An exclusive look inside newly declassified documents shows how Israel blocked
U.S. efforts to uncover its secret nuclear reactor.
By AVNER COHEN and WILLIAM BURR
April 16, 2015 "ICH"
- "Politico" - For decades, the world has known that the massive Israeli
facility near Dimona, in the Negev Desert, was the key to its secret nuclear
project. Yet, for decades, the world—and Israel—knew that Israel had once
misleadingly referred to it as a “textile factory.” Until now, though, we’ve
never known how that myth began—and how quickly the United States saw through
it. The answers, as it turns out, are part of a fascinating tale that played out
in the closing weeks of the Eisenhower administration—a story that begins with
the father of Secretary of State John Kerry and a familiar charge that the U.S.
intelligence community failed to “connect the dots.”
In
its final months, even as the Kennedy-Nixon presidential race captivated the
country, the Eisenhower administration faced a series of crises involving Cuba
and Laos. Yet, as the fall of 1960 progressed, President Dwight D. Eisenhower
encountered a significant and unexpected problem of a new kind—U.S. diplomats
learned and U.S. intelligence soon confirmed that Israel was building, with
French aid, a secret nuclear reactor in the Negev Desert. Soon concluding that
the Israelis were likely seeking an eventual nuclear weapons capability, the
administration saw a threat to strategic stability in the Middle East and a
nuclear proliferation threat. Adding fuel to the fire was the perception that
Israel was deceitful, or had not “come clean,” as CIA director Allen Dulles put
it. Once the Americans started asking questions about Dimona, the site of
Israel’s nuclear complex, the Israelis gave evasive and implausible cover
stories.
A little anecdote about an occurrence sometime in September
1960 sheds light on the development of U.S. perceptions that Israel was being
less than honest about Dimona. That month, Addy Cohen, then the young director
of the Foreign Aid Office at the Israeli Finance Ministry, hosted the U.S.
Ambassador to Israel Ogden Reid and some of his senior staff for a tour of the
Dead Sea Works—a large Israeli potash plant in Sdom, on the Dead Sea coast of
Israel. The Israeli Air Force provided a Sikorsky S-58 helicopter to fly the
American group from Tel Aviv to Sdom. As they were returning on the helicopter,
near the new town of Dimona, Reid pointed to a huge industrial site under heavy
construction and asked what it was.
Ambassador Reid’s question may not have been that innocent. A
few months earlier, the U.S. embassy at Tel Aviv had already heard rumors—which
it reported back to Washington—about a secret nuclear complex under construction
in the Negev. This was a good opportunity to ask questions to an Israeli
official who might know. As it happened, Cohen, a close aide to Finance Minister
Levi Eshkol, was indeed the right person. He knew about the secret project
because Dimona “was discussed in one of the Treasury Ministry executive meetings
under Eshkol.” Cohen also knew that he could not share what he knew with his
American friends.
“I was not prepared to [answer] Ambassador Reid's question
[about the Dimona site],” recalls Cohen, who is now 87 years of age and lives in
Israel, so “I ad-libbed by referring to Trostler, the Jerusalemite architect [a
relative of his wife], who actually designed a textile plant there [at Dimona].”
“Why, that’s a textile plant,” responded Cohen to the
question. Cohen’s answer was not completely false, but it was surely evasive.
Looking back, Cohen told us this month, “It may have transpired that I was the
first one who referred to the project as a ‘textile plant’ but I can assure you
that it was not planned.”
Over the years, the “textile factory” story has been cited
often as Israel's official early cover story and it acquired legendary status,
but exactly when the story came about has been a mystery. Cohen’s new statement,
paired with recently unearthed U.S. government documents, clarifies for the
first time this historical puzzle and sheds new light on how Washington missed
warning signs about Dimona, how it belatedly discovered the reactor and, later,
how it reacted to the finding. It’s a particularly fascinating story set against
the backdrop of the modern-day international negotiations over Iran’s budding
nuclear ambition and the secrets its program holds.
The Eisenhower administration’s “discovery” of Dimona was
belated indeed, more than five years after Israel had made a secret national
commitment to create a nuclear program aimed at providing an option to produce
nuclear weapons; more than three years after Israel had signed a secret
comprehensive nuclear bargain with France; and two years or more after Israel
had begun the vast excavation and construction work at the Dimona site. It was
clearly a major blunder of American intelligence. In comparative terms, it was
probably as severe as the failures to anticipate the Indian nuclear tests of
1974 and 1998.
