By Pankaj
Mishra
July 14, 2020 "Information
Clearing House" -
The
abyss of history is deep enough to hold us all,’
Paul Valéry wrote in 1919, as Europe lay in ruins. The
words resonate today as the coronavirus blows the roof
off the world, most brutally exposing Britain and the
United States, these prime movers of modern civilisation,
which proudly claimed victory in two world wars, and in
the Cold War, and which until recently held themselves
up as exemplars of enlightened progress, economic and
cultural models to be imitated across the globe. ‘The
true test of a good government,’ Alexander Hamilton
wrote, ‘is its aptitude and tendency to produce a good
administration.’ It is a test the United States and
Britain have failed ruinously during the current crisis.
Both countries had weeks of warnings about the
coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan; strategies deployed by
nations that responded early, such as South Korea and
Taiwan, could have been adapted and implemented. But
Donald Trump and Boris Johnson chose instead to claim
immunity. ‘I think it’s going to work out fine,’ Trump
announced on 19 February. On 3 March, the day the
UK’s Scientific Advisory Group
for Emergencies warned against shaking hands, Johnson
boasted after a visit to a hospital treating coronavirus
patients: ‘I shook hands with everybody, you will be
pleased to know, and I continue to shake hands.’
Epidemiologists have become the idols of a frightened
public and scientific rigour has gained a new status in
large parts of the world. But the current regimes in the
US and Britain gained power by
fomenting hatred of experts and expertise. British
ministers, chosen for their devotion to Brexit and
loyalty to Johnson, have revealed themselves as
dangerous blunderers. Trump, still promoting family,
flunkeys and conspiracy theories, has obliged his
administration’s scientific authorities, Anthony Fauci
and Deborah Birx, to tiptoe around his volcanic ego. The
blithe inaction and bumbling born of ideological vanity
have resulted in tens of thousands of avoidable deaths
in both countries, with ethnic minorities heavily
overrepresented. Meanwhile, rage against white
supremacism is exploding on American streets. Whatever
the fate of these uprisings, the largest since the
1960s, a period of devastation lies ahead. Tens of
millions of people are likely to lose their livelihoods
and their dignity.
As a general insurrection erupts against America’s
foundational inequities, and a British national identity
propped up by fantasies of empire finally splinters, it
isn’t enough to lament the ‘authoritarian populism’ of
Trump and Johnson, to blame ‘identity politics’ and the
‘intolerant left’, or to claim moral superiority over
China, Russia and Iran. The early winners of modern
history now seem to be its biggest losers, with their
delegitimised political systems, grotesquely distorted
economies and shattered social contracts.
Narcissistic intellectual habits, which credit moral
virtue and political wisdom to countries such as India
because they appear to conform to Anglo-American notions
of democracy and capitalism, will have to be abandoned.
More attention must be paid to the specific historical
experiences and political traditions of Germany, Japan
and South Korea – countries once described (and
dismissed) as authoritarian and protectionist – and the
methods they have used to mitigate the suffering caused
both by manmade change and sudden calamity. The idea of
strategic state-building, historically alien to Britain
and the US, will have to be
grappled with. Covid-19 has exposed the world’s greatest
democracies as victims of prolonged self-harm; it has
also demonstrated that countries with strong state
capacity have been far more successful at stemming the
virus’s spread and look better equipped to cope with the
social and economic fallout.
Germany, which successfully used a low-tech test and
trace programme, is reinstating its
Kurzarbeit (‘short-work’)
scheme, which was first used in the early 20th
century but proved particularly valuable after the 2008
financial crisis. South Korea rolled out testing at
‘walk-in’ booths all over the country, then used credit
card records and location data from mobile phones to
trace the movements of infected people – a tactic
Britain has failed to master after months of effort.
Other East Asian countries such as Taiwan and Singapore
are also faring much better. Vietnam swiftly routed the
virus. China managed to curb its spread and has since
dispatched medics and medical supplies around the world.
Anglo-America’s dingy realities – deindustrialisation,
low-wage work, underemployment, hyper-incarceration and
enfeebled or exclusionary health systems – have long
been evident. Nevertheless, the moral, political and
material squalor of two of the wealthiest and most
powerful societies in history still comes as a shock to
some.
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In a widely circulated essay in the
Atlantic, George Packer
claimed that ‘every morning in the endless month of
March, Americans woke up to find themselves citizens of
a failed state.’ In fact, the state has been
AWOL for decades, and the
market has been entrusted with the tasks most societies
reserve almost exclusively for government: healthcare,
pensions, low-income housing, education, social services
and incarceration. As Ronald Reagan put it in 1986, ‘the
most terrifying words in the English language are: “I’m
from the government, and I’m here to help.”’
