Was the Fed
Just Nationalized?
By Ellen Brown
April 06, 2020 "Information
Clearing House"
- Did Congress just nationalize the Fed? No. But the
door to that result has been cracked open.
Mainstream politicians have long insisted that Medicare
for all, a universal basic income, student debt relief
and a slew of other much-needed public programs are off
the table because the federal government cannot afford
them. But that was before Wall Street and the stock
market were driven onto life-support by a virus.
Congress has now suddenly discovered the magic money
tree. It took only a few days for Congress to
unanimously pass the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and
Economic Security (CARES) Act, which
will be doling out $2.2 trillion in crisis
relief, most of it going to Corporate America with few
strings attached. Beyond that, the Federal Reserve is
making over $4 trillion available to banks,
hedge funds and other financial entities of all stripes;
it has dropped the fed funds rate (the rate at which
banks borrow from each other) effectively to zero; and
it has made
$1.5 trillion available
to the repo market.
It is
also the Federal Reserve that will be picking up the tab
for this bonanza, at least to start. The US central bank
has opened the sluice gates to unlimited quantitative
easing, buying Treasury securities and mortgage-backed
securities “in the amounts needed to support smooth
market functions.” Last month, the Fed bought $650
billion worth of federal securities. At that rate, notes
Wall Street on Parade, it will
own the entire Treasury market
in about 22 months. As Minneapolis Fed President Neel
Kashkari acknowledged on 60 Minutes, “There
is an infinite amount of cash at the Federal Reserve.”
In
theory, quantitative easing is just a temporary measure,
reversible by selling bonds back into the market when
the economy gets back on its feet. But in practice, we
have seen that QE is a one-way street. When central
banks have
tried to reverse it
with “quantitative tightening,” economies have shrunk
and stock markets have plunged. So the Fed is likely to
just keep rolling over the bonds, which is what normally
happens anyway with the federal debt. The debt is never
actually paid off but is just rolled over from year to
year. Only the interest must be paid, to the tune of
$575 billion in 2019.
The benefit of having the Fed rather than private
bondholders hold the bonds is that
the Fed rebates its profits
to the Treasury after deducting its costs, making the
loans virtually interest-free. Interest-free loans
rolled over indefinitely are in effect free money. The
Fed is “monetizing” the debt.
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What
will individuals, families, communities and
state and local governments be getting out of
this massive bailout? Not much. Qualifying
individuals will get a very modest one-time
payment of $1,200, and unemployment benefits
have been extended for the next four months. For
local governments, $150 billion has been
allocated for crisis relief, and one of the
Fed’s newly expanded Special Purpose Vehicles
will buy municipal bonds. But there is no
provision for reducing the interest rate on the
bonds, which typically runs at 3 or 4 percent
plus hefty bond dealer fees and foregone taxes
on tax-free issues. Unlike the federal
government, municipal governments will not be
getting a rebate on the interest on their bonds.
The
taxpayers have obviously been shortchanged in this deal.
David Dayen calls it “a
robbery in progress.”
But there have been some promising developments that
could be harnessed for the benefit of the people. The
Fed has evidently abandoned its vaunted “independence”
and is now working in partnership with the Treasury. In
some sense, it has been nationalized. A true
partnership, however, would make the printing press
available for more than just buying toxic corporate
assets. A central bank that was run as a public utility
could fund programs designed to kickstart the economy,
stimulate productivity and generally serve the public.
Harnessing the
Central Bank
The
reason the Fed is now working with the Treasury is that
it needs the Treasury to help it bail out a financial
industry burdened with an avalanche of dodgy assets that
are fast losing value. The problem for the Fed is that
it is only allowed to purchase or lend against
securities with government guarantees, including
Treasury securities, agency mortgage-backed securities,
debt issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and
(arguably) municipal securities. To get around that
wrinkle, as
Wolf Richter explains:
[T]he
Treasury will create (or resuscitate) a series of special-purpose
vehicles (SPVs) to
buy all manner of financial assets, backed by $425
billion in collateral conveniently supplied by the
US taxpayer via the Exchange Stabilization Fund. The
Fed will lend to SPVs against this collateral which,
when leveraged, could fund $4-5 trillion in
asset purchases.
That
includes municipal bonds, non-agency mortgages,
corporate bonds, commercial paper, and every variety
of asset-backed security. The only things the
government can’t (transparently, yet) buy are
publicly-traded stocks and high-yield bonds.
Unlike in
QE, in which the Fed moves assets onto its own balance
sheet, the Treasury will now be buying assets and
backstopping loans through SPVs that the Treasury will
own and control. SPVs are
a form of shadow bank, which like all banks create money
by “monetizing” debt or turning it into something that
can be spent in the marketplace. The SPV decides what
assets to buy and borrows from the central bank to do
it. The central bank then passively creates the funds,
which are used to purchase the assets backing the loan.