What was a breakdown of U.S. intelligence was a tremendous
counterintelligence success for Israel, providing precious time for the highly
vulnerable Dimona project. Had the United States discovered Dimona two years
earlier—even a year earlier—the young and fragile undertaking might not have
survived the weight of U.S. and world pressure generally.
This article, recounting the Dimona discovery and its
implications, is based on a
special
collection of declassified documents published on Wednesday by the National
Security Archive, the Nuclear Proliferation International History Project, and
the Center for Nonproliferation Studies of the Middlebury Institute of
International Studies at Monterey.
The Israeli Decision and Lapses in U.S. Intelligence
The Americans were truly surprised by the audacity of the
Israeli nuclear project. Soon after Prime Minister Ben-Gurion came to power in
1955, he launched a secret initiative to determine whether, and how, Israel
could build a nuclear infrastructure to support a national program aimed at
producing nuclear explosives. A senior defense official named Shimon Peres took
charge of the project. Within three years, he did the almost
impossible—transforming the idea of a national nuclear program from a vague
vision into a real technological achievement. Unlike the chairman of the Israeli
Atomic Energy Commission (IAEC), Professor David Ernst Bergmann, who preached
self-reliance, Peres’ overall philosophy was that Israel must not and could not
reinvent the wheel—it had to focus on finding a foreign supplier who could
provide the most comprehensive nuclear package possible suited for a
weapons-oriented program.
By 1958, Peres had drawn up the project’s master plan: France
would be the primary foreign supplier of the reactor and related technology,
Norway would provide the heavy water and possibly be the backup plan, and the
United States, through a small peaceful package, gathered under Eisenhower’s
“Atoms of Peace” program, would serve as the camouflage for the whole
project—mostly as a way to conceal the Dimona project from the United States
itself. The camouflage was the U.S. “Atoms for Peace”-financed 1 MW light water
“swimming pool” reactor at Nachal Soreq.
This brings us to secrecy, because Dimona is the story of a
huge secret. Secrecy was essential to shield and insulate the highly vulnerable,
newly-born project from hostile outsiders. At the very core, of course, it was
an Israeli secret—the largest, most awesome and longest-held secret that Israel
has ever generated. But it was more than just an Israeli secret; Israel’s
partners France and Norway also wanted secrecy.
In a sense, the secrecy surrounding Dimona was aimed primarily
at the United States. Of all the powers, Washington posed the greatest threat.
Since the time of the Baruch Plan in 1946 the United States was on the record as
an opponent of the spread of nuclear weapons. Moreover, Washington helped create
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in 1957, the very same year the
French-Israeli deal was signed and since then it had promoted the establishment
of an international safeguards system. Should the Dimona secret have been
compromised, the United States would have likely exercised pressure on France
and Israel either to terminate the project altogether or at least to submit it
to international safeguards.
Yet the United States had inklings that Israel was up to
something. In 1958, a U.S. diplomat in Tel Aviv learned from a conversation with
Bergman that the Israelis had a reactor project underway. But no one followed
this up. The next year, in mid-1959, Richard Kerry (father of the future
Secretary of State John Kerry), a political officer at the U.S. embassy in Oslo,
learned that Norway was selling to Israel 20 tons of heavy water, a key
ingredient for the Dimona reactor. As the United Kingdom had an excess stock of
Norwegian-supplied heavy water, the British secretly shipped it directly to
Israel. This permitted the Norwegian company NORATOM to make the product
available without needing political clearance from top levels of the Norwegian
government. Kerry’s report back to Washington went to the mid-levels of the
Atomic Energy Commission and the State Department. Although the Israelis pledged
peaceful use for the heavy water, but there is no record that the report
circulated at high levels, let alone that it raised questions by Secretary of
State Christian Herter about what the Israelis would be doing with heavy water
and a new reactor.
Why these 1958 and 1959 reports were buried in obscurity at
the time remains a mystery. It remains an open question whether some people in
the U.S. intelligence community or the State Department were sympathetic to the
Israelis and deliberately concealed or bypassed certain information. According
to Dino Brugioni, an analyst who served at the CIA Photographic Intelligence
Center, the U-2 program was generating photographs of the Dimona construction
site, plainly indicating a nuclear project. That intelligence, Brugioni told one
of us years ago, was presented to President Eisenhower by Brugioni’s boss,
Arthur C. Lundahl. Yet, when Eisenhower learned about those findings his
attitude was apparently one of indifference.