The assumptions of the Anglo-American mainstream have
remained unchanged for decades, despite the dramatic
rise of nation-states whose political, social and
economic structures are marked by what Hamilton called
‘the incitement and patronage of government’. Milton
Friedman’s argument that ‘the world runs on individuals
pursuing their separate interests’ became the common
sense of our age. Anglo-America amassed unprecedented
cultural and ideological power, even as self-inflicted
calamities such as Iraq and the financial crisis
diminished its geopolitical influence, and inequality
together with an eviscerated social infrastructure
blighted the lives of its working people. English has
been the language of globalisation, helping broadcasters
such as CNN and the
BBC, as well as periodicals
such as the New York Times,
the Economist and the
Financial Times, to
increase their international reach and prestige. A
network of institutions, foundations and think tanks,
including the Ivy League universities and Oxbridge, have
trained the world’s politicians, businessmen, academics
and journalists in the Anglo-American ideologies of
unfettered markets and minimal government.
Hailing globalisation as a revolutionary force in the
late 1990s, the New York Times
columnist Thomas Friedman became a guru to corporate
chieftains from Bangalore to Atlanta with his argument
that neutering government, American-style, and
deregulating economies were necessary and inevitable
steps on the path to a ‘flat world’. After 9/11, George
W. Bush managed to create a political and journalistic
consensus around the notion that ‘the global expansion
of democracy is the ultimate force in rolling back
terrorism and tyranny.’ In the
New York Times magazine, Niall Ferguson urged
Americans to re-establish with ‘military force’ the
British empire of ‘free trade’ and ‘balanced budgets’.
In a cover story, the Atlantic
described torture as a ‘necessary evil’. Andrew Sullivan
called for the ‘extermination of the enemy in all its
forms – relentlessly, constantly, insistently’.
Time,
Newsweek and the
Spectator, as well as the
Murdoch-owned media, fervently promoted fantasies of
Anglo-American supremacism. In retrospect, this
ideological synergy of bumptious men was a case of
catastrophic success, which guaranteed maximal shock and
bewilderment in its aftermath. In recent years, civil
wars in Iraq and Libya, the financial crisis, Brexit and
Trump’s election have made it clear that democracy
cannot be implanted by military force; that humanitarian
war creates forces such as IS
in the ruins of destroyed states; and that while state
economic controls can make a ‘communist’ country central
to global capitalism, Anglo-American free marketeering
results in intolerable inequity.
The escalating warning signs – that absolute cultural
power provincialises, if not corrupts, by deepening
ignorance about both foreign countries and political and
economic realities at home – can no longer be avoided as
the US and Britain cope with
mass death and the destruction of livelihoods. Covid-19
shattered what John Stuart Mill called ‘the deep slumber
of a decided opinion’, forcing many to realise that they
live in a broken society, with a carefully dismantled
state. As the Süddeutsche
Zeitung put it in May, unequal and unhealthy
societies are ‘a good breeding ground for the pandemic’.
Profit-maximising individuals and businesses, it turns
out, can’t be trusted to create a just and efficient
healthcare system, or to extend social security to those
who need it most. East Asian states have displayed far
superior decision-making and policy implementation. Some
(Japan, Taiwan, South Korea) have elected leaders; two
(China, Vietnam) are single-party dictatorships that
call themselves communist. They share the assumption
that genuine public interest is different from the mere
aggregation of private interests, and is best realised
through long-term government planning and policy. They
also believe that only an educated and socially
responsible elite can maintain social, economic and
political order. The legitimacy of this ruling class
derives not so much from routine elections as from its
ability to ensure social cohesion and collective
well-being. Its success in alleviating suffering during
the pandemic suggests that the idealised view of
democracy and free markets prized since the Cold War
will not survive much longer.
Few narratives are more edifying, as economies tank
and mass unemployment looms, than the account of the
‘social state’ that emerged in Germany in the second
half of the 19th century. ‘The
state must take the matter into its own hands,’ Bismarck
announced in the 1880s as he introduced insurance
programmes for accident, sickness, disability and old
age. German liberals, a tiny but influential minority,
made the usual objections: Bismarck was opening the door
to communism, imposing a ‘centralised state
bureaucracy’, a ‘state insurance juggernaut’ and a
‘system of state pension’ for idlers and parasites.
German socialists saw that their Machiavellian
persecutor was determined to drive a wedge between them
and the working class. Nevertheless, Bismarck’s social
insurance system wasn’t only retained and expanded in
Germany as it moved through two world wars, several
economic catastrophes and Nazi rule; it also became a
model for much of the world. Japan was Germany’s most
assiduous pupil, and the Japanese, in turn, inspired
China’s first generation of modern leaders, many of whom
spent years in Tokyo and Osaka. Despite the defeat and
devastation of the Second World War and the
US occupation, Japan has
continued to influence East Asia’s other late-developing
nation-states: South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and
Vietnam.
