Pompeo's UN Move Against Iran Will Fail. Why Is
He Still Pressing It?
By Moon Of Alabama
June 25, 2020 "Information
Clearing House" - U.S. Secretary of
State Mike Pompeo is pushing at the United Nations to
prolong the arms embargo against Iran. Under the Joint
Comprehensive Plan of Action, which solved the issue of
Iran's civil nuclear program, the current arms embargo
will be lifted in October.
The U.S., which has left the JCPoA agreement, is
using
nonsensical arguments to force a renewed embargo.
Other UN Security Council veto veto members will
obviously reject the move. Pompeo's actions do not have
the purpose to achieve something. They are campaign
material targeted at a domestic audience.
Part of Pompeo's campaign is a push of 'scary Iran'
propaganda.
Here is one example:
Secretary Pompeo @SecPompeo -
16:59 UTC · Jun 23, 2020
If the @UN Arms Embargo on Iran expires in
October, Iran will be able to buy new fighter
aircraft like Russia’s SU-30 and China’s J-10. With
these highly lethal aircraft, Europe and Asia could
be in Iran’s crosshairs. The U.S. will never let
this happen.
The tweet came with an attached map that shows the
maximum distance the planes Iran might buy can fly at
cruise altitude until they run out of gas.
bigger
Pompeo is suggesting that Iran will spend tens of
millions on planes, fly them unopposed through the radar
coverage of several countries, to let Iranian Kamikaze
pilots crash them into some temple in Nepal.
This does not make any sense. No foreign politician
will be impressed by this 'argument'. Pompeo's tweet is
for consumption at home.
At the UN the U.S. is trying to
get a new arms embargo resolution against Iran:
The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump
introduced a long-awaited U.N. Security Council (UNSC)
draft resolution extending an arms embargo on Iran
that is due to expire in October, setting the stage
for a great-power clash and likely veto in the
U.N.’s principal security body, according to a copy
of the draft obtained by Foreign Policy.
...
If passed, the resolution would fall under Chapter
VII of the U.N. charter, making it legally binding
and enforceable. But the U.S. measure, according to
several U.N. Security Council diplomats,
stands little chance of being adopted by the
15-nation council.
...
Some council diplomats and other nonproliferation
experts see the U.S. move as a way to score
political points at home, not to do
anything about Iran’s destabilizing activities in
the region.
“The skeptic in me says that the objective of
this exercise is to go through the arms embargo
resolution, and when it fails, to use that as an
excuse to get a snapback of the embargo, and if and
when that fails too, to use as a political
talking point in the election campaign,”
said Mark Fitzpatrick, a former State Department
nonproliferation official now at the International
Institute for Strategic Studies. Since China and
Russia are almost certain to ignore any U.N. arms
embargo forced by U.S. maneuvers, the practical
impact on Iran’s ability to cause mischief will be
minimal, he said.
“It’s not actually about stopping any arms from
China and Russia, it’s about winning a
political argument,” he said.
We explained that the U.S.
does not have a 'snapback' option. Russia and China
have also
clarified that:
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and the
Chinese government’s top diplomat, Wang Yi, both
wrote to the 15-member council and U.N. chief
Antonio Guterres as the United States threatens to
spark a so-called sanctions snapback under the Iran
nuclear deal, even though Washington quit the accord
in 2018.
Lavrov wrote in the May 27 letter, made public
this week, that the United States was being
“ridiculous and irresponsible.”
“This is absolutely unacceptable and serves only
to recall the famous English proverb about having
one’s cake and eating it,” Lavrov wrote.
Washington has threatened to trigger a return of
U.N. sanctions on Iran if the Security Council does
not extend an arms embargo due to expire in October
under Tehran’s deal with world powers to prevent it
from developing nuclear weapons.
...
Lavrov cited a 1971 International Court of Justice
opinion, which found that a fundamental principle
governing international relationships was that
“a party which disowns or does not fulfill its own
obligations cannot be recognized as retaining the
rights which it claims to derive from the
relationship.”
Despite the evident failure to convince others the
U.S. continues make
stupid arguments:
Russia and China will be isolated at the United
Nations if they continue down the “road to dystopia”
by blocking a U.S. bid to extend a weapons ban on
Iran, U.S. Iran envoy Brian Hook told Reuters ahead
of his formal pitch of the embargo to the U.N.
Security Council on Wednesday.
...
“We see a widening gap between Russia and China and
the international community,” Hook said in an
interview with Reuters on Tuesday evening.
The U.S. has left the JCPoA deal and can not claim a
right under that deal to snap back the sanctions that
the deal has lifted. It is the U.S. that is isolated.
Even its allies
do not support the attempt:
“We firmly believe that any unilateral attempt to
trigger UN sanctions snapback would have serious
adverse consequences in the UNSC,” the foreign
ministers of Britain, France, and Germany said in a
statement on June 19. “We would not support such a
decision which would be incompatible with our
current efforts to preserve the JCPoA.”
The Trump policy against Iran has failed. He has
tried a 'maximum pressure' campaign to blackmail Iran
into more concessions. But despite sanctions and
economic problems caused by them Iran is not willing to
talk with him. Its conditions for talks
are clear:
“We have no problem with talks with the U.S., but
only if Washington fulfils its obligations under the
nuclear deal, apologies and compensates Tehran for
its withdrawal from the 2015 deal,” Rouhani said in
a televised speech.
The U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East, including
the new sanctions against Syria under the 'Ceasar's
Law', have been helping Iran to
strengthen its position:
Iran is reaping huge benefits, including more robust
allies and resistant strongholds as a result of the
US’s flawed Middle Eastern policies. Motivated by
the threat of the implementation of “Caesar’ Law”,
Iran has prepared a series of steps to sell its oil
and finance its allies, bypassing depletion of its
foreign currency reserves.
Iranian companies found in Syria a paradise for
strategic investment and offered the needed
alternative to a Syrian economy crippled by
sanctions and nine years of war. Iran considers
Syria a fertile ground to expand its commerce and
business like never before.
With Iran's influence growing and Russia
making inroads even with once staunch U.S. allies
like Saudi Arabia it seems that real U.S. influence in
the Middle East is on a decisive downturn.
Whatever Pompous Pompeo says or tweets will not
change that. But there's a sucker born every minute.
Some of those may still fall for the stuff he says.
---
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