The Discovery
So how did Washington finally discover Dimona and why was the
attitude one of great concern? The story that we reconstruct here, which is
based upon newly unearthed, hitherto obscure primary sources, is still
incomplete and fragmentary. Much of the record is still classified at the U.S.
National Archives, not only in State Department files but also the records of
the Atomic Energy Commission. Indeed over one hundred documents from 1960-1961
still remain classified in NARA until a pending declassification request sets
them free. Yet, based on the available declassified record, it is possible to
tell a fascinating story, much of which is novel.
The first report that Israel was secretly building a large
nuclear reactor with French assistance came to the U.S. embassy in Tel Aviv
through an American source. In late July 1960 David Anderson, an employee of
American Machine and Foundry (AMF) Atomics—the company which installed the Atoms
for Peace reactor at Nachal Soreq—informed U.S. Embassy officials that he had
heard that French personnel were constructing “a 60 megawatt atomic power
reactor” in the Beersheba area. His source was an Israeli oil company director
who told Anderson that the French nationals were working on a project described
to him as “gas cooled power reactor capable of producing approximately 60
megawatts of electrical power.” Anderson’s understanding was that the project
had been under way for “about two years” with the completion date two years off.
This report is the first and earliest available U.S. document that makes
explicit reference to the Dimona project as it was actually under way.
When the U.S intelligence community got wind of the embassy
report, it took time to digest it; U.S. officials realized that more information
was needed, given that they had no independent sources to corroborate the
report. The CIA formulated a list of questions about French-Israeli
collaboration, including the organizations involved in the project, reactor
specifications, and plans for spent fuel, e.g. whether the Israelis were
building a chemical separation plant. Only in October 1960 did the State
Department send the CIA questions as an “Instruction” to the U.S. embassy in
Israel, with the embassy in Paris and the U.S. mission to the IAEA also
receiving copies. The request for information did not get high priority; it had
a “Routine collection priority.”
If the U.S. embassy in Israel sent back a formal response, it
is still unknown. But U.S. military attachés in Israel started collecting
information and taking photographs as surreptitiously as they could. One attempt
to ferret out information is known. In November 1958, John Rouleau, the AEC’s
representative in Paris, tried unsuccessfully, meeting with complete denial from
an unnamed official of the French Atomic Energy Commission (CEA). That official
“stated flatly that the French CEA was not collaborating with the Israelis in
the construction of a nuclear power reactor.” In retrospect, it is impossible to
say whether the CEA interlocutor really knew nothing about Dimona—the deal was
highly compartmentalized and secret within the CEA—or whether he made a
deliberate effort to mislead the United States. Strictly speaking, of course,
his statement was not a lie since the Dimona reactor was not a power reactor.
The French denial did little to knock Washington off the
scent, as the U.S. government was beginning to use its own sources, including
British intelligence. In late November 1960, Secretary of State Herter, who was
greatly concerned about nuclear proliferation, brought up the matter directly
with British Ambassador Harold Caccia: Washington had unconfirmed reports that a
“plutonium-producing reactor may be being built in Israel with French aid.”
Furthermore, France may be giving the Israelis the “know how” to build “crude
atomic bombs.”
Finally, that same month in November 1960, a unique human
source came forward: Flying back to Ann Arbor on his way back from Israel,
Professor Henry Gomberg, from the faculty of the University of Michigan’s
nuclear engineering department, briefly stopped in Paris and met with Roleau. As
a guest of the Israeli AEC—a consultant on nuclear education matters—Gomberg had
picked up some “urgent and secret” pieces of information (and suspicions) about
a large classified Israeli nuclear program that he wanted to share with U.S.
government officials. Several days later, on December 1st, Gomberg came to
Washington for a full joint debriefing of AEC and State Department officials.
The CIA also debriefed him. Gomberg had reasons to be convinced that Dimona
closely resembled France’s Marcoule reactor, which was part of France’s weapons
program. Certainly, he believed, the Israelis were creating a much larger and
more thorough nuclear training program than was needed by their own declared
activities. One of his sources provided unexpected information: some Israeli
technicians expected to be working with gram-size quantities of plutonium and
curie quantities of polonium. The plutonium issue clearly had nuclear weapons
implications.
