By The Saker
January 14, 2020 "Information
Clearing House" - When
you go to vet school, they teach you a
simple principle: if you are under a
bridge and you hear hooves, think of horses
first, but don’t forget there are also
zebras out there.
This is exactly what comes to my mind
when I hear all the speculation about the
shooting down of the Ukrainian airliner by a
IRGC SAM.
Let’s begin with a few
horses:
Seems to me that the most logical
assumption and assume human error,
especially since the Iranian have already
admitted full responsibility. Furthermore,
there is no imaginable reason for the
Iranian to have shot down this aircraft
deliberately (did you know that most of the
passengers were either Iranian nationals or
of Iranian descent?).
Next, for the life of me I don’t see how
Iran can be accused of trying to hide the
truth when then admitted full responsibility
even long before the investigation was
concluded. Not only that, but HAD they
wanted to hide the truth, it would have been
extremely simple, really: they were in FULL
control of a war zone. They could have
ejected all civilians and claimed that the
US had bombed the location to conceal its
role, or something equally insipid.
Instead, they first said “show us your
evidence” and then they declared “we will
show you OUR evidence which shows OUR
guilt”. Compare that with what the US does
when it shoots down and airliner (either
when they admit it, like the Iran Air 665,
or when they cover it up, like TWA 800 or
Itavia Flight 870 or, even more crucially,
all the CIVILIAN Soviet airliners shot down
over Afghanistan by CIA run insurgents!).
