Imperialism
101 - The US Addiction to War, Mayhem and Madness
- Part II -
Part I Here
By Stephen Lendman
Part I of this article
explained that the US was always a warrior, imperial nation,
building it in steps and addicted to its madness. First we took
it from its original inhabitants; then we expanded it beyond our
borders by seizing the half of Mexico we wanted; later we
established colonies abroad; and now, our method of choice is to
rule the world through compliant leaders in client states
everywhere serving our interests. We began doing it gradually
following WW II when we emerged as the only dominant nation left
standing, unchallengeable as the world's only economic,
political and military superpower. Even before the war ended,
we planned to take full advantage of that indomitable status
once it did. We pursued it throughout the "cold war" and in the
1990s when it was over. Then came 9/11, the gloves came off in
the Bush administration, and top officials in it ended any
pretense of what our real aims are. The rest, as they say, is
history, and the nations we target in our quest for world
dominance and our own people at home pay a dreadful price.
Below is a case study of our imperial madness in Iraq
documenting how painful that price is.
A Case Study In Imperial Mayhem
and Madness and Its Disasterous Consequences - First the
Victims
If the US had a slogan or motto
on how best to fight wars it might be "all's surely fair in war
as well as love." The only rules we observe are the ones we
make up as we go along. With that code of conduct and with
total disregard for the rule of domestic or international law,
designated targets can only expect their earth scorched followed
by a living hell delivered in the name of democracy and
liberation. Iraq, like Southeast Asia in the sixties and
seventies and Nicaragua and El Salvador in the eighties, is a
classic example with Afghanistan being more of the same. The
people on our receiving end of our gunsights know democracy
American-style is none at all.
For anyone paying attention to
events unfolding in Iraq from the few credible sources available
(meaning unembedded journalists, reports from our disillusioned
military and leaks including high level ones), there's little
doubt the situation on the ground is disastrous and getting
worse - for us as well as the Iraqis. From these reports on the
ground, we continue learning more of what the Pentagon and
administration try to suppress, always with the full cooperation
of the corporate-run media. But the truth can't be hidden, the
lies are unravelling, and the charade of progress is being seen
as a shamless myth.
For 26 million Iraqis,
liberation American-style is none whatever. For them it's an
endless living hell nightmare since the US first attacked and
invaded in January, 1991. At that time we deliberately and
illegally destroyed essential infrastructure like power
generating stations and clean water facilities vital to the
health, welfare and safety of the people. We also wontonly
slaughtered many thousands of defenseless civilians and Iraqi
military who had given up the fight they wanted no part of in
the first place. The likely toll was at least 100,000 killed in
just a few weeks of brutal one-sided combat mostly inflicted
from the air against a target country we knew was defenseless.
Our initial cost was modest for an operation involving 580,000
military personal - 146 killed (including by friendly fire) and
467 wounded. A far greater cost to US forces would show up
later that's discussed below.
What
followed Operation Desert Storm was a dozen years of continued
air-assault bombings along with oppressive and unjustifiable
economic sanctions. Combined they destroyed all the institutions
of a modern civil society which Iraq was prior to 1991. They
left in their wake an epic humanitarian disaster by every
measure imaginable including median Iraqi income creating mass
poverty. Because of the country's oil wealth, Iraq was once the
most advanced and developed country in the Middle East with a
per capita income of $2,313 in 1979. By 2003, that income had
declined to $255 per capita and in 2004 it had fallen further to
about $144. It's easy to understand why based on a study by the
college of economics at Baghdad University that estimated the
unemployment rate to be about 70%. Even the so-called "oil for
food" program did little to relieve the crisis prior to the
current invasion and war. It wasn't intended to as the US plan
was to inflict the greatest possible hardships on the people
hoping it would encourage them to rise up and topple Saddam. In
fact, it had the opposite effect despite the severity of the
toll. Instead of blaming Saddam, Iraqis relied on him for
whatever relief they could get. It wasn't much or nearly enough
because the US allowed him little to give.
The
combination of war and economic sanctions likely caused the
death of at least one million by even conservative estimates
including 500,000 children. Other estimates put the number as
high as 1.5 million in total by the end of the nineties. When
Denis Halliday resigned in 1998 as UN head of Iraqi humanitarian
relief he said he did so because he "had been instructed to
implement a policy that satisfies the definition of genocide: a
deliberate policy that has effectively killed well over one
million individuals, children and adults." He went on to say
5,000 Iraqi children were dying needlessly every month.
Conditions got far worse
following the US illegal aggression beginning in March, 2003.