What made Germany such a compelling prototype for
Japan? It is that Germany was a classic ‘late developer’
– the archetype of all nation-states in Asia and Africa.
It unified only in 1871 and began to industrialise
nearly a hundred years after Britain. Its leaders had to
cope with the simultaneous challenges of rapid
mechanisation and urbanisation, the disappearance of
traditional livelihoods, the growth of trusts and
cartels as well as trade unions, and an intensifying
demand, articulated by a vibrant socialist movement, for
political participation.
Buffeted by socio-economic changes and rising
inequality, Germany faced early on what Japan and every
other late-developing nation was forced to confront –
the ‘social question’. Max Weber put it bluntly: how to
‘unite socially a nation split apart by modern economic
development, for the hard struggles of the future’?
Weber was among the conservative German nationalists who
saw the social question as a matter of life or death.
Military and economic rivalry with Britain was a
daunting enough prospect for their fledgling state. But,
as disaffection increased among the classes uprooted and
exploited by industrial capitalism – a political party
representing the interests of the working classes
emerged in Germany decades before it did in Britain –
the fear of socialist revolution also preyed on the
minds of German leaders.
They could not set about removing impediments to
individual freedom in the way their counterparts in
laissez-faire Britain were then doing, nor could they
entrust economic affairs to the invisible hand of the
market. As the deliberations of the influential Verein
für Socialpolitik (Association for Social Policy)
between 1872 and 1882 reveal, unfettered economic
liberalism was seen as a threat to institutions and to a
still fragile national unity. The safest way to defuse
the volatile social question, the association decided,
was to ensure state-guaranteed protection for citizens
exposed to extreme socio-economic tumult and radical
insecurity – what Bismarck, seeking to outmanoeuvre his
socialist opponents, described as ‘moderate, reasonable
state socialism’.
In Atlantic Crossings:
Social Politics in a Progressive Age (1998), Daniel
Rodgers showed that many Americans in the late 19th
and early 20th centuries
returned from stays in Germany with ideas that would
inform the New Deal. Little, however, is still known
about the global history of this German-devised state –
what W.E.B. Du Bois, who was
in turn-of-the-century Germany as a student, described
as ‘the guardian and leader of the social and industrial
interests of the people’. It’s not surprising that the
social state receives scant attention in boosterish
Anglo-American accounts of the making of the modern
world. Milton Friedman claimed that postwar Japan and
South Korea were exemplars of open, competitive markets;
Francis Fukuyama credited the prewar successes of
Germany and Japan to ‘economic liberalism’. It’s also
true that the social question did not until recently
seem as critical in Anglo-America as in late-developing
nations. Britain, the first major imperialist power of
the modern era, successfully combined its early
industrial and scientific revolution with slave labour
and land grabs from Fiji to the Caribbean. Socialism
stood little chance in a country where habits of
deference to the ruling classes were (and remain) deeply
entrenched.
Alexander Hamilton is a rare example of an early
American internationalist who saw strong states as
playing an essential role in the hard struggles of the
future. But Americans, busy forging a nation from the
white masters of a slave society, could afford to ignore
him. They had the advantage of a constantly expanding
frontier at home during the 19th
century, by the end of which they had become
commercially and militarily powerful, ready and keen to
savour territories, resources and markets abroad. Hegel
predicted that since the American political community
was defined by ‘the preponderance of private interest’,
it would only achieve a ‘real state and a real
government’ after ‘wealth and poverty become extreme’,
compelling an economically exhausted people to seek new
forms of governance. Such a modernisation has never been
accomplished; as Samuel Huntington once argued, the
American republic continues to resemble a Tudor monarchy
more closely even than Britain’s constitutional
monarchy.
Outdated institutions and ideologies endured partly
because collective action by workers never matched the
potent appeal of private interests. When inequality grew
intolerable and meritocracy began to appear a fraud, the
American ruling class answered its social question more
ferociously than many tyrants, with mass incarceration –
removing many of the long-term victims of slave society
from public life. The American state had little
authority to intervene in social and economic realms on
behalf of ordinary citizens, but at the same time its
mandate – to protect the liberty of its citizens from
foreign states and non-state actors – turned the
US into a military behemoth
abroad and expanded the infrastructure of white
domination at home. The New Deal was an exceptional
instance of a US government
recognising that the state can and should be a guardian
of the people’s interests; but it arose out of the twin
calamities of the First World War and the Great
Depression. Struggling to survive them, even extreme
individualists were forced to recognise that, as Walter
Lippmann wrote, ‘to create a minimum standard of life
below which no human being can fall is the most
elementary duty of the democratic state.’