As
Jim Bianco wrote on Bloomberg:
In other
words, the federal government is nationalizing large
swaths of the financial markets. The Fed is
providing the money to do it. BlackRock will be
doing the trades. This scheme essentially merges the
Fed and Treasury into one organization. …
In effect,
the Fed is giving the Treasury access to
its printing press. This means that, in the
extreme, the administration would be free to use
its control, not the Fed’s control, of these SPVs to
instruct the Fed to print more money so it could buy
securities and hand out loans in an effort to ramp
financial markets higher going into the election.
Of the
designated SPVs, none currently serves a public purpose
beyond buoying the markets; but they could be designed
for such purposes. The taxpayers are on the hook for
replenishing the $425 billion in the Exchange
Stabilization Fund, and they should be entitled to share
in the benefits. Congress could designate a Special
Purpose Vehicle to fund its infrastructure projects, and
to fund those much-needed public services including
Medicare for all, a universal basic income, student debt
relief, and similar programs. It could also purchase a
controlling interest in insolvent or profligate banks,
pharmaceutical companies, oil companies and other
offenders and regulate them in a way that serves the
public interest.
Another
possibility would be for Congress to fund these programs
in the usual way by issuing government bonds, but to
enter into a partnership agreement first by which the
central bank would buy the bonds, roll them over
indefinitely, and rebate the interest to the Treasury.
That is how Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has
funded his stimulus programs, with none of the predicted
inflationary effects on consumer prices. In fact the
Japanese consumer price index
is hovering at a very low 0.4%, well below even the
central bank’s 2 percent target, although the
Bank of Japan has monetized
nearly half of the government’s debt. Half of the US
debt would be over $11 trillion. Assuming $6 trillion
for the current corporate bailouts, that means another
$5 trillion could safely be monetized for programs
benefiting individuals, families and local governments.
(How to do this without driving up consumer prices will
be the subject of another article.)
Relief for State
and Local Governments
State and local
governments, which are on the front lines for delivering
emergency services, have for the most part been left out
of the bailout bonanza. While we are waiting for action
from Congress, the Fed could make cheap loans available
to local governments using its existing powers under
Federal Reserve Act Sec. 14(2)(b), which authorizes the
Fed to purchase the bills, bonds, and notes of state and
local governments having maturities of six months or
less. Since local governments must balance their
budgets, these loans would have to be repaid, but the
loans could be extended by rolling them over for a
reasonable period, as is done with repo loans and the
federal debt; and the loans could be made at the same
near-zero interest rate banks can borrow at now. State
and local governments are at least as creditworthy as
banks – they have a taxpayer base and massive assets. In
fact the private banking industry would have been
insolvent long ago if it were not for the deep pocket of
the central bank and the bailouts of the federal
government, including the FDIC insurance scheme that
rescued the banks from bankruptcy in the Great
Depression.
There is a way
state and local governments can take advantage of the
near-zero interest rates available to banks even without
federal action. They can set up their own publicly-owned
banks. Besides giving them the ability to borrow much
more cheaply, having their own banks would allow them to
leverage their loan funds. A $100 million revolving fund
issuing loans at 3% would gross the state $3 million per
year. If that same $100 million were used to capitalize
a bank, it could issue ten times that sum in loans,
grossing $30 million per year. Costs would need to be
deducted from those earnings, including the cost of
funds; but the cost of funds is quite low for banks
today. They can borrow to meet their liquidity needs
from their own deposit pool, or at 0.25% in the fed
funds market, or at about the same rate in the repo
market, which is now backstopped by the central bank.
The
blatant disparities in the congressional response to the
current crisis have shone a bright light on how our
financial system is rigged against the people in favor
of a wealthy elite. Crisis is when change happens; this
is the time for advocates to unite in demanding change
on behalf of the people. As Greek economist
Yanis Varoufakis admonished
in a recent post:
[T]his new
phase of the crisis is, at the very least, making it
clear to us that anything goes – that everything is
now possible.… Whether the epidemic helps deliver
the good or the most evil society will depend … on
whether progressives manage to band together. For if
we do not, just like in 2008 we did not, the
bankers, the spivs [petty criminals], the oligarchs
and the neofascists will prove, again, that they are
the ones who know how not to let a good crisis go to
waste.
Ellen
Brown chairs the Public
Banking Institute and
has written thirteen books,including her latest, Banking
on the People: Democratizing Money in the Digital Age. She
also co-hosts a radio program on PRN.FM called “It’s
Our Money.”
Her 300+ blog articles are posted at www.EllenBrown.com
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