NATO in Ukraine Means
Asking for War with Russia
This can't be allowed to happen. The risks
for the planet are too great
By Michael Levitis
December 28, 2014 "ICH"
- "RI"
- Ukraine's ambitions to become a NATO
protected state became apparent on Tuesday
as its Parliament renounced the country's
neutral status, a first step in requesting
to join NATO. In response, Russia's Foreign
Minister Lavrov has called this a precarious
development - "The very idea of Ukraine's
efforts to join NATO are dangerous, not only
for Ukrainian people, because there is no
unity over that issue, it is dangerous for
European security".
I would like to take this a step further and
argue that Ukraine joining NATO would be a
threat not just to the region but to the
very existence of life on Earth. Any such
efforts and even talk of same must be
squashed in their infancy by the clearheaded
politicians in USA and Europe.
NATO was created after
World War II as an organization with a very
specific purpose in mind, to defend the
Western countries against the threat of
Soviet expansion to their territories. That
was its stated goal and mission then.
Although Ukraine is now an independent
country from Russia, it is not in the
Western territories that were designated for
protection under the NATO charter, it is in
the historical and traditional Russian
sphere of influence. Bringing Ukraine into
NATO now violates the whole spirit of NATO
dogmas with which it was created. Since then
however, NATO has evolved into an offensive
instrument as well, as it battled in
Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Libya and other
countries. All of whom were a punching bag
for NATO, with no means to retaliate or to
strike back at the mainland of NATO country
members.
Ukraine would like to have
the protection of NATO in its quagmire with
Russia and Russia-backed separatists in
Eastern Ukraine. The thought is that once
Ukraine is protected by NATO, Russia will
back off or will not even have any desire to
encroach on Ukrainian proper. They may be
right in that respect; however, if they are
wrong about Russia's intentions towards the
NATO member, the consequences will be dire
for us all. The risk to allow any kind of
direct confrontation between NATO and
Russian Federation Armed Forces is just too
great.
Georgia likewise was
begging NATO for its protection in the
aftermath of its brief war with Russia in
2008. NATO then had the foresight not to
allow Georgian membership in its
organization even when the "hot" conflict
with Russia was over. Currently there is a
very active and deadly, even if not
explicit, conflict with Russia in Ukraine.
To bring NATO forces into it now would be
almost suicidal for the Alliance and would
be asking for a confrontation with Russia.
In my view even supplying
Ukraine with American or Europeans arms is a
dangerous provocation. Imagine the magnitude
of the risk of an all out war if NATO human
personnel is deployed in Ukraine.
Ukraine could be just
bluffing in its bid to join the NATO to
force a favorable settlement with Russia in
its current conflict, or more precariously
it may genuinely seek NATO protection as a
guarantee against any future potential
Russian land grabs. However, the very fact
that Ukraine is asking for foreign, NATO
troops on its soil is so offensive to Putin
that he will dig in deeper and will be even
more fierce and open in his support for the
separatists. The very thought of physical
presence of NATO soldiers in such a
proximity to Russia must be very disturbing
to its President. Although NATO is already
stationed in the Baltics, near the Russian
border, having NATO in Ukraine is much more
offensive to the Russian psyche since
Ukraine and Russia were historically Slav
brothers, with Kievan Rus as the cradle of
Russian civilization. Ukraine's request for
NATO membership may derail any peace talks
and only exacerbate the conflict on its
Eastern proper.
Without the intention of
sowing panic, but to be an alarmist- in the
event Ukraine does become a NATO member, a
potential Armageddon between two of world's
superpowers may ensue and bring a calamity
of prior unseen proportions to the world.
All it takes is one errant
shot, one provocation of any kind and a war
between USA, Western Europe and Russia may
follow. Let's learn from the history of the
catalyst of WWI, where one bullet into the
heart of Franz Ferdinand caused millions of
deaths in the war that followed. NATO may be
drawn into war with Russia accidentally or
by someone's design and intentional goading.
NATO soldiers can never be in proximity to
Russian ones where there could be any risk
of them encountering each other, even by
accident.
Russia is not like any of
other nations that NATO has ever fought.
Although not as mighty as Soviet Red Army
once was, it is nevertheless formidable and
large. NATO forces are also not in the same
shape as during the Cold War due to many
budget cuts and various commitments in the
Middle East. Most terrifying is the prospect
of a Nuclear showdown as that is the
ultimate weapon of last resort that Russia
and NATO possesses.
Let's ask ourselves and
our leaders worldwide- is it worth it to
potentially face the risk of Nuclear Winter
over conflict about land in Eastern Ukraine,
a land that is anyway inhabited by mostly
Russian speakers who are not opposed to the
idea of them being annexed by Russia? Even
if the worst case scenario of the Ukrainian
conflict is that separatist held area
becomes Russian or becomes self-ruled, and
even if that would be a gross violation of
international law and Ukraine's sovereignty,
are we ready for the risk of annihilation of
human life on Earth over it? This is not the
case of Hitler conquering lands and
subjugating and annihilating its residents.
Any attempt to draw moral equivalency to
that must be ignored.
Michael Levitis born
in Moscow, USSR has been in New York for
over 25 years. Educated by the Benjamin
N. Cardozo School of Law and having
practiced jurisprudence for over 10
years, Michael digests news relating to
current events, local and Russian news.