12,000 people per day
could die from Covid-19 linked hunger
By Oxfam
July 09, 2020 "Information
Clearing House" - As many as
12,000 people could die per day by the
end of the year as a result of hunger
linked to COVID-19, potentially more
than could die from the disease, warned
Oxfam in a new briefing published today.
The global observed daily mortality rate
for COVID-19 reached its highest
recorded point in April 2020 at just
over 10,000 deaths per day.
‘The
Hunger Virus,’ reveals how
121 million more people could be pushed
to the brink of starvation this year
as a result of the social and economic
fallout from the pandemic including
through mass unemployment, disruption to
food production and supplies, and
declining aid.
Oxfam’s Interim Executive Director Chema
Vera said:
“COVID-19 is the last straw for millions
of people already struggling with the
impacts of conflict, climate change,
inequality and a broken food system that
has impoverished millions of food
producers and workers. Meanwhile, those
at the top are continuing to make a
profit: eight of the biggest
food and drink companies paid out over
$18 billion to shareholders since
January even as the pandemic
was spreading across the globe ―ten
times more than the UN says is needed to
stop people going hungry.”
The briefing reveals the world’s
ten worst hunger hotspots,
places such as Venezuela and South Sudan
where the food crisis is most severe and
getting worse as a result of the
pandemic. It also highlights emerging
epicentres of hunger ―middle income
countries such as India, South Africa,
and Brazil― where millions of people who
were barely managing have been tipped
over the edge by the pandemic. For
example:
- Brazil:
Millions of poor workers, with
little in the way of savings or
benefits to fall back on, lost their
incomes as a result of lockdown.
Only 10 percent of the financial
support promised by the federal
government had been distributed by
late June with big business favored
over workers and smaller more
vulnerable companies.
- India: Travel
restrictions left farmers without
vital migrant labour at the peak of
the harvest season, forcing many to
leave their crops in the field to
rot. Traders have also been unable
to reach tribal communities during
the peak harvest season for forest
products, depriving up to 100
million people of their main source
of income for the year.
- Yemen:
Remittances dropped by 80 percent
―or $253 million― in the first four
months of 2020 as a result of mass
job losses across the Gulf. Borders
and supply route closures have led
to food shortages and food price
spikes in the country which imports
90 percent of its food.
- Sahel:
Restrictions on movement have
prevented herders from driving their
livestock to greener pastures for
feeding, threatening the livelihoods
of millions of people. Just 26
percent of the $2.8bn needed to
respond to COVID-19 in the region
has been pledged.
Kadidia Diallo, a female milk
producer in Burkina Faso, told
Oxfam: “COVID-19 is causing us a lot of
harm. Giving my children something to
eat in the morning has become difficult.
We are totally dependent on the sale of
milk, and with the closure of the market
we can’t sell the milk anymore. If we
don’t sell milk, we don't eat.”
Women, and women-headed households, are
more likely to go hungry despite the
crucial role they play as food producers
and workers. Women are already
vulnerable because of systemic
discrimination that sees them earn less
and own fewer assets than men. They make
up a large proportion of groups, such as
informal workers, that have been hit
hard by the economic fallout of the
pandemic, and have also borne the brunt
of a dramatic increase in unpaid care
work as a result of school closures and
family illness.
“Governments must contain the spread of
this deadly disease but it is equally
vital they take action to stop the
pandemic killing as many ―if not more―
people from hunger,” said Vera.
“Governments can save lives now by fully
funding the UN’s COVID-19 appeal, making
sure aid gets to those who need it most,
and cancelling the debts of developing
countries to free up funding for social
protection and healthcare. To end this
hunger crisis, governments must also
build fairer, more robust, and more
sustainable food systems, that put the
interests of food producers and workers
before the profits of big food and
agribusiness,” added Vera.
Since the pandemic began, Oxfam has
reached 4.5 million of the world’s most
vulnerable people with food aid and
clean water, working together with over
344 partners across 62 countries. We aim
to reach a total of 14 million people by
raising a further $113m to support our
programmes.
Stories, pictures, and video highlighting the
impact of Covid-19 pandemic on hunger across the
globe are available on request.
The WFP estimates that the number of people in
crisis level hunger ―defined as IPC level 3 or
above― will increase by approximately 121
million this year as a result of the
socio-economic impacts of the pandemic. The
estimated daily mortality rate for IPC level 3
and above is 0.5−0.99 per 10,000 people,
equating to 6,000−12,000 deaths per day due to
hunger as a result of the pandemic before the
end of 2020. The global observed daily mortality
rate for COVID-19 reached its highest recorded
point in April 2020 at just over 10,000 deaths
per day and has ranged from approximately 5,000
to 7,000 deaths per day in the months since then
according to data from
John
Hopkins University. While there can be no
certainty about future projections, if there is
no significant departure from these observed
trends during the rest of the year, and if the
WFP estimates for increasing numbers of people
experiencing crisis level hunger hold, then it
is likely that daily deaths from hunger as a
result of the socio-economic impacts of the
pandemic will be higher than those from the
disease before the end of 2020. It is important
to note that there is some overlap between these
numbers given that some deaths due to COVID-19
could be linked to malnutrition. Oxfam
gathered information on dividend payments of
eight of the world’s biggest food and beverage
companies up to the beginning of July 2020,
using a mixture of company, NASDAQ, and
Bloomberg websites. Numbers are rounded to the
nearest million: Coca-Cola ($3,522m), Danone
($1,348m), General Mills ($594m), Kellogg
($391m), Mondelez ($408m), Nestlé ($8,248m for
entire year), PepsiCo ($2,749m) and Unilever
(estimated $1,180m). Many of these companies are
pursuing efforts to address COVID-19 and/or
global hunger.
The ten
extreme hunger hotspots are: Yemen,
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Afghanistan,
Venezuela, the West African Sahel, Ethiopia,
Sudan, South Sudan, Syria, and Haiti.
Contact information
Nesrine Aly in Egypt | nesrine.aly@oxfam.org
| +254780662062 or +447503989838
Anna Ratcliff in the UK | anna.ratcliff@oxfam.org
| +44 7796 993288
Annie Thériault in Canada | annie.theriault@oxfam.org | +51
936 307 990 For updates, please follow
@Oxfam -
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solely those of the author and do not necessarily
reflect the opinions of Information Clearing House.
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