The daily toll of death and destruction from the ongoing endless
conflict is unknown precisely, but even honest conservative
estimates are appalling and shocking despite efforts by the
Pentagon to suppress them. The British Lancet reported in
October, 2004 by their "conservative assumptions" an Iraqi toll
of about 100,000 "excess deaths" post March, 2003. They then
updated their earlier estimate in February, 2006 to a likely
300,000 that seven months later is considerably higher. Other
assessments suggest an even greater number, up to 500,000
according to one estimate a few months ago. Whatever the true
number, the US inflicted disaster on Iraq and its people is one
of epic proportions in all respects.
It's destroyed a once prosperous
nation and left in its wake today a surreal lawless armed camp
wasteland with few or no essential services like electricity,
clean water, medical care, fuel or most everything else needed
for sustenance and survival. It shows up in Baghdad's morgue
that can't cope with the number of corpses it gets daily while
those still living can't get desperately needed care at
hospitals unable to provide it. It's also there in the US-run
torture-prisons where anyone can be brutalized in a kind of a
ritual foreplay for no reason at all. Thing's aren't improving.
They get steadily worse as the occupation grinds on and death
squads room at will including the US "Salvador option" ones
modeled after the types used in the Reagan era against the
leftist guerrilla resistance in El Salvador in the 1980s that
murdered many thousands. This is what life in most of Iraq is
now like, and it clearly warrants the label genocide. It also
makes all US officials at the highest levels responsible for it
guilty of egregious war crimes and crimes against humanity.
Will they ever be held to account for what they've done? Never,
as long as the US occupier lives by the rules of victor's
justice that insures none at all for the victims.
A notable sign of US-style
justice happened at the end of July when the Pentagon awarded
the Distinguished Service Medal (DDSM) to retiring General
Geoffrey Miller who supervised the infamous US torture-prisons
at Guantanamo and later Abu Ghraib. The DDSM was established by
Richard Nixon's 1970 Executive Order so the Secretary of Defense
could award it to officers of the US Armed Forces "whose
exceptional performance of duty and contributions to national
security or defense have been at the highest levels." Clearly
generals or other officers in charge of torture now qualify for
the award.
The Toll of Mayhem and Madness
On Our Own Military Forces On the Ground and Reporters
No one should ever believe
anything from government sources, especially our own. We
practically invented and defined the art of disseminating lies
and practicing deceit. We're at it daily, particularly in how
and what we report on the war in Iraq. The military holds
update briefings at its media nerve center for the war - CentCom.
It's a worthless exercise there and whenever else US officials
report on the war. Anyone expecting to get a true picture of
conditions on the ground won't ever because the most important
information known is censored or suppressed. In times of war,
the first casualty is truth, and the corporate-run media is
always willing to oblige to keep it that way.
The Pentagon is also ready to
use its muscle to censor, shut down, or destroy any news source
in the country that may reveal what it wants suppressed. It
repeatedly harasses and assaults Al-Jazeera closing it down and
in 2003 attacked its Baghdad offices by air killing one of its
correspondents and injuring another. Previously in Afghanistan
in November, 2001, Al-Jazeera's Kabul offices were destroyed by
a US missile in a deliberate attempt to stop unfavorable news
reports from coming out. Another time a US tank with no
provocation fired point blank at the Palestine Hotel in the
capitol where most non-embedded international journalists are
based killing reporters from Reuters and the Spanish network
Telecino. These are just a few examples of the deadly effects
of US efforts to silence honest news reporting from the country.
The International Press Institute (IPI) keeps a journalist
death watch count and reports that including all of 2003 76
journalists have been killed in Iraq by all assailants making
this country by far the most dangerous venue in the world for
members of the fourth estate. That number has now been updated
by other sources that report since March, 2003 to the present
107 journalists and other media workers have been killed in this
most dangerous of all places for them to work.
In spite of the danger and toll
its taken, much of what Washington and the corporate-run media
conceal is being reported from unembedded journalists and a
growing number of unofficial accounts emerging or leaking out.
They show what conditions are really like on the ground and the
effect the conflict has had on US ground forces in the country.
