By Paul Robinson
August 13, 2021"Information
Clearing House" - As the last men
of the dwindling American garrison in
Afghanistan pack their bags, there is an
echo of the Soviet Union's own withdrawal
from the country, more than 30 years ago.
But, in truth, Washington's defeat is far
greater.
In December 1979, Soviet forces invaded
Afghanistan to support the unpopular
government of the ruling People’s Democratic
Party of Afghanistan (PDPA). They soon found
themselves bogged down in a bloody war
against the mujahideen guerillas.
Nine years later, the Soviets decided
that there had been enough bloodshed and, in
May 1988, they began their exit. The final
contingent of Soviet troops drove back
across the bridge to the USSR in February
the following year.
Twelve years later, US troops arrived to
fight the Taliban. Soldiers of other NATO
states then followed. Together, they stayed
even longer than the Soviets, but are now on
the way out. US President Joe Biden has
promised that American soldiers will leave
Afghanistan by the end of August.
As the US completes its retreat from its
longest war, its enemy is on the march. In
the past week, the Taliban have captured 12
of Afghanistan’s 34 provincial capitals,
including the second and third largest
cities in the country, Kandahar and Herat,
both of which fell on Thursday.
The pace of the Taliban advance has been
remarkable. In some places, government
forces simply ran away without a fight. The
governor of Ghazni province was said to have
surrendered his city in exchange for free
passage out of the area. US-trained
government troops have fled or deserted en
masse and, in some cases, gone over to the
Taliban. It’s fair to say that it’s been a
rout, and the Americans haven’t even fully
left yet. The government may be able to hold
onto the country’s capital Kabul, but even
that is no longer certain.
In short, the 20 years of America’s and
NATO’s war in Afghanistan has ended in
ignominious failure – total and absolute.
So, of course, did the Soviets’ war, but not
quite so abruptly.
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After the last Soviet troops crossed over
the Friendship Bridge linking Afghanistan
and Soviet Uzbekistan, the mujahideen
launched a major offensive, confident that
they would be able to defeat the government
forces in short order. Their offensive
collapsed completely. The Afghan army stood
its ground and not a single major population
center fell into the hands of their
opponents. It was not until two years later,
when the post-Soviet Russian government of
Boris Yeltsin cut off funding to the Afghans
that the PDPA regime finally fell.
The contrast with what has happened this
past week could not be clearer. Even after
the Soviets had left, the troops they had
trained and equipped fought hard and
successfully. Today, the troops that America
and its allies trained and equipped at a
cost of hundreds of billions of dollars have
scattered to the four winds with only the
slightest effort at resistance.
But, to be fair, the problem lies not in
army exercises or crates of machine guns.
The current batch of Afghans have had plenty
of both. They outnumber the Taliban and are
better supplied. The problem is one of
morale: simply put, not many of them are
willing to die for their government.
The PDPA had a well-deserved reputation
for corruption, incompetence, factional
in-fighting, and dogmatic, counterproductive
policies that alienated the Afghan people,
such as its Marxist assaults on religion and
private enterprise. Meanwhile, the PDPA’s
opponents, the mujahideen, the Taliban’s
precursor, enjoyed substantial support from
the United States, including signing for the
delivery of sophisticated Stinger missiles.
The fact that the Soviet-backed
government put up a better fight than its
contemporary counterpart can, therefore,
only have one explanation: Afghans respect
their current rulers even less than they
respected the socialist PDPA. And that is
really saying something.
All of which begs the questions of why
America and NATO spent so long supporting
the regime in Kabul, and why the latter got
to be so disliked.
The answer to the first question is
largely one of prestige. Having installed
the current government, Western states felt
that their reputation was tied to its
survival and thus refused to abandon it even
when it became clear that it wasn’t worth
supporting.
The answer to the second question is that
the awfulness of the current government owes
a lot to the policies pursued by Western
states.
After Najibullah was overthrown in 1992,
Afghanistan suffered a vicious civil war in
which drug-running warlords competed for
power and inflicted all sorts of atrocities
on the Afghan people. When the Taliban came
along offering fierce but incorruptible
justice, many Afghans breathed a sigh of
relief and gave them their support.
Canadian general Rick Hiller famously
said that the Taliban were “detestable
murderers and scumbags.” What he failed
to note was that the Taliban’s enemies were,
on occasion, even worse. When America and
its allies moved into Afghanistan, these
enemies returned to their homes, this time
with the backing of Western powers, and
resumed their criminal ways. Unsurprisingly,
the locals weren’t too impressed.
Beyond that, Western powers flooded the
country with money. Pour cash into an
impoverished country without adequate
controls, and the consequence will be mass
corruption. So it was in Afghanistan.
Not only did this delegitimize the
government, but much of the aid flowed down
into the hands of the Taliban. As John Sopko,
the US official responsible for auditing
American expenditures in Afghanistan, put
it, “the end of the US supply chain in
Afghanistan is the Taliban.” If you
want to know who armed and paid for the
Taliban, the answer is that America did.
The Soviets believed ideology and
manpower would turn the tide of the war. The
West imagined that it could win in
Afghanistan by pouring in money and
resources. But, as Napoleon noted, “the
moral is to the physical as three to one.”
Events this week in Afghanistan prove the
point.
Paul
Robinson,
a professor at the University of Ottawa. He
writes about Russian and Soviet history,
military history and military ethics, and is
author of the Irrussianality blog.