Gomberg’s information probably reinforced the thinking of
intelligence community officials who already had underway a Special National
Intelligence Estimate (SNIE) on Dimona, titled “Implications of the Acquisition
by Israel of a Nuclear Weapons Capability.” On December 8th, CIA Director Allen
Dulles signed off on the SNIE, which concluded that “on the basis of all
available evidence” plutonium production for nuclear weapons “is at least one
major purpose of this effort.” The “surrounding” secrecy and Dimona’s remote
location was strong evidence of the military purposes. Moreover, Israel would be
able to “produce some weapons grade plutonium in 1963-64 and possibly as early
as 1962.” Such a development could cause “consternation” in the Arab world,
which would put blame both on Paris and Washington for Dimona; moreover, it
could simultaneously reduce “inhibitions” worldwide against nuclear
proliferation and create international pressures to reverse the spread of
nuclear weapons. That same day, Dulles briefed President Eisenhower and the
National Security Council on the estimate and passed around the photographs of
the Dimona site.
The SNIE was only the first cut; more needed to be known about
Dimona and some old information would soon be rediscovered, such as the 1959
reports from Richard Kerry about the heavy water from Norway. Herter had an
opportunity in mid-December to find out more when he was in Paris for a NATO
meeting. There he saw his French counterpart, Foreign Minister Maurice Couve de
Murville, who acknowledged the secret French-Israeli deal to build a “replica of
[the] Marcoule plant.” Under the agreement, Couve de Murville added, France
would supply Israel the raw materials and receive any plutonium produced by the
plant. The Israelis would not make any public statement without first consulting
the French government. In reply to Herter’s question about how the plant was
financed, Couve stated that he “assumed the money came from” you. Herter
understood Couve’s comment to mean that the project was financed by the
“diversion of U.S. government or private [American] aid.”
A few days later, on December 19, press stories—based on leaks
by AEC director John McCone—were appearing and Eisenhower met with top advisers
for an in-depth discussion of the Israeli nuclear program. Some were convinced
that it was a military project and that there was a plan for a secret
reprocessing plant to produce plutonium. Top officials were deeply concerned by
the role of U.S. tax-exempt funds in underwriting the secret project, a problem
that potentially could have raised difficult domestic political questions.
Dilemmas for U.S. Policy
But Eisenhower’s preferred diplomatic solution to the Dimona
challenge was also challenging. IAEA had been founded as an institution that
would develop capabilities to safeguard nuclear reactors and prevent diversion
of resources into military uses. Therefore, Eisenhower believed that Israel
should “forthwith open the plants,” not only to IAEA inspections but also to
visits by U.S. expert scientists. Above all, however, Eisenhower and his
advisers wanted Israel to be forthcoming privately and publicly about exactly
what it was doing in the Negev.
Thus, the Eisenhower administration—which only had a month
left in office—was circumspect in its reaction to the discovery. A diplomatic
confrontation would have been politically impossible. The newly found documents
indicate that a huge gap existed between what senior U.S. officials said to each
other about Dimona and what they said to the Israelis. While they recognized
clear weapons intentions that posed a significant proliferation risk, when
talking to the Israelis they masked their irritation and suspicion. Opting for a
cautious approach, they avoided a quarrel and confined themselves—first, to
seeking answers about Dimona and Israel’s intentions, and, second, to
encouraging Israel to accept visits by U.S. scientists and IAEA safeguards as
ways to constrain Israeli freedom of action.
On December 22nd, Prime Minister Ben-Gurion gave a statement
in the Knesset on the matter of Dimona—the only such statement ever
given—pledging that the reactor was solely for peaceful purposes, a statement
welcomed by the State Department. Two days later, Ambassador Ogden Reid finally
had a long discussion with Ben-Gurion. The latter was plainly irritated about
the questions and the press reports: “Why in [the] States is everything being
told [by] everybody?” Yet his account of the Dimona project consisted of the
same story that he had told the Knesset: the project was for the economic
development of Israel and of the Negev in particular; electric power was a badly
needed resource. Yet when Reid asked if the reactor would be producing power,
Ben-Gurion said no; it was for research and training.