They're being increasingly stressed and terrified out of their
minds, most are physically and/or psychologically traumatized or
ill, many quite seriously from the deadly effects of depleted
uranium (DU) poisoning and other toxins that have already
disabled as many as 350,000 or more Gulf war veterans according
to what can be pieced together from the little information the
Veterans Administration (VA) reports (they don't explain from
what or make a serious effort to find out). The psychological
toll is also growing from witnessing or obeying orders to
participate in the daily barbaric slaughter of Iraqi civilians
including women, children, the elderly and infirm. The result
is the rate of suicides is believed to be rising to alarming
levels as is the number of desertions the Pentagon reports to be
about 40,000 since 2000 from all branches of the military, half
of them from the Army. Over 5,500 of them are Iraq related (the
Pentagon keeps this very quiet) with many dozens more joining
their ranks each month. In addition, many others are refusing
to return to Iraq for another tour of duty after serving there
one or more times. Those who do it unannounced are being
quietly discharged in most cases, while the ones going public to
denounce the war saying they won't serve in it any longer face
courts martial, dishonorable discharge and possible prison
terms.
Little of the above information
has been reported, but most disturbing of all is the true
unreported daily death and injury toll of US military personnel
that's far higher than the official numbers. Department of
Defense (DOD) reports are now being quietly circulated
indicating over 12,000 dead, not the current announced total
approaching 2,700. That figure includes thousands of previously
unreported deaths of US military personnel who died en route to
German or other hospitals or after arriving there. There's also
evidence from Military Air Transport Service (MATS) manifests
that show many more bodies shipped to Dover Air Force Base than
are officially reported when there are any reports at all.
The true number of serious
injuries has also been grossly understated. It could be twice
as high as the official numbers based on reports from the
Landstuhl Regional Medical Center in Germany alone that has
treated over 25,000 wounded military patients even as the DOD
only officially acknowledges around 15,000 in total and then
quietly at first increased the number to about 19,000. These
injuries, rarely discussed, include loss of limbs, brain damage
and other debilitations that will scar those affected by them
for the rest of their lives if after treatment and recovery they
even survive. And there's never any mention of the later
physical and/or psychological pain and suffering veterans endure
or how many of them had or likely will have their lives
shortened as a result of the time they spent in combat theaters
"serving their country."
In addition to the stress of
trauma, possible death or serious injury US forces face, they
must also cope with the problems of daily life on the ground
making their lives difficult or too often unbearable. Many of
their Forward Operations Bases don't get enough daily drinking
water and other necessities such as proper food to eat
regularly. It makes an intolerable situation even worse. For
many there's also a lack of basic amenities like clean clothes,
a daily shower and a comfortable bed to sleep in. In addition,
the equipment on the ground is being consumed and not replaced
including weapons, vehicles, ordinance, body armor and most
everything else. Despite the multi-billions spent on this
imperial adventure, too little of it is going to "the boots on
the ground," because too much of it is budgeted for corporate
friends of the administration feasting on huge no-bid
contracts. The situation isn't improving. In fact, it's
steadily deteriorating despite official denials.
By the time our forces are
finally withdrawn from Iraq, as one day they will, the human
disaster will be almost incomprehensible. From just a short
one-time deployment during the 1991 Gulf war, hundreds of
thousands of our forces sent there are now on some form of
disability either from the deadly effects of DU poisoning, the
stew of other toxins they were exposed to, the physical injuries
they received or the permanent psychological scars they may take
to the grave. But the worst is yet to come. Beginning with the
Afghanistan war in late 2001 and the Iraq war from March, 2003,
over 1.3 million of our military forces have served one or more
tours of duty for extended periods in what are beyond question
the most dangerous and toxic environments on earth. The best
estimates (because the VA won't say) are that between 30 - 70%
of Gulf war vets so far are now on some kind of disability. If
only that same range is applied to the 1.3 million of our
military now serving or having served in Iraq and Afghanistan
since 2001, between 400,000 and 900,000 of them may end up on
disability or die from exposure to the DU munitions used in
these wars which we've learned are vastly more toxic than the
ones used in the Gulf war. And if they manage to avoid DU
poisoning, they may succumb to the effects from the many other
toxic pollutants they had to live with or become scarred or
maimed for life from the violent environments they had to serve
in or the acts they had to commit fulfilling their duty there.
In simple terms, it's likely we
can expect an eventual overall catastrophic human disaster and
one being covered up because of its enormity. US high officials
and Pentagon brass that planned this holocaust to both sides
likely knew the human cost to our forces alone would be high but
decided anyway the innocent mostly young people we sent to fight
were expendable and could be written off to be replaced by new
and fresh equally innocent recruits - as long as their dirty
secret never gets out. The lives lost or ruined on both sides
are dismissed as "collateral damage" or just a "price that has
to be paid." It's a human price and one that's paid to enrich
well-connected big corporations that love wars because they're
so profitable.