After the Second World War, nearly all Western
governments accepted, to varying degrees, that the state
was a necessary actor, even if they didn’t all agree
that it was the ‘greatest moral institution for the
education of mankind’ (in the words of Gustav
Schmoller). The leaders of the free world were keen to
appear to be working hard to secure social justice as
well as prosperity for their citizens; even the most
conservative among them seemed to agree with Bismarck
that ‘the state cannot exist without a certain
socialism.’ Responding to East Germany’s claim that it
possessed a superior social security system, Christian
Democrats extended the West German system to benefit
increasing numbers of people. These were also the
decades when the National Health Service was created;
when welfare projects like Lyndon Johnson’s Great
Society, which promised cash benefits for all families
in need, were launched; and when civil rights
legislation was introduced with one nervous eye on
Soviet propagandists, who tirelessly and irrefutably
pointed to the organised degradation of African
Americans in the US.
Such small moves towards a social state provoked
dismay among ordoliberal dogmatists in Europe, such as
Wilhelm Röpke, who accused the Eisenhower and Kennedy
administrations of endangering the racial unity of the
West by pursuing socialistic ideas of equality. In
Globalists: The End of Empire
and the Birth of Neoliberalism, Quinn Slobodian
tracks the circulation of Röpke’s ideas among right-wing
Americans aghast at their leaders’ egalitarian rhetoric
and welfare programmes.
But libertarian ideologies didn’t return to the
mainstream until the 1970s, when ageing Western
societies experienced successive crises. In 1970, Milton
Friedman could count on an increasingly congenial
ideological climate when he argued in the
New York Times magazine
that businesses had no social responsibility beyond
making a profit. He was the public face of an
ideological shift which saw libertarian economists such
as James Buchanan, acting in concert with the right-wing
zealot Charles Koch and lobbyists for corporations like
Shell Oil, Exxon, Ford, IBM,
Chase Manhattan Bank and General Motors, disseminating
radical ideas through a pliable media and a new
curriculum for economics education in universities.
Partly as a result of their influence, and emboldened by
the rhetoric of Reagan and Thatcher, during the 1980s
politicians across the ideological spectrum began to
dismantle social protections, undermine labour rights
and slash taxes on the rich. The process accelerated
after the West’s ‘victory’ in the Cold War, when
fantasies of Americanising the globe bloomed. ‘I want
everyone to become an American,’ Thomas Friedman,
consigliere to globalising CEOs and modernising despots,
insisted as late as 2008.
Inspired by Thatcher and right-wing
US think tanks, Tony Blair
pushed state policy and public attitudes in Britain
closer to the notion that welfare is a problem rather
than the solution. Over the last decade, successive
Conservative governments have ruthlessly shredded what
was left of the social safety net in the name of
budgetary ‘austerity’, hastening Britain’s decline into
a flailing – if not failed – state that can’t even
secure supplies of gowns and masks for its hospital
workers. In the US, welfare
was turned into a dirty word by Reagan’s dog-whistles
about ‘welfare queens’, and then came under intensive
attack by Bill Clinton, America’s ‘first black
president’. An approving chorus was provided by the
New Republic, once the
main organ of American progressivism, as well as the
National Review and the
New York Times. After the
collapse of communism, and the moral challenge it
presented, the corralling of African Americans was
resumed without fear of international scrutiny; the new
weapons for this purpose, honed to deadly effect under
Clinton, and fully endorsed by Joe Biden in the Senate,
were mass incarceration and a militarised police. As
Hillary Clinton, who is currently vending an anti-racist
reading list (‘Ijeoma Oluo’s
So You Want to Talk about Race is a great and
thoughtful starting point’), saw it in 1996, the
‘superpredators’ had ‘no conscience, no empathy’ and ‘we
can talk about why they ended up that way, but first we
have to bring them to heel.’ If the shambolic response
to Hurricane Katrina established that George W. Bush
‘doesn’t care about black people’, as Kanye West put it,
the aftermath of the financial crisis showed that Barack
Obama was keen not to be seen as caring too much about
black people. The second black president lectured
African Americans about individual responsibility while
bailing out his future paymasters on Wall Street.
