Dispatches from the New Cold War
By Fred Reed
March
09, 2021 "Information
Clearing House" - -
"Unz"
- Today’s
characteristically luminous insights
will be disordered and structurally
horrifying, the sort of essay that would
have sent my high-school English teacher
into anaphylactic shock. In exculpation
I plead laziness.
Recently I wrote
a column on China’s digital yuan, now in
late-stage testing. Bare-bones
explanation: You download a
digital-wallet app with which you can
then send payments to anybody in the
world who also has the app, no forms,
bureaucracy, or bank account needed. OK,
that’s cute, you say. Then, with my
phenomenally perceptive, pincer-like
grasp of the inescapable, I thought, it
sounds scalable. If you can do it with
thirty bucks (in yuan) for a hat from
some store, why not with fifty million
dollars (in yuan) for a shipment of oil
from Iran? Sure, with more security and
so on, but same mechanism.
Interestingly,
such payments would be completely
independent of, and opaque to,
Washington. And independent of…SWIFT,
eeeeeeek! Do you suppose China
has thought of this?
Well, I thought,
this is mere speculative maundering by
some guy in Mexico who is admittedly pig
ignorant of international finance. And
of course China itself was saying that
the dijjywan had nothing to do with the
dollar, oh no, was solely for domestic
use, and for retail sales. Not
important. Move on. Nothing to see here.
LinkBookmarkBut
then,
this: China is consulting, whatever
that means, with Hong Kong, Thailand,
and the UAE over using the dijjywan for
international payments. Uh…say what?
Thailand and the UAE are not
particularly domestic to China. And I
doubt that Beijing is intensely
interested in the retail market of the
UAE, which has the aggregate population
of a large city bus. Methinks China has
Something In mind. And it don’t bode
good for sanctions, the petrodollar, and
the like.
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Nuther subject:
Being fascinated by what looks like a
shift of the world’s technological and
economic center of gravity from the West
to Asia, I poke about the web in the
manner of an Ernest truffle hound, to
see what the wily Orientals are doing.
My results are not too systematic. My
distinct impression is that things are
happening over there, ideas popping up
on Wednesday and in volume production by
Friday afternoon, of energy and
movement. By contrast, America looks
asleep at the wheel. Except that it
doesn’t have a wheel. A few almost
random examples:
China ahead of America in patent
applications for second year.
Business Insider:“ “China is moving
ahead with a huge robot farming
project…powered by 5G cellular
technology, the agricultural tractor
with self-driving mode can also be
remotely controlled to carry out
multiple intelligent functions” says
Chinese governmental site Global
Times
Beijing has successfully powered up
its “artificial sun” nuclear fusion
reactor for the first time, China’s
People’s Daily reported on Friday. It’s
designed to be a clean energy source,
similar to the real Sun.”
The foregoing is
overexcited as neither China nor anyone
else has demonstrated controlled fusion,
but it shows that the country is in the
race.
Global Times (Again, mouthpiece of
Beijing): China needs to increase its
nuclear warheads to 1,000.” Because of
American hostility.
Education. China
finds its brightest students with a
grueling entrance exam. America dumbs
down elite high schools because they
don’t have enough unqualified
minorities. Thomas Jefferson High School
in Virginia has already been
enstupidated, and the NYC schools are on
the block. The purpose of schools is to
admit students who can’t do the work.
New York Post: “With this year’s
state math and English exams canceled, a
watered-down grading policy enacted, and
the tossing of attendance, the key
factors for admission to selective
schools have been dropped or
diminished…. “
America Ties with China in 2019 Math
Olympiad
Well, not
exactly. The 2019 U.S. team is: Vincent
Huang, Luke Robitaille, Colin Tang,
Edward Wan, Brandon Wang, and Daniel
Zhu. China, it seems, tied with itself.
BBC: China’s Chang-e Five
lunar-sample return mission safely
parachutes into Mongolia. Very
sophisticated engineering, and it
worked. The US is ahead in space
exploration, its Perseverance mission
now on Mars being a marvel, but the gap
ain’t what it used to be.
From NIO, a Chinese Electric Vehicle
Start-up
If a car looks
like this, I want one. Nio is working on
a system in which “gas” stations remove
a depleted battery and replace it with a
charged one, thus eliminating the
problem of long charging time. Will it
fly? I don’t know, but those folks over
there are scurrying. China, Japan, and
South Korea, for example, are rapidly
advancing hydrogen-powered fuel-cell
cars.
