"Only now is the White House coming out of denial
and heading straight into saying it could not have
been foreseen."
By Jake JohnsonMarch 17, 2020 "Information
Clearing House" - An alarming scientific report compiled by British
researchers and shared with the Trump White House
warns that, in the absence of drastic and
coordinated government action, the novel coronavirus
could
kill as many as 2.2 million people in the United
States alone.
The new
research (pdf), led by epidemiologist Dr. Neil
Ferguson and published Monday by the Imperial
College of London, shows that merely acting to slow
rather than completely stop the spread of COVID-19
would "still likely result in hundreds of thousands
of deaths and health systems (most notably intensive
care units) being overwhelmed many times over."
"For countries able to achieve it, this leaves
suppression as the preferred policy option," the
researchers wrote. "In the U.K. and U.S. context,
suppression will minimally require a combination of
social distancing of the entire population, home
isolation of cases, and household quarantine of
their family members. This may need to be
supplemented by school and university closures."
Successful suppression of the virus could take a
significant amount of time, the researchers
noted—"potentially 18 months or more."
The New York Times
reported late Monday that the researchers'
"terrifying" projection of as many as 2.2 million
possible deaths in the U.S. was shared with the
White House's coronavirus task force last week, when
President Donald Trump was still downplaying the
threat posed by the COVID-19 outbreak