The pandemic, which has killed 130,000 people in the
US, including a
disproportionate number of African Americans, has now
shown, far more explicitly than Katrina did in 2005 or
the financial crisis in 2008, that the Reagan-Thatcher
model, which privatised risk and shifted the state’s
responsibility onto the individual, condemns an
unconscionable number of people to premature death or to
a desperate struggle for existence. An even deeper and
more devastating realisation is that democracy,
Anglo-America’s main ideological export and the mainstay
of its moral prestige, has never been what it was
cracked up to be. Democracy does not guarantee good
government, even in its original heartlands. Neither
does the individual choice that citizens of democracies
periodically exercise – whether in referendums or
elections – confer political wisdom on the chosen. It
might even delude them, as Johnson and Trump confirm,
into deranged notions of omnipotence. The ideal of
democracy, according to which all adults are equal and
possess equal power to choose and control political and
economic outcomes, is realised nowhere. The fact of
economic inequality, not to mention the compromised
character of political representatives, makes it
unrealisable. More disturbing still, voters have been
steadily deprived, not least by a mendacious or
click-baiting fourth estate, of the capacity either to
identify or to seek the public interest. Modern
democracy, in other words, bears little resemblance to
the form of government that went under its name in
ancient Greece. And in no place does democracy look more
like a zombie than in India, Anglo-America’s most
diligent apprentice, where a tremendously popular Hindu
supremacist movement diverts attention from grotesque
levels of inequality and its own criminal maladroitness
by stoking murderous hatred against Muslims.
To
grow up in India in the
1970s and 1980s, as I did, was to live through the
fiascos of both democracy and state-building. Unlike
Thomas Jefferson and George Washington, India’s founding
figures were outspoken partisans of social, political
and economic equality. And during its early decades,
when Martin Luther King, among others, travelled to
India to seek inspiration for the civil rights movement,
the country seemed a beacon to striving people of colour
everywhere. Here was a non-communist nation-state of
overwhelmingly poor people, trying to create an
egalitarian society and an internationally competitive
economy within a political framework – parliamentary
elections and separation of powers – explicitly modelled
on Anglo-America.
But India never built a well-organised state of the
sort that would allow such a country, despoiled by
colonialism, to overcome its extreme disadvantages: an
underproductive agricultural economy, a weak industrial
base, and a poorly fed and mostly illiterate citizenry.
In the early decades of independence, government
interventions did result in some progress in heavy
industry and agriculture. Investment in higher (though
not primary) education created generations of superbly
skilled upper-caste Indians; many of them can be found
today in senior positions at US
corporations such as Microsoft and Google, as well as in
academia and journalism. But economic growth was slower
than in many East Asian countries, despite the fact that
India had started off with a broad industrial base and
possessed a relatively strong bureaucratic and
administrative apparatus.
By the late 1970s, disillusionment with India’s lack
of progress was deep and pervasive. A spell of
authoritarian rule under Indira Gandhi had resolved
nothing, while revealing the spinelessness of the media
and judiciary and the repressively law-and-order
orientation of the state inherited from British
colonialists. The poor were very far from enjoying civil
liberties or a chance at prosperity; and many among the
upper castes, impatient with the inept rulers thrown up
by elections, longed for the country to be run by an
efficient autocrat like Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew. A few
envious glances were also directed at South Korea’s
president, Park Chung Hee, who had seized power after a
military coup in 1961 and during his 18-year rule
supervised the transformation of a dirt-poor rural
country into a world-beating manufacturing giant with
excellent educational standards and massively improved
public health.
China’s transformation under Deng Xiaoping from
Maoist basket case to global economic powerhouse was
particularly galling to many Indians, especially those
who had believed in Anglo-American predictions of their
country’s inevitable and unstoppable ‘rise’. When
Narendra Modi won power in 2014 with the help of India’s
richest businessmen, promising to liberate Indian
markets from state regulation and boost them into the
company of Western superpowers, the ambitious elites
seemed to have found their own enlightened despot
(albeit that he was suspected of involvement in a pogrom
that killed hundreds of Muslims). Modi seemed to promise
an India that would fulfil Anglo-American fantasies: an
Asian country that combined democracy with free markets
and would be a counterweight to authoritarian China. The
American Enterprise Institute welcomed him as India’s
version of Reagan and Thatcher; Obama claimed that he
reflected ‘the dynamism and potential of India’s rise’.
The quick fix of authoritarianism has exacerbated
rather than resolved India’s fundamental problems.
Effortlessly subverting the media, judiciary and the
military, India’s Hindu supremacist rulers have shown
themselves to be cold-blooded fanatics, willing to stoke
anti-Muslim pogroms, assassinate critics and
collectively punish minorities (as in Kashmir, where a
lockdown lasting months preceded the pandemic). After
six years of Modi’s rule, India is further away than
ever from matching the material achievements of China,
let alone those of Western countries; and it is being
humiliated militarily by China (the Galwan Valley
incident last month in which at least twenty Indian
troops were killed is just the most recent example).
Manufacturing has long been stagnant; and banks are
deeply in debt because of the bad loans they have handed
out to crony-capitalists. More than 140 million migrant
workers have lost jobs during a botched lockdown; and
now starvation looms over hundreds of millions of
Indians already tormented by malnutrition, poor
education and a lack of sanitation.