The Madness of War Crimes and
Crimes Against Humanity
Article I, Section 8 of the US
Constitution gives the power to declare war solely to the
Congress. The Founding Fathers rightfully believed that
authority so important they codified it. They wanted to assure
that for the single most important issue a nation ever faces,
that awesome power would never be placed in the hands of a
single individual like the president. They wanted only the
legislative branch to have it and only exercise it after
careful, deliberative debate. That branch still has it, but for
the last 65 years it's abrogated its authority and allowed
Presidents from Harry Truman to George W. Bush to usurp it. The
result has been the many wars we've fought since WW II along
with the many we encouraged, supported and financed plus all
the CIA covert mischief and abuse going on at all times.
The result is that every war
this country fought in since WW II from Korea to Iraq to the one
now planned and "signed off" on by George Bush against Iran and
possibly Syria and Venezuela as well to oust President Hugo
Chavez to begin on future so far unknown dates was and will be
acts of illegal aggression. In each case the US either
committed the first overt hostile act or goaded its designated
target country enough to do it to provide us with a casus belli
for the war we planned and intended to wage. We provoked the
North Koreans (through our South Korean proxies) enough in 1950
to get them to respond to give us an excuse to enter a civil
conflict between the North and South. We did the same thing
again to Iraq (through our Kuwaiti proxies) in 1990-91. In each
case, from Korea to the present, we did it against adversaries
that never threatened to attack us or had any intention to. Our
actions each time were planned, willful acts of illegal
aggression, which is what the Nazis were tried for at
Nuremburg.
The Tribunal called their crime
the "supreme international crime" and specifically said: "To
initiate a war of aggression....is not only an international
crime, it is the supreme crime, differing only from other war
crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of
the whole." For the last 55 years, the US has repeatedly
committed "supreme international crimes" but has yet to be held
to account for any of them. In a just world, those in power
during each of those illegal wars would have been put in the
dock, tried, convicted and either hanged like the most egregious
Nazis or given appropriate prison terms for their crimes. The
US has also violated the UN Charter that allows a nation the
right to use force in its self-defense only under two
conditions: when authorized to do it by the Security Council or
under Article 51 that permits the "right of individual or
collective self-defense if an armed attack occurs against a
Member....until the Security Council has taken measures to
maintain international peace and security." By attacking
another nation without provocation and with no Security Council
authorization, the US violated this sacred covenant. It also
violated the US Constitution that says...."all Treaties made, or
which shall be made, under the Authority of the United States,
shall be the supreme Law of the Land." The Bush administration
continues to remind us of its disdain for all laws that conflict
with its policies.
It should also remind
responsible people that's why the International Criminal Court
was established by the Rome Statute of 1998 to which the US is a
signatory. The Court's authority became effective after
receiving its required number of ratifying signatures in 2002 to
be a permanent tribunal to prosecute individuals for war crimes,
crimes against humanity and genocide as defined by the Nuremberg
Charter of 1945. However, the Bush administration refuses to
participate in the Court unless its military personnel are given
immunity from prosecution - an outrageous demand made for
obvious reasons. As a result, no US official or military
offender will be held to account before the court unless brought
there against their will which isn't likely. That's not how
things work in a world ruled by victor's justice. Only losers
pay the price in that kind of world, even when they're victims.
Besides committing the supreme
international crime of illegal aggression, the US is a serial
offender in other ways. It violated international law by waging
war without restraint using every weapon it chooses including
illegal chemical and possibly biological agents. During the
1950s the effects of such agents were ilicitly tested in
selected US cities including New York and San Francisco on our
own unwitting population. However, through the years post WW I,
the 1925 Geneva Convention Gas Protocol and various succeeding
Geneva Weapons Conventions outlawed the use of chemical and
biological agents in any form for any reason in war. In
addition, under various UN Conventions and Covenants that are
binding international law for its signatories, the use of any
weapons that cause harm after the battle including away from the
battlefield, harm the environment, or kill, wound or cause harm
inhumanely are illegal and banned.
Since the Gulf war in 1991, the
US has routinely used illegal weapons including depleted uranium
munitions in four wars that spread deadly toxic irremediable
radiation over the target sites attacked and a vast area beyond
them. These DU weapons are poisonous under international law
and violate all the above conditions. Even the respected
Universal Declaration of Human Rights, which is legally
non-binding to its signatories, implies a moral duty never to
use any weapons as potentially harmful as DU ones or any
chemical or biological agents.