China’s Quantum Computer Beats
Google’s Sycamore in ‘Computational
Supremacy’, Claims New Study
Also a bit
overdone. My grasp of quantum computing
equals that of a hardboiled egg, but
this seems to indicate that China is
holding its own in a field that is a
Very Big Deal.
Below: “China
Finishes Building World’s Largest
Radio Telescope”
China has
finished building the Five-hundred-meter
Aperture Spherical Telescope (FAST), the
world’s largest single-aperture
telescope. This photo was taken on July
3, 2016, the day the huge dish’s last
panel was installed” Gret big sucker.
Four years ago. China has the money to
spend on pure science. Wow.
MagLev.net: “The next-generation
Chinese medium-low speed maglev doubles
the top speed of the first generation
and it becomes driverless…Most of the
R&D work is done in Hunan Province….”
Miles of
high-speed rail in the US: 0. Miles of
maglev rail in US: 0. Likelihood of
either any time soon: 0. Cost of new B21
intercontinental nuclear bomber: $550
million. Each.
China Will Begin Constructing ItsSpace
Station in 2021
China to build 30 ‘fully connected’ 5G
factories by 2023
Many think of
Five G as being able to download movies
in three seconds. Actually, with high
throughput and low latency, combined
with artificial intelligence and edge
computing, it will be hugely important
in managing smart factories,
transportation networks, smart cities,
and so on. This is why Washington wants
to block it. Meanwhile china is
catching up in AI, it seems.
China-developed hydrogen fuel-cell
hybrid locomotive rolls off assembly
line
“Huawei’s
Harmony OS Extends to All Devices in
2021 in Bid for Tech Self-Sufficiency
Amid US Trade War.”
This is
interesting. Tech commentators have
pointed out, correctly but without too
much insight, that Huawei will have a
hard time selling phones with Harmony
outside of China because Trump cut the
company off from using the Android
operating system’s app store. Google.”
Huawei is now preloading Harmony on all
of its product, making it independent of
Google.
Now we have.
Huawei May Allow Chinese Smartphone
Firms to Use Harmony OS to Counter Trump
Trade Bans,
This means that
all of China’s phone companies are
independent of Android, at least in
China, as, if threatened by the US, they
just switch to Harmony. It also means
that China, should it choose, could ban
Android in Chinas as Trump banned Huawei
in the US, and perhaps ban iOS also,
thus losing the entire Chinese market
for Google and Apple. Forcing a large,
resourceful country to build competing
products might charitably be called
preternaturally stupid.
Which brings us
to the new Cold War, which is exactly
what Trump II is engaged in. The Beltway
China hawks want to cripple China’s tech
industry by denying it advanced
semiconductor technology, chiefly from
America’s vassal states of Holland,
Taiwan, and South Korea. Will this work?
I dunno. But there is a clear pattern in
China’s response. A sort of techy
example, that sensible readers can skip.
There is a
company in Wuhan,
YMTC, Yangtze Memory Technology
Company, that has developed an advanced
192-layer dual-wafer NAND (“flash”) chip
using Chinese technology. Flash memory
is used in huge quantities in everything
from smartphones to French fries (well,
maybe not French fries.) There is some
doubt as to whether the company will be
able to produce in volume, but it is
building a second fab line, so it must
think it can.
If it does,
American companies, notably Micron, will
lose the (very large) Chinese market for
flash. Then the Chinese, nothing if not
commercial, will probably flood the
world market with discount flash.
This tech-wide
lunge for self-sufficiency, if
Washington does not succeed in crushing
it, will close the Chinese market
progressively for American firms. Well,
who needs 1.4 billion customers? The
China hawks may be poking the wrong
bear.
RCRWireless News: “Chinese operators
to build over 1 million 5G base stations
in 2021:
“According to
estimates from Wu Hequan, a member of
the Chinese Academy of Engineering, the
total number of 5G base stations in
China could reach more than 1.7 million
by the end of next year.”
US fumbles,
fiddles, sucks thumb. Years behind. It
is now forcing UK to uninstall Huawei
gear. Great diplomatic triumph.
Brilliant future
Nuff said.
Solar Farm in Inner Mongolia
NikkeiAsia: “China Out Front in Race
to Reduce CO2 Emissions”
A total of 40% of
the world’s new solar power generation
capacity is constructed there. And the
country’s share of global electricity
generated by the sun has jumped from 2%
in 2010 to 32% in 2018.
Nuff said.
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