Not all of India’s unfolding disasters can be blamed
on Modi. For a long time, as Amartya Sen has argued,
India’s rulers failed to make crucial investments in
primary education and public health, and thus didn’t
create the ‘human capital’ and infrastructure necessary
for the labour-intensive manufacturing revolution which,
decades before China’s rise, created the ‘East Asian
Tigers’, South Korea and Taiwan. One reason the Covid-19
pandemic threatens carnage in India is that it spends
proportionately less than even Nepal and Timor-Leste –
1.3 per cent of its GDP – on
healthcare (South Korea, by way of comparison, spends
8.1 per cent) and has a highly privatised health system.
The only Indian state with adequate protection from the
pandemic is communist-controlled Kerala, whose public
health and education systems have long ensured that the
state has the highest life expectancy and literacy rate
in India.
South Korea started from an equally low base in the
1940s and succeeded in creating both a modern
industrialised economy and a society remarkable for its
low levels of income, if not gender, inequality. India’s
rulers derived legitimacy from elections (and garnered
much Western acclaim for these ‘festivals’ of
democracy), but its modern state, while becoming more
ingeniously coercive than the colonial state it was
grafted onto, has never developed the capacity to rescue
its hundreds of millions of citizens from poverty and
social inequality. Vivek Chibber argues in his
comparative study of India and South Korea,
Locked in Place:
State-Building and Late Industrialisation in India
(2003), that India’s rulers were unable or unwilling to
act against the wishes of the businessmen who campaigned
against state-led development. South Korea, on the other
hand, demonstrated yet again that for late-developers,
state-building is a pre-requisite for nation-building,
and that social and economic well-being depends less on
how political representatives are chosen and more on how
adroitly the state formulates and implements policy.
Park, for instance, extended the patronage of government
to what are now South Korea’s most prominent
chaebol (family-owned)
business groups: Hyundai, Daewoo and Samsung. These
lessons in social and industrial policy, which Germany
began administering in the late 19th
century, and which have been most effectively taken to
heart by China, were comprehensively lost on the
upper-caste rulers of India, whose major preoccupation
was the perpetuation of their own power through the
ballot box. India today represents the worst of all
possible worlds: far-right Hindus deftly manipulate
electoral democracy and the public sphere, the state
seems better equipped for repression than for welfare,
and its economic experiments with deregulation and
privatisation have produced numerous oligarchs but no
internationally recognised product or enterprise.
South Korea, like India, took political inspiration
from its former coloniser. Born and educated under
Japanese colonial rule, Park admired and attempted to
imitate Japan’s swift emergence as a major industrial
power. Like the Japanese, he looked for guidance to
Friedrich List, the German economic protectionist,
rather than Adam Smith. According to Park, ‘the life of
the nation can be developed and grown only through the
state.’ As he saw it, the laissez-faire individualism
backed by Anglo-American elites encouraged social
fragmentation and political strife, making state and
nation-building nearly impossible. ‘We are different,’
he argued, ‘from the West that pits the individual
against the state.’
Park spoke as the latest of late developers, keen to
learn from the experiences of the advanced powers, and
to avoid their mistakes. His teachers in Japan, who had
copied Germany’s model as diligently as he imitated
Japan’s, down to its constitution, also found top-down
mobilisation a more effective framework than liberalism
for nation and state-building. Unlike Weber’s Germany,
Japan was not exactly split apart by economic
development. All the same, its leaders were cautious
from the start. As Kanai Noburu, an economist who
trained in Germany in the 1880s and became a mentor to
many Japanese thinkers and leaders, put it: ‘If workers
are treated like animals, then after several decades
unions and socialism will appear.’
By the early 20th century,
Japan’s industrial revolution had rendered especially
urgent the social question, or
shakai mondai. Discussions of what economic
development entailed invariably featured the term
bunmei byd (civilisation
sickness), a reference to the problems afflicting
British and American societies: class divisions, labour
strife, destruction of communities, excessive
materialism, radical individualism and the decline of
the values of social co-operation. In 1908, Japan’s
prime minister, Katsura Taro, summed up the speedy
self-education of conservative but pragmatic ruling
classes in catch-up societies:
The development of machine industry and the
intensification of competition widens the gap
between rich and poor and creates antagonisms that
endanger social order. Judging by Western history,
this is an inevitable pattern ...
Therefore, it goes without saying that we must rely
on education to nurture the people’s values; and we
must devise a social policy that will assist their
industry, provide them work, help the aged and
infirm and, thereby, prevent catastrophe.
Catastrophe came nonetheless, as a result of the
pressure to compete with established imperialist powers.
Weber had a tough-minded understanding of the
unforgiving world that forced a latecomer like Germany
to catch up expeditiously with Britain and the
US. ‘We cannot pass peace and
human happiness on to our descendants,’ he wrote, ‘but
the maintenance and up-breeding of our national kind.’
