asia and beyond that its objective is
to avoid a confrontation with China.”
The source of this blatant contradiction lies in a no less
significant component of the US war drive—the offensive on the ideological
front. The purpose of the “high-level diplomacy” and even possible joint
ventures with China on some issues, is to manufacture the propaganda lie that
the cause of war is the fault of America’s enemy—in this case Chinese
assertiveness and aggression. That lie has been central to the launching of US
military activity ever since it became an imperialist power at the end of the
19th century.
In reality, the report itself specifically rules out any
accommodation with China. In their conclusion, the authors state: “[T]here is no
real prospect of building fundamental trust, ‘peaceful coexistence,’ ‘mutual
understanding,’ a strategic partnership, or a ‘new type of major country
relations’ between the United States and China.”
The release of this report and its clear elaboration of the US
war drive underscore the necessity for the development of a socialist strategy
against war by the international working class. This will be at the centre of
tomorrow’s May Day Online International Rally called by the International
Committee of the Fourth International.
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