Truly candid, however, was the Finance Ministry’s Cohen, the
man who three months earlier had referred to the site as a “textile factory.” In
discussions with embassy and foreign aid officials, he gave the impression that
the reactor would “eventually be used for weapons purposes” as a “‘deterrent’ to
Arab action against Israel.” Cohen further admitted that that the government of
Israel had “been misbehaving a little,” no doubt a reference to the cover
stories and perhaps also to the improper use of U.S.-supplied funds. Indeed,
Cohen worried that Washington would cut aid or delay promised funds, but that
did not happen, although U.S. officials did discuss such delays.
Cohen’s frankness and Ben-Gurion’s non-answers made U.S.
government officials annoyed that the Israelis had been trying to pull the wool
over their eyes. Assistant Secretary of State Lewis worried about what he saw as
“intemperate” reactions by U.S. officials but he recognized the widespread
impression that “the Israelis have inexcusably duped us.” To the State
Department, Ben-Gurion’s replies about Dimona “appear evasive.” The “clearly
apparent lack of candor” was “difficult to reconcile with [the] confidence which
had traditionally characterized U.S.-Israel relations.” The Department continued
to press for more candid answers from the Israelis about Dimona, especially
whether they had a nuclear weapons program in mind.
In early January 1960, Ambassador Reid brought these questions
up in another meeting with Ben-Gurion. The telegram itself remains classified,
but a summary is available. The essence of the matter, according to Ben-Gurion,
was that: (1) Israel “has no plans for producing nuclear weapons”; (2) Israel
had no plutonium but “as far as we know” returning the plutonium produced by the
reactor was a “condition” imposed by the country (France) that sold the uranium;
and (3) it would not accept IAEA inspection, especially if Russians were
involved, or international safeguards “until all reactors are treated as
equals.” The implication was that Israel would not accept international
safeguards and inspections until they applied to every reactor around the world.
Ben-Gurion, however, did allow for the possibility of visits by representatives
of “friendly power,” an offer that the incoming Kennedy administration would
pursue. How State Department officials interpreted these statements remains
unknown, but they probably saw the answer about nuclear weapons as evasive.
More answers would come from the French, who asserted that
plutonium produced in the reactor would be returned to France, that France and
Israel had agreed that the reactor was for “exclusively peaceful use,” and that
French inspectors would be visiting the reactor. Yet what mechanisms were in
place to assure that French took the plutonium and to assure that Israel kept
its pledges remained unclear.
Sometime in late January 1961, days after Kennedy had sworn
in, the U.S. Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee prepared a “post-mortem”
study on the SNIE on Dimona. This document is one of the most intriguing
documents in the collection. Its aim was to explain why the US intelligence
community had failed to detect in real time the Israeli nuclear project, and
indeed how late it was in making that determination. It provides an account of
what was known, and when, about the Israeli nuclear program, concluding that
Washington might have seen through Israeli “secrecy or deception” and better
understood Israeli intentions at least a year earlier if the “atomic energy
intelligence community had properly interpreted” the available information. In
essence, the overall conclusion was that the root cause of the delay was not so
much the absence of information but rather that some important reports and items
of information had been lost in the shuffle and the dots not properly
connected.
As the classification of this document is only “secret,” and
the document is relatively brief and deliberately vague about the intelligence
means and sources employed in the final determination (e.g. it does not refer
explicitly to the U-2 flights), it is quite possible that the intelligence
community had more sensitive information that it excluded from this version of
the post-mortem or that a more thorough report on the subject existed with
higher classification.
Ultimately, the challenge of Dimona was too big for Eisenhower
to resolve; it has to fall in the lap of his newly elected successor. Ben-Gurion
would tell John F. Kennedy the very same cover story and make sure that U.S.
visitors to Dimona learned very little. Israel continued to refuse IAEA
safeguards on Dimona. And Washington would discover that France had little power
to ensure that Israeli kept its promises.
The dilemma the Eisenhower administration faced after the
discovery of Dimona in December 1960-January 1961 would endure for the entire
decade. From then on, three successive U.S. administrations—under presidents
Kennedy, Johnson and Nixon—would have to deal with it as well. President Kennedy
chose the toughest path of struggle and confrontation in his effort to check the
program; President Johnson realized that the U.S. had limited leverage on the
issue and planted the seeds of compromise and looked the other way; finally, in
a bargain with Prime Minister Golda Meir, President Nixon accepted the Israel’s
de facto nuclear status as long as it stayed secret—a controversial and
unacknowledged deal that remains in place effectively through the current day.
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