Hitler, who took racist legislation in the
US as a model and envied
Britain for its ‘capitalist exploitation of 350 million
slaves’ in India, frankly underscored the genealogy of
German nationalism in British imperialism and
US settler colonialism. ‘What
India was for England,’ he declared, ‘the Eastern
territories will be for us’; their ‘natives’ would be
regarded as ‘redskins’. The scramble for territory and
resources, started by British slave-owners and
colonialists, and the subsequent international race to
create the fittest political and economic organism for
survival, are what made the first half of the 20th
century so uniquely violent (not some fundamental
incompatibility between ‘liberal democracy’ and
‘totalitarianism’, as the Cold War narrative had it).
Desperately seeking Lebensraum,
Germany and Japan clashed with their competitors and
eventually capitulated to the greater military might of
the Allied powers.
In the postwar era, even when reconstructing their
strength as economic powers with the help of American
aid, Germany and Japan didn’t abandon their commitment
to the social state. The constitution that came into
effect in Japan in 1947 emphasised the state’s
obligation to provide social security and public
healthcare. In 1949, a new constitution enshrined the
‘social state’ in the Federal Republic of Germany, and
the adjective ‘social’ retained its import and weight in
the ‘social market economy’ introduced by Ludwig Erhard,
the minister for economic affairs and Röpke’s disciple.
Since the rise of privatisation and deregulation in the
1970s, social protections have been undermined in
Germany, Japan and much of East Asia, including China.
But even in their enfeebled form, they remain superior
to the skeletal welfare states of Britain and the
US.
While
the peddlers of free markets, democracy, the end of
history, neo-imperialism and the flat earth were getting
high on their own supply, China emerged as the most
formidable exponent of concerted state power so far
seen. Just as American wages began to stagnate in the
1970s, the living conditions of a large percentage of
the Chinese population began to improve dramatically:
the biggest transformation of this kind in history. This
extraordinary economic expansion has been accompanied by
unparalleled damage to the environment and cruel
limitations on individual liberty, especially in Hong
Kong and the minority regions of Tibet and Xinjiang.
China also needs to confront mounting national debt and
the problems associated with an ageing population.
Still, scepticism about its material progress,
insistence that regime change and American-style
democracy are inevitable, or that the coronavirus
emerged from a Chinese lab, do nothing to improve the
prospects of citizens in the countries that are so proud
of being democracies.
Their sanctimony can’t disguise the fact that China,
single-mindedly pursuing modernisation under a
technocratic elite, has verified Hamilton’s belief that
only a strong, proactive state can protect its citizens
from the maelstrom of violent and unavoidable change:
‘Nothing but a well-proportioned exertion of the
resources of the whole, under the direction of a Common
Council, with power sufficient to give efficacy to their
resolutions, can preserve us from being a
CONQUERED
PEOPLE now, or can make
us a HAPPY
PEOPLE hereafter.’
China has been more coldly pragmatic, too, than its
Western critics. After all, a ruling party that calls
itself ‘communist’ chose to abandon its foundational
ideology and adapt itself to a market economy, just as
the US, seeking to build a new
world order, was failing to implant democracy by
persuasion or military force in Russia, Eastern Europe
and the Arab world, succeeding only in facilitating
brutal anarchy or despotism in almost every country it
sought to remake in its image. More recently, and
damagingly, a feckless global experiment in economic
hyper-liberalism led by Anglo-America’s political class
and mainstream intelligentsia has helped empower
neo-fascist movements and personalities in both
countries.
China may or may not address its democratic deficit,
as South Korea and Taiwan have both done. Its chillingly
resourceful suppression of dissent in Hong Kong and
Xinjiang renews the warning from the histories of
Germany and Japan: that the modern state’s biopower can
enable monstrous crimes. But there’s no getting around
the desolate position that the great paragons of
democracy find themselves in today. Neither Britain nor
America seems capable of dealing with the critical
challenges to collective security and welfare thrown up
by the coronavirus. No less crushing is the exposure, as
Rhodes finally falls, of the fact that the power and
prestige of Anglo-America originated in grotesque
atrocities and, as William James wrote in 1897, that ‘a
land of freedom, boastfully so called, with human
slavery enthroned at the heart of it’ was always ‘a
thing of falsehood and horrible self-contradiction’.