In all its wars the US has also
willfully violated international law by deliberately attacking
non-military targets as a tactical strategy against area
"resistance." It's also been callously indifferent to heavy
civilian "collateral damage" (words that signify war crimes for
some) in attacking military ones. The choice of weapons has
been indiscriminate as well and include ones judged illegal and
outlawed. In Iraq these have been chemical gases, questionable
cluster bombs and a terror weapon called "flashettes" which
explode and shoot out 1000s of nails in all directions with
deadly results. Two even more deadly terror weapons have been
indiscriminately used in Iraq including in civilian areas. One
is the napalm-like white phosphorous bombs and shells, known as
Willy Pete, that burn flesh to the bone and can't be
extinguished by water that only makes it worse when used. The
other is an updated version of napalm called Mark 77 firebombs
which do about the same thing to flesh.
One other terror weapon likely
also is used called a thermobaric bomb which is a modification
of still another prohibited weapon called fuel air explosives (FAE)
that in their original form are enormously powerful and destroy
and incinerate structures and people. The thermobaric update
contains polymer-bonded or solid fuel-air explosives in its
payload. It's also able to penetrate buildings, underground
shelters and tunnels creating a blast pressure great enough to
suck the oxygen out from the spaces and lungs of anyone in the
vicinity. Used against civilians, these weapons are illegal
under the 1980 UN Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons.
However, George Bush arrogantly dismisses the Geneva Conventions
claiming they don't apply in the "war on terror." He echoed the
sentiment of his then White House counsel Alberto Gonzales (the
current Attorney General) whose memo in early 2002 stated: "The
nature of the new war (on terror) places a high premium on other
factors such as the ability to quickly obtain information from
captured terrorists.....In my judgment, this new paradigm
renders obsolete Geneva's strict limitations on questioning of
enemy prisoners and renders quaint some of its provisions."
Such is the language of tyrants and those around them in high
places. The Pentagon also acts with disdain for the law and
freely uses whatever terror weapons it chooses against any
target.
The sum of these actions and
policies is that the George Bush's legacy will based on the
notion of endless illegal aggression in the "permanent state of
war" his administration declared after 9/11 that now has been
rebranded as "the long war" against "Islamo-fascism." It also
sanctions the use of banned weapons against civilians, and it
believes the most sacred international law is quaint, obsolete
and out of date. Is it any wonder this administration has laid
waste to scores of villages, towns and cities across Iraq and
Afghanistan and done it not just to destroy targets but to send
a message that no restraint will be shown to crush all
resistance against imperial aggression. This scorched earth
policy is called the "Fallujah model" which, of course, was the
city in al-Anbar province of 350,000 US ground and air forces
attacked full-force in November, 2004. It was done using most
every terror weapon they had, other than nuclear ones, to
inflict maximum destruction including to essential
infrastructure like water, electrical power and hospitals to
wipe out whatever resistance was there. Now the same model is
being used against the people of Ramadi, the capitol of al-Anbar
and a city larger than Fallujah that was surrounded and attacked
by a large combined US and proxy Iraqi force beginning on June
9. The assault is still ongoing, and in the words of its US
commander, it's unclear how long it will take to "pacify" the
city.
What the commander meant but
left unsaid was that US style pacification means mass killing
and destruction like what was done to Fallujah or alternately
following the "Leningrad", "Ben Tre" or "Jenin" model. Whether
the plan is to break the will of the people and starve it to
submission, "destroy the town to save it" or just inflict
barbaric retribution in an act of vengeance and do it against
innocent people there, these acts are outrageous war crimes and
crimes against humanity. What the commander also didn't say is
what's been coming from unembedded and leaked reports on the
ground - that despite the intense and protracted effort to
suppress the resistance, the US military has effectively lost
control over all of al-Anbar province west of Baghdad that
comprises about one-third of the country. This assessment was
confirmed in August by Col. Pete Devlin, the Marine Corps chief
of intelligence, who characterized the situation there as beyond
repair and that US forces have lost the battle in al-Anbar.
It's happened in spite of the intense fighting across areas
under US control including the tactical strategy of committing
war crimes and crimes against humanity.
The latter crimes are those the
Nuremburg Charter cited to explain what Hitler did to the Jews.
The UN Human Rights Commission (UNHRC) ruled these actions are
the historical and legal precursors to the international crime
of genocide as defined by the 1948 Convention on the Prevention
and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. From the 15 year
unrelenting assault against the Iraqi people beginning with the
Gulf war, the devastating economic sanctions, continued bombings
throughout the 1990s up to the 2003 illegal war, occupation and
daily crimes committed under it, the US is as guilty of genocide
as were the Nazis against the Jews and all others they sought to
eliminate.
