Bibi’s Iran shocker: How He Accidentally Revealed his
Desire for More War
Netanyahu has long claimed he doesn't want the U.S. to go to war with Iran. But
this weekend, he let the truth slip
By Elias Isquith
April 07, 2015 "ICH"
- "Salon"
- Throughout his career, but especially in the time since President Barack
Obama’s 2012 reelection, Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has revealed
himself to be something most politicians are not: a terrible bullshitter.
I don’t mean “terrible” in a normative sense, though he often
deploys bullshit for ends that I find morally abhorrent. I mean “terrible” in
the sense of lacking skill. Even if you adjust your measurements to reflect his
profession (where bullshit is nearly omnipresent), Netanyahu’s phoniness is
obvious. It’s a strange thing to say about the second-longest serving PM in
Israel’s history, I grant, but it’s true nonetheless. It’s absurdly easy to tell
when “Bibi” is full of it.
Let’s take the multiple appearances he made this weekend on
American television, for example. During his time on both NBC’s “Meet the Press”
and CNN’s “State of the Union” and ABC’s “This Week,” Netanyahu repeated the
argument he made during
his farcical speech before (most
of) the Congress earlier this year. Evidently, the fact that the outline of
an agreement negotiators unveiled last week is broadly seen as
better than expected has not caused him to reevaluate his position.
That’s his right, of course; and I’d never suggest that this
longtime hawk’s fear of a nuclear Iran is insincere. But when Netanyahu
tried to respond to
a criticism levied his way by supporters of an agreement — that he wouldn’t
accept any deal with the Iranian regime, short of its complete
capitulation — he meandered over the line separating alarmism from bullshit. The
choice wasn’t between compromise and war,
he said.
There was “a third alternative” of “standing firm, [and] ratcheting up the
pressure until you get a better deal.”
As countless people
familiar with the issue have noted, it’s
hard to imagine Netanyahu’s strategy not
backfiring spectacularly. If the West
walked away from negotiations, as Netanyahu
recommends, it’s unlikely that countries in
the European Union would respond by
increasing sanctions to force Iran to be
more compliant. What’s more likely is that
they’d blame the U.S., relax their
sanctions, and get back in business with the
regime instead. As far as many
businesspeople in Europe, China and Russia
see it, time and money are being wasted; and
many of them don’t particularly care if
Israel is under threat.
Netanyahu has always
lacked a good answer to this problem, but
that has never seemed to worry him. In his
hypothetical scenario, the step after the
collapse of the global sanctions agreement
is left blank. It’s kind of like the
underpants gnome version of
international politics. But for most other
observers — including those who ultimately
oppose a deal — that’s when a new war most
likely steps in. And with negotiations now
at their do-or-die moment, Netanyahu can’t
wave-away the implications of a diplomacy
breakdown to the same degree he has
throughout Obama’s presidency.
During
his appearance on ABC, though, the mask
slipped. “How did you get a peaceful
solution in Syria?” he asked, referring to
the crisis of late-2013, when Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad allegedly used
chemical weapons against his own people, and
did so despite
President Obama’s earlier threats. “You
ratcheted up the pressure,” Netanyahu
continued. “And when Syria saw … those
pressures were raining down on them, they
agreed … to what was not agreed before.” But
as Netanyahu surely knows, this answer is
disingenuous at best.
Why is the Syria example
so misleading? Not because Netanyahu’s mixed
up his timeline or misrepresented the
cause-and-effect. And not because Assad and
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei are
allies, not the same person. No, the reason
Netanyahu’s example is such nonsense is
because it shows almost the exact opposite
of what he said. If not for
a last-minute intervention by Russian
President Vladimir Putin, who offered to act
as a mediator and dismantle its client
Assad’s chemical weapons, a war between
Syria and the United States is exactly what
would have happened.
Unless Netanyahu envisions
a scenario in which the U.S. is just moments
away from dropping bombs on Iran, only to
have China or Russia step in and dismantle
Iran’s nuclear infrastructure instead, it’s
a worthless comparison. And even in that
bizarre and unlikely circumstance, Iran
would still have to agree to give up its
nuclear capacities, which no Iranian leader
would agree to do, because it would be
widely seen as a national humiliation. To
say that even one part of this
elaborate alternative universe could become
reality would be an absurd exaggeration.
When Netanyahu says he
wants a “good” diplomatic solution more than
he wants war, don’t listen to him. His
definition of “good” would, in the eyes of
Iran’s leaders (and others), be better
understood as complete surrender. And it’s
not incidental, of course, that even he only
imagines this happening after the
U.S. walks up to the very precipice of yet
another war with a Muslim-majority nation.
For Netanyahu’s claim not to prefer war to
the deal on the table, in other words, there
can be only one fair description: bullshit.
Elias Isquith is a
staff writer at Salon, focusing on
politics. Follow him on Twitter at
@eliasisquith,
and email him at
eisquith@salon.com.