The moralising history of the modern world written by
its early winners – the many Plato-to-Nato accounts of
the global flowering of democracy, liberal capitalism
and human rights – has long been in need of drastic
revision. At the very least, it must incorporate the
experiences of late-developing nations: their fraught
and often tragic quests for meaningful sovereignty,
their contemptuously thwarted ideas for an egalitarian
world order, and the redemptive visions of social
movements, from the Greens in Germany to Dalits in
India. The recent explosion of political demagoguery,
after years of endless and futile wars, should have been
an occasion to interrogate the narratives of British and
American narcissism. Trump and Brexit offered an
opportunity to ‘break democracy’s spell’ on the
Anglo-American mind – something the political theorist
John Dunn has been arguing for since the late 1970s,
long before Anglo-American triumphalism assumed
inflexible forms. Those hypnotised by the word, Dunn
argued, had become oblivious to the fact that the
political and economic arrangements they preferred, and
which they described as ‘democracy’, could neither
continue indefinitely nor handle ‘the immediate
challenges of collective life within and between
individual countries effectively even in the present’.
Instead, the elevation of tub-thumpers to high office
in London and Washington led to a proliferation of
self-pitying and self-flattering accounts, describing
the way the long march of ‘liberal democracy’ had been
disrupted by uncouth ‘populists’, ‘identity liberals’,
‘social-justice warriors’ and even, as Anne Applebaum
claimed in a cover article in the
Atlantic, by senior
Republicans, who had abandoned their ‘ideals’ and
‘principles’. Mark Lilla’s preposterous argument, first
aired in the New York Times,
that the ‘Mau-Mau tactics’ of Black Lives Matter and
Hillary Clinton’s radical ‘rhetoric of diversity’ helped
elect Trump, was reverently amplified in the
Financial Times and the
Guardian. Mainstream
periodicals on both sides of the Atlantic quickly
mobilised against a resurgent left by promoting
intellectual grifters and stentorian culture warriors
while doubling down on their default pro-establishment
positions. ‘The New York Times
is in favour of capitalism,’ James Bennet, the
newspaper’s editorial page director, told his
colleagues, because it is the ‘greatest anti-poverty
programme and engine of progress that we’ve seen’.
Bennet, who had given space to articles that denied
climate change, promoted eugenics and recommended
apartheid and ethnic cleansing in Palestine, was forced
to resign last month over an op-ed calling for military
force to be used against anti-racist protesters.
Nevertheless, Samantha Power’s recent claims in the
NYT
that ‘the United States leads no matter what it does’
and ‘nations still look to us in times of crisis’
confirm that the factotums and publicists of the ancien
régime remain persistent, yearning for a Restoration
under a Biden administration.
However, after the most radical upheaval of our
times, even the bleakest account of the German-invented
social state seems a more useful guide to the world to
come than moist-eyed histories of Anglo-America’s
engines of universal progress. Screeching ideological
U-turns have recently taken place in both countries.
Adopting a German-style wage-subsidy scheme, and
channelling FDR rather than
Churchill, Boris Johnson now claims that ‘there is such
a thing as society’ and promises a ‘New Deal’ for
Britain. Biden, abandoning his Obama-lite centrism, has
rushed to plagiarise Bernie Sanders’s manifesto. In
anticipation of his victory in November, the Democratic
Party belatedly plans to forge a minimal social state in
the US through robust
worker-protection laws, expanded government-backed
health insurance, if not single-payer healthcare, and
colossal investment in public-health jobs and childcare
programmes. Businesses pledge greater representation for
minorities; and book and magazine publishers seek out
testimonies of minorities’ suffering while purging
unreconstructed colleagues.
Such tardy wokeness, unaccompanied by major economic
and cultural shifts, invites scepticism – black lives,
after all, have increasingly mattered to corporate
balance sheets. The removal of memorials to
slave-traders is likely only to deepen the culture wars
if it is not accompanied by an extensive rewriting of
the Anglo-American history and economics curriculum.
Certainly, the new-fangled welfarism of Britain and the
US will remain precarious
without a full reckoning with the slavery, imperialism
and racial capitalism that made some people in Britain
and America uniquely wealthy and powerful, and plunged
the great majority of the world’s population into a
brutal struggle against scarcity and indignity.
In The Fire Next Time,
James Baldwin outlined the necessity of such a moral and
intellectual revolution in the starkest terms, arguing
that ‘in order to survive as a human, moving, moral
weight in the world, America and all the Western nations
will be forced to re-examine themselves,’ to ‘discard
nearly all the assumptions’ used to ‘justify’ their
‘crimes’. The fire Baldwin imagined in 1962 is now
raging across the US, and is
being met with frantic appeals to white survivalism.
‘You must dominate,’ Trump told state governors on 1
June, threatening to unleash ‘vicious dogs’ and ‘ominous
weapons’ on his political enemies. Understandably,
people exalted for so long by the luck of birth, class
and nation will find it difficult, even impossible, to
discard their assumptions about themselves and the
world. But success in this harsh self-education is
imperative if the prime movers of modern civilisation
are to prevent themselves from sliding helplessly into
the abyss of history.
Pankaj Mishra is an Indian
essayist and novelist. He is a recipient of the 2014
Windham–Campbell Prize for non-fiction. -
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