By Finian Cunningham
July 22, 2020 "Information
Clearing House" - The
much-touted tough measures promised by the
British government against China over alleged
human rights violations turned out to be a damp
squib. No doubt a sudden reality-check of the
British economy’s dependence on China had a
sobering effect on Downing Street’s reckless
antagonism towards Beijing.
Britain’s Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab made
a much anticipated
annoucement in the House of Commons this
week that London was suspending an extradition
treaty with its former colony Hong Kong in
protest over Beijing implementing new security
laws on the territory.
The United Kingdom is following the United
States, Canada and Australia which have also
ended extradition treaties with Hong Kong. They
accuse Beijing of undermining political freedoms
bequeathed to the island territory as part of a
handover deal by Britain in 1997. China
maintains new security laws are required to
quell Western-backed unrest in the special
administrative region which is ultimately under
Chinese sovereignty.
However, in the end, Raab’s much-vaunted
punitive measures did not go far enough for more
hardline Tory parliamentarians and other
opposition lawmakers who were
disgruntled that the government did not
initiate sanctions against Chinese officials. In
short, it was a climbdown.
Indeed, the London government appeared to be
tamping down a political firestorm it had
ignited in recent days with China. The decision
last week to axe Chinese tech company Huawei
from Britain’s telecoms network, as well as
reports of a British aircraft carrier being
dispatched to the South China Sea, had been met
with a furious response from Beijing which
accused London of hostility and starting a new
Cold War.
China’s ambassador to the Britain mockingly
told the BBC that Britain was “dancing to
the tune” of Washington. Beijing also vowed to
hit back with reciprocal economic and diplomatic
measures.
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On the day that Foreign Secretary Raab
unveiled Britain’s response to the Hong Kong
issue, it was notable how he toned down his
erstwhile gung-ho rhetoric. In a statement to
the House of Commons, Raab surprised some
observers by saying Britain wanted a “positive
relationship” with China.
He said: “There is a huge amount to be gained
for both countries, there are many areas where
we can work productively, constructively to
mutual benefit together.”
On the same day, too, Prime Minister Boris
Johnson also
signaled a climbdown from the high-horse
attitude towards Beijing.
Johnson said there was a need for “balance”
to be struck in the UK’s relationship with
Beijing.
“I’m not going to be pushed into a position
of becoming a knee-jerk Sinophobe on every
issue, somebody who is automatically
anti-China,” he said.
Johnson said he would not “completely abandon
our policy of engagement” with Beijing, adding:
“China is a giant factor of geopolitics… You
have got to have a calibrated response and we
are going to be tough on some things but also
going to continue to engage.”
What this suggests is the British authorities
had belatedly incurred a rude awakening from
their delusions of post-colonial grandeur with
regard to relations with China.
In the 21st century, Britain is no match for
China, economically or militarily. China’s
economy – the second biggest in the world after
the U.S. – is six times that of Britain, while
China spends
fivefold more on its annual military budget.
The British economy is heavily dependent on
Chinese foreign direct investment. There is far
greater Chinese capital investment in
Britain than elsewhere in Europe or North
America. After the setback to Huawei, China
could hurt the British economy severely if its
companies redirected capital to other Western
destinations. The relocation being prompted by a
loss of confidence by Chinese firms in Britain.
For example, TikTok, the Chinese social media
company, is
reportedly retreating from its plans to make
Britain its global overseas headquarters
following London’s U-turn on Huawei. Some 3,000
British jobs are at stake if TikTok cancels its
plans.
Another illustration of British dependency on
China is the reliance of universities on Chinese
students for their income. A recent
report shows that many of Britain’s most
prestigious universities are reliant on Chinese
funds for up to one-third of their earned
tuition fees.
Such cold economic realities seem to have
given Johnson’s government pause for thought in
its dalliance with Cold War posturing towards
China. It’s as if British ministers had
momentarily forgotten that their nation is a
shadow of its former imperial power. They
giddily joined in Washington’s policy of
ratcheting up hostility towards Beijing, only to
realize that Britain is way out of its depth.
Hence the discernible attempt to soften the
“punitive measures” that London was threatening
against Beijing. Cancelling an extradition
treaty is more symbolic than having any
practical impact while balking at imposing
sanctions on China indicates that British
ministers received a briefing from Whitehall
mandarins telling them to dial down the hostile
rhetoric or else be prepared to face
eye-watering economic repercussions.
It seems significant that U.S. Secretary of
State Mike Pompeo flew into London within hours
of Johnson and Raab expressing reticence about
going down the Cold War route with China. Pompeo
reportedly held talks with the British
premier and his foreign minister to urge them to
take a harder line on China.
This is the dilemma for Britain as a vassal
of Washington. It is being pushed to do
Washington’s bidding in riling up Beijing, but
the British know full well that they can’t
afford to incite China’s anger. Johnson’s
kowtowing balancing act between the United
States and China is one of embarrassing
weakness.