By John Green
July 21, 2022:
Information Clearing
House
- A DEFEAT, or at least
weakening, of Russia is viewed by US
military and big business circles as a
necessary step in the attempt to isolate
and encircle China.
The US is using Ukraine as its proxy,
as it can’t just invade Russia as it has
done in Iraq, Aghanistan and Syria, so
an economic war in the form of draconian
sanctions is seen as the solution.
It is the US that is the leading
force behind the sanctions movement and
its determination to arm Ukraine to the
hilt. But why are the European countries
following like sheep on this?
There are continued
self-congratulatory assertions about the
West’s new united front. We have seen
summit meetings of the EU, G7, Nato and
G20 one after the other, but under the
surface there are rumblings of dissent.
In European business circles, and
even in the military, there is a
questioning of the sanctions policy.
Leading politicians, however,
maintain we are living in a “time of
change” as if there is no alternative.
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But is this true? As a comparison,
1990 was a real turning point because
the world order that had prevailed until
then, the division into two bloc systems
that created a balance of power, based
on mutually assured destruction with
nuclear weapons, was dissolved in a
non-violent way.
Today it is claimed that we have a
new “rules-based world order” which
Vladimir Putin is undermining with his
war of aggression, violating
international law.
This is why, it is argued, the
world’s democracies must now stand firm
and defend this order against the
“eastern autocracies,” Russia and China.
Nato has been given a new lease of
life as has the West’s claim to
leadership of a new order.
In the wake of the collapse of the
Soviet Union and the other Eastern bloc
countries in 1990, Russia was pointedly
left out of the new European order; it
was marginalised and ignored.
The 1990s provided Europe with a
unique opportunity for the creation of a
new and stable European security system
that would have given both the new
post-Soviet states and Russia itself an
appropriate place on a pan-European
scale.
At the time, Mikhail Gorbachev, Boris
Yeltsin, Vladimir Putin and Dmitry
Medvedev were asking: “What is a
post-cold-war Europe actually offering
the Russians?”
Despite promises given by the US,
Nato has advanced right up to Russia’s
borders, with the clear intent of
encircling and intimidating it. Russia
is now demonised as a rogue state with
its invasion of Ukraine and its flouting
of international law.
However, the Russian war in Ukraine
is not the first war waged in disregard
of the rules of international law since
1990. What about Kosovo, Iraq or Syria?
Despite the promise of a new and
peaceful era and the end of cold war
politics, we have seen the opposite.
While the UN and its role as
peacekeeper have been totally pushed
aside, Nato has been given a new lease
of life as the world’s military
policeman, under US domination.
This resurrection of Nato is thus
part of a strategy that is once again
dividing the world, not only militarily
but also ideologically.
Without the public really noticing,
we have returned to the old era of bloc
confrontation and its logic of mutual
threat.
But this new cold war seems even more
dangerous — after all, this time it is
not only about the “greatest threat to
Nato from Russia,” as Nato
secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg put
it, but about a future confrontation
with China.
We find ourselves helplessly watching
a war unfold in Ukraine with an untold
number of victims, which is becoming
ever more clearly a classic proxy war
between Russia and the US.
There are a few courageous voices
that are calling for a diplomatic
solution that includes taking into
consideration Russia’s genuine security
fears.
We in Europe are, however, being
warned not to jump off the moving train,
not to allow ourselves to be split up by
Putin because the people of Ukraine are
fighting for all of us and for our
freedom: “They are dying for Europe,
they deserve to live the European dream
with us,” said European Commision
president Ursula von der Leyen.
The character of this war as a war of
aggression in violation of international
law and its media treatment suggests
that we, the West, are only helpers,
saviours and supporters in a just cause.
This obscures the fact that we are a
party, not only with our sympathies for
the attacked nation, but that we have
our own economic and power interests in
the game.
We are being drawn deeper and deeper
into a geopolitical war, orchestrated by
the US that will be fought in the
future.
A well-targeted and all-embracing
campaign of moral rearmament and
permanent reiteration is under way:
freedom versus tyranny, democracy versus
autocracy and despotism, good against
evil, the West against Russia and China.
Haven’t we heard this rhetoric not so
long ago under Ronald Reagan and
Margaret Thatcher?
The war in Ukraine is a direct
consequence of the inability of the
great powers to establish a multipolar
world that recognises the UN as the
arbiter of conflict and guarantor of
peace.
We can clearly see that two things
have contributed significantly to the
aggravation of the conflict in Ukraine.
There is a widely propagated but
erroneous view that the West emerged
from the cold war as the “victor” and
that its rules and values are now the
desire of all the peoples of the world.
This viewpoint is however
contradicted by the fact that many
states in Africa, Asia and Latin America
are refusing to go along with this
interpretation of history and are
refusing to buy into the “Russia as the
axis of evil” scenario.
It has become of vital importance
that those few voices (at the moment)
calling for a diplomatic solution to the
Ukraine conflict in order to avert
greater damage to Europe gain in
strength.
Recent military action by Nato and a
“coalition of the willing,” as in Iraq,
Afghanistan, Syria, Libya, has not
exactly been a success. These wars have
ended in defeats, endless proxy wars and
the destabilisation of entire regions.
In the face of these defeats, the US,
in collaboration with the economically
dominant states in the West resorted to
sanctions. However, such sanctions are
not instruments of non-violent politics.
They are instruments of economic
warfare and carry the danger that the
conflict will escalate into open
military confrontation, which is clearly
evident with the current sanctions
against Russia.
In the final decades before the
collapse of the Soviet Union, a policy
of detente based on realpolitik emerged,
which presumed that economic, cultural
and social networking across blocs would
offer hope of change through
rapprochement, overcoming tensions and
leading to reform policies in the
Eastern bloc.
This idea, always accompanied by
mistrust, achieved its purpose,
culminating in the Gorbachev era.
Such a concept is completely absent
today. In the meantime, the EU
Commission is planning its seventh
package of sanctions — without even
verifying whether this method will work.
Realpolitik and economic reason have
shown time and again that the
consequences of such a policy are
increasingly endangering Europe as a
whole and economic stability.
In Germany the populace is being
exhorted to help out by taking shorter
showers and using less gas for cooking.
Fear is spreading, inflation is driving
the wage-price spiral, insolvencies and
unemployment are rising.
Germany, with its commodity-dependent
and export-oriented industry, is
particularly at risk — and its leaders
know it.
The instability of the supply chains
adds to this. We are already
experiencing a high-risk experiment with
an uncertain outcome in our economic
relations with Russia and China.
In the last 30 years, as a result of
unchecked globalisation, countless
economic cross-connections, exchanges of
goods and know-how, partnerships of
every kind have been forged between West
and East.
Now, with sanctions, expropriations,
tariff barriers, this entire global web
of raw material supplies, supply chains,
trade routes is being torn apart.
We are already looking at two
completely separate worlds in the
future: the Asian-Russian world and the
Western world. But until this separation
is achieved, there will be years of
chaos and endless economic crises. Who
really wants that?
It is very doubtful that Africa,
Latin America and the Middle East will
be on the side of the West. We are
already seeing a consolidation of the
Brics grouping of Brazil, Russia, India,
China and South Africa and closer
relations with Mexico.
If Europe is not prepared to break
its subservience to the US and its
membership of Nato, it will find itself
in even more serious trouble in the near
future.