January 12, 2020 "Information
Clearing House" - The U.S. assassination
of General Qassem Soleimani has not yet plunged us
into a full-scale war with Iran thanks to the
Iranian government’s measured response, which
demonstrated its capabilities without actually
harming U.S. troops or escalating the conflict. But
the danger of a full-blown war still exists, and
Donald Trump’s actions are already wreaking havoc.
The tragic attack on the Ukrainian passenger jet,
which left 176 innocent people dead, is the first
example of this. Iranian anti-aircraft defenses, on
high alert and jittery after Trump’s irresponsible
threats of devastating retaliation against 52 sites
in Iran, mistook the civilian airliner for an
attacking U.S. cruise missile and shot it out of the
sky.
As we wait for the next unintended consequences
of Trump’s reckless actions in Iraq, here are ten
important ways they have left the American people,
the region and the world in greater danger.
1. The first result of Trump’s blunders may be
an increase in U.S. war deaths
across the greater Middle East. While this was
avoided in Iran’s initial retaliation, Iraqi
militias and Hezbollah in Lebanon have already
vowed to seek revenge for the deaths of
Soleimani and the Iraqi militia. US military bases,
warships and
nearly 80,000 U.S. troops in the region are
sitting ducks for retaliation by Iran, its allies
and any other group that is angered by U.S. actions
or simply decides to exploit this U.S.-manufactured
crisis.
The first U.S. war deaths after the U.S.
airstrikes and assassinations in Iraq were
three Americans killed by Al-Shabab in Kenya on
January 5