Add to that the systematic use
of torture at the hellhole prisons with names now well-known and
many others around the world the CIA and military run or
"rendition" victims to so they can learn how American justice
works. It's the same way it worked in Nazi Germany and under
all other regimes run by tyrants. Victims have no rights and can
be treated any way their oppressors choose. International laws
that are the supreme law of the land are quaint and ignored, the
notion of innocent unless or until proved guilty is a
nonstarter, and knowing torture isn't an effective way to break
resistance and obtain credible information hardly matters. When
you're the world's only superpower, can decide alone what's
lawful or not, and are on the rampage, who'll be brave or
foolish enough to challenge you? Few, in any, dare.
Is Justice Possible in A World
Where Might Makes Right
The rule of law is sacred and
should protect us from oppression and injustice. It doesn't
because a greater force prevails - the power of the strong over
the weak, to write the laws it wants and ignore all others, to
recklessly pursue its ends, to pillage and plunder because it
can get away with it. It's called the law of might makes right,
ruled by the code of victors' justice where only the vanquished
are held to account and no one has rights except the powerful
who make their own. It's a world of lawlessness, disorder and
endless conflict, our world, and it's brought to us by a rogue
superpower posing as a model democratic state. Those under its
oppressive heel, now and in the past, know it well. For many of
them it's the curse of having too much of a valued natural
resource the US wants to control and exploit. It was true for
Iraq and is no different for Iran and Venezuela that also are on
the US target list.
What's clear abroad is also true
in the US where sacred constitutional law and the political
process are effectively dead letters. So too are
long-established international laws and norms that interfere
with the plans of the new rulers of the world. The power of the
Executive declared it so, and the Congress (a Greek chorus
posing as a legitimate legislative body) went along - while a
modern-day Rome slowly burns and threatens all humanity with its
fallout.
It never should have been this
way nor was it intended to following WW I. Because of the
frightening horror from that conflict, 63 nations, including the
US, were signatories to the Kellogg-Briand Pact of 1928 that
renounced war as an instrument of foreign policy and said never
again. The Pact failed to prevent WW II that began 11 years
later nor has the UN formed in its aftermath been able to do be
any more successful. This world body was established to
maintain international order and security and to develop
friendly relations among nations to strengthen universal peace.
Its stated mission in its Charter was that it was to be an
international body "to save succeeding generations from the
scourge of war, which twice in our lifetime has brought untold
sorrow to mankind." It hasn't done it and never will as long as
it's a wholly owned subsidiary of the reigning superstate (aka
predator) that co-opts it to serve its interests and prevents it
from functioning as it should. What can all humanity look
forward to if the institutions established to protect us don't
work, and the only rule of law is the one of the jungle and
survival of the fittest and most powerful. More on this below.
A Possible Hidden Economic
Connection to the Iraq War and Future Ones Planned
The clear connection to the Iraq
war, and likely ones in some form planned against Iran and
Venezuela, is the ocean of oil each country literally floats
on. Saddam became a target for regime change when he refused to
submit and cede control of it to the US demanding he do it. Now
the Iranian mullahs and its President Ahmadinejad and
Venezuela's Hugo Chavez may be next in our target queue for the
same reason. Like Iraq, with only conventional weapons for
defense, these two countries are no match militarily against an
all out US assault unlike North Korea that may have a nuclear
deterrent giving that country a degree of invulnerability only
states with that type weapon have against an aggressive
superpower. The US picks its targets judiciously, and like a
schoolyard bully never attacks an adversary that can put up a
decent fight - at least by its military.
There also may be another motive
behind our belligerence besides the clear oil related one. It's
much less visible, not discussed, and well concealed beneath the
radar. It relates to the notion believed by some economists
that flawed and/or out of date methodologies are used to compute
some of our key economic data like the gross domestic product
(GDP), the total employment and unemployment figures known as
the monthly jobs report, and the federal deficit. The reasoning
goes that if the unemployment rate today was computed by the
same methodology used during The Great Depression when it rose
to 25% of the working population, the true current figure would
be about 12% instead of the reported 4.7% which includes
part-time workers and anyone working as little as one hour
during the reporting period. It also excludes all those who
wish to work but have stopped looking (discouraged workers)
because they can't find any.
A cover story just out in the
September 25 issue of Business Week magazine lends credence to
the notion that official published government data is
manipulated and flawed to look better than, in fact, it is. The
article is titled: "What's Really Propping Up The Economy." It
states since 2001, all newly created private sector jobs (1.7
million) came from one source - the health care industry which
includes the drug companies and insurers offering health
insurance. This one industry today represents 12% of the
workforce and $2 trillion in annual spending (about one-sixth of
the nation's GDP and growing). The story goes on to explain
that without the private sector jobs from this one source "the
nation's labor market would be in a deep coma" so that while
some other sectors like construction and areas related to it
added 900,000 jobs since 2001, that gain was offset by "the
pressures of globalization and new technology (that) have
wreaked havoc on the rest of the labor market" resulting in
factories closing and shrinkage in other areas. Even
information technology, "the great electronic promise of the
1990s," turned into a bust as far as its ability to generate new
jobs. Instead of creating any, it lost 1.1 million of them
since 2001 and now employs fewer people than in 1998 "when the
Internet frenzy kicked into high gear."
This kind of data doesn't
reflect a healthy, expanding economy and clearly is a strong
indication of one showing very disturbing signs. The current
situation is still further complicated by a failing policy of
imperial overreach, massive and out-of-control federal deficits
discussed below, and the greatest housing boom in history that
propped up the economy, became a bubble, and is now unwinding
and likely to become painful before it ends. Just how much and
how fast won't be known until a future time when an assessment
is made of the amount of damage done and what economic
conditions are in its wake. It may show things to be lots
different than the rosy way they're portrayed now by most
analysts.
It may be why at least one
economist (maybe an honest one) believes a more accurate
calculation of the real GDP indicates it's contracting and not
expanding in a healthy fashion as is now reported each quarter.
And most disturbing of all is an analysis of the federal
deficit, the computation of which has been miscalculated since
the Johnson administration began using accounting gimmicks to
hide the true costs of the Vietnam war. If the deficit were
calculated based on GAAP methodology (the accounting rules
required of all publicly traded corporations in preparing their
financial statements), the true figure would have been $665
billion for fiscal year 2003 and $760 billion for 2005 instead
of the reported $375 billion 2003 figure and $318 billion for
2005. But that greater figure expands to an astonishing
$3,700,000,000,000 ($3.7 trillion) for 2003 and a similarly
frightening one for 2005 if the annual increase in the net
amount of unfunded Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and
government pension obligations are included. This shadow
deficit has been mounting since the Johnson years and shows that
the US government in fiscal year 2003 had a negative net worth
of $34,000,000,000,000 ($34 trillion) by one estimate.
Another economist paints an even
grimmer picture than the one above. That economist, Boston
University Professor Laurence Kotlikoff, prepared a recent
detailed report for the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in
which he stated, by some measures, the US is already bankrupt
and unable to pay its creditors (the ones holding its debt
instruments and due its entitlement payments). Professor
Kotlikoff wrote that a country's solvency depends on its ability
to honor its lifetime fiscal obligations which are the
difference between all required future spending and the revenue
expected to be received to do it. That gap will widen
exponentially as the accumulated US sovereign and other debt
obligations plus the amount of revenue needed to cover the bill
for retiring Baby Boomers' unfunded liabilities of social
security, medicare, medicaid, government pensions and all else
rises to an incomprehensible and unmanageable
$65,900,000,000,000 ($65.9 trillion) by the calculations he used
from a study by two other professors. Professor Kotlikoff
explained this figure is over five times the current US Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) and double the national wealth. He added
that if his analysis is right, it means the US is bankrupt, will
face a fiscal calamity ahead and will have to default on its
debt, entitlements and other obligations.
Professor Kotlikoff had more to
say on this matter in a recent extended essay he wrote for the
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review July/August issue
titled "Is the United States Bankrupt?" In it he stated that
future US workers would need to be taxed at the rate of 55 - 80%
over their working lifetimes to pay for the estimated $80
trillion in unfunded future entitlement liabilities or more than
six times the current US GDP. Whichever of his two numbers is
more accurate (if either one is), Professor Kotlikoff is
beginning to be heard and is gaining some adherents. They
believe the US faces a potential future fiscal meltdown even
though it's understood the nation's balance sheet isn't static
and includes increasing assets as well as liabilities that must
be figured into any bottom line calculation of net obligations.
So as dire as the current and future situation may be, the true
state of the problem likely won't be known precisely until the
inevitable day of reckoning arrives revealing how ugly it is.
