Doomsday Clock Set at 3
Minutes to Midnight
By Megan Gannon
January 22, 2015 "ICH"
- "Live
Science"
- The world is "3 minutes" from doomsday.
That's the grim outlook from
board members of The Bulletin of the Atomic
Scientists. Frustrated with a lack of
international action to address
climate change and shrink nuclear
arsenals, they decided today (Jan. 22) to
push the minute hand of their iconic
"Doomsday Clock" to 11:57 p.m.
It's the first time the
clock hands have moved in three years; since
2012, the clock had been fixed at 5 minutes
to symbolic doom, midnight. [End
of the World? Top Doomsday Fears]
The Bulletin of the Atomic
Scientists doesn't use the clock to make any
real
doomsday predictions. Rather, the clock
is a visual metaphor to warn the public
about how close the world is to a
potentially civilization-ending catastrophe.
Each year, the magazine's board analyzes
threats to humanity's survival to decide
where the Doomsday Clock's hands should be
set.
Experts on the board said
they felt a sense of urgency this year
because of the world's ongoing addiction to
fossil fuels, procrastination with enacting
laws to cut greenhouse gas emissions and
slow efforts to get rid of
nuclear weapons.
"We are not saying it is
too late to take action but the window for
action is closing rapidly," Kennette
Benedict, executive director of The Bulletin
of the Atomic Scientists, said in a news
conference this morning in Washington, D.C.
"We move the clock hand today to inspire
action."
For instance, if nothing
is done to reduce the amount of
heat-trapping gasses, such as carbon
dioxide, in the atmosphere, Earth could be 5
to 15 degrees Fahrenheit (3 to 8 degrees
Celsius) warmer by the end of century, said
Sivan Kartha, a senior scientist at the
Stockholm Environment Institute.
The Bulletin of the Atomic
Scientists doesn't use the clock to make any
real
doomsday predictions. Rather, the clock
is a visual metaphor to warn the public
about how close the world is to a
potentially civilization-ending catastrophe.
Each year, the magazine's board analyzes
threats to humanity's survival to decide
where the Doomsday Clock's hands should be
set.
Experts on the board said
they felt a sense of urgency this year
because of the world's ongoing addiction to
fossil fuels, procrastination with enacting
laws to cut greenhouse gas emissions and
slow efforts to get rid of
nuclear weapons.
"We are not saying it is
too late to take action but the window for
action is closing rapidly," Kennette
Benedict, executive director of The Bulletin
of the Atomic Scientists, said in a news
conference this morning in Washington, D.C.
"We move the clock hand today to inspire
action."
For instance, if nothing
is done to reduce the amount of
heat-trapping gasses, such as carbon
dioxide, in the atmosphere, Earth could be 5
to 15 degrees Fahrenheit (3 to 8 degrees
Celsius) warmer by the end of century, said
Sivan Kartha, a senior scientist at the
Stockholm Environment Institute.
Some people might not feel
alarmed when they see those numbers; they
might normally experience that kind of
temperature swing in the course of a single
day, Kartha said. But, he said a temperature
increase of that magnitude was enough to
bring the world out of the
last ice age, and it will be enough to
"radically transform" the Earth's surface in
the future.
Sharon Squassoni, another
board member and director of the
Proliferation Prevention Program at the
Center for Strategic and International
Studies, said nuclear disarmament efforts
have "ground to a halt" and many nations are
expanding, not scaling back, their nuclear
capabilities. Russia is upgrading its
nuclear program, India plans to expand its
nuclear submarine fleet, and Pakistan has
reportedly started operating a third
plutonium reactor, Squassoni said.
She said the United States
has good rhetoric on nuclear
nonproliferation, but at the same time is in
the midst of a $335 billion overhaul of its
nuclear program. (That figure seems to come
from a
Congressional Budget Office report from
December 2013.)
"The risk from nuclear
weapons is not that someone is going to
press the button, but the existence of these
weapons costs a lot of time, effort and
money to keep them secure," Squassoni said,
adding that there have been troubling safety
discrepancies reported in recent years at
power plants.
The Bulletin of the Atomic
Scientists was founded in 1945 by scientists
who created the atomic bomb as part of the
Manhattan Project and wanted to raise
awareness about the dangers of nuclear
technology. The Doomsday Clock first
appeared on a cover of the magazine in 1947,
with its hands set at 11:53 p.m.
The clock's hands shifted
quite a bit over the following seven
decades. They were closest to midnight in
1953, set at 11:58 p.m., after both the
United States and the Soviet Union conducted
their first tests of the hydrogen bomb. The
clock's hands were pushed all the way back
to 11:43 p.m., 17 minutes to midnight, in
December 1991, after the world's superpowers
signed the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty,
which at the time, seemed like a promising
move toward nuclear disarmament
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Original article on Live
Science