What is known is that whichever
analysis of the problem is right, the future consequences
eventually will likely shake the world and change our way of
life at home irrevocably at the least. So how does that relate
to this country's addiction to war and the current notion of
permanent or long ones. Simple. Hot wars stimulate the economy
and make it grow - especially extended ones. They require lot's
of spending, but so far the funding's there for them from
institutional and foreign investors willing to buy our sovereign
debt and the Federal Reserve always cooperative by printing up
lots of ready cash. But all this comes at a price. Along with
shamless tax cuts for the rich and massive corporate welfare
subsidies and war-related contracts, it's caused the federal
budget and current account deficits to balloon exacerbating an
unmanageable fiscal problem since 2001 alone the result of
George Bush's reckless policies of excess greed and imperial
overreach. The latter is his new "long war" policy, and the
more of them we wage, the more positive it is for the economy
and corporate profits - in the short run. Without them and
their spoils, the economy might not be as healthy or could even
be in trouble.
So the
nation may face a Hobson's choice: continue our profligate
spending ways or see our fiscal house of cards collapse - a
conundrum with no solution. The larger our economy gets, the
more dependent it is on wars and militarism for economic
stimulus. It results in more debt to get the same bang for the
bucks we now spend like drunken politicians. It's an unending
cycle requiring increasingly greater capital infusions without
end in a sort of fiscal game of musical chairs, but one where we
dare not let the music stop. Because our economy is so large,
we need huge amounts of capital to maintain growth. But finding
it becomes harder, and our addiction to it is like being on a
treadmill we can't get off of. As a result, we may heading for
an eventual day of reckoning, like the one Professor Kotlikoff
envisions, no one wants to imagine or confront. It's the same
problem a drug addict has needing bigger fixes for the same
effect. That behavior guarantees a bad ending, eventually
killing the addict. In the same way, no nation can spend and
borrow beyond its means forever and always need more for the
same results. Nations doing it are like out of control drug
addicts and face the same unavoidable fate. They can delay the
inevitable but not forever. The penalty for the sins of excess
are high, painful and certain. The day eventually comes when the
"piper" must be paid. It may not be next month or next year, but
"pipers" are very patient and always have the final say. Richard
Nixon's former chief economic advisor, Herb Stein, said it well:
"Things that can't go on forever, won't." He might have added
how unpleasant it is when the day of reckoning comes.
The Road to Hell Is Paved with
Endless War, Its Fallout and A Future No One Wants
The US is now at a dangerous
watershed moment struggling to save the tattered republic and
our sacred constitutional rights. Unless we reverse the present
course, our future may be the one Orwell foresaw when he wrote:
"If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on
a human face....forever...." Like the totalitarian state of
Oceania led by Big Brother in his best known book 1984, we're
waging a permanent long war; no one is safe anymore - from our
own government; we're all being illegally surveilled; anyone may
be forcibly taken away, detained, tortured or murdered - all to
make the world safe for a brave new world order ruled ruthlessly
by capital that's called democracy. It's one without a
political process because the Congress gave it up to a "Unitary
Executive" with the power to abrogate the separation of powers
doctrine, bypass the lawmakers and courts and act as he chooses
to protect the nation's security or for whatever other reason he
decides.
We're now nearing a crisis
because George Bush chose to invoke the wartime contingency
"national security initiatives" established during the Reagan
years that gives the President the power to suspend the
Constitution and declare martial law. Bush did it by signing
executive orders post 9/11 giving himself absolute power in
times of whatever he alone decides is a "national emergency."
If he assumes it, he'll become a dictator, accountable to no
one, which he claims the right to do on his say alone. The only
sensible recourse is for mass people action (like now ongoing
for weeks in the streets of Mexico against authoritarian rule)
to prevent our crossing the Rubicon and passing from a shaky
republic to the tyranny of a full-blown national security police
state and a future no one wants. It can happen here just as it
did in ancient Rome and in Weimar Germany when the good people
there lost their model democratic state. They allowed Hitler to
steal it while they weren't paying attention. They bought into
his demonic appeal to his divine mission as the nation's savior
(sound familiar?) and his pretense to be protecting them from an
outside threat that didn't exist. That history should remind us
how fragile our sacred liberties are and how easily they're lost
when tyrants are allowed to go unchecked and unchallenged.
We're at a moment now when there's still time to act before it's
too late to save a nation conceived in liberty that may soon no
longer have it. Edmund Burke explained it long ago when he
said: "All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is for good
men to do nothing." I'm sure today he'd remember the importance
of women.
Stephen
Lendman lives in Chicago and can be reached at lendmanstephen@sbcglobal.net.
Also visit his blog address at sjlendman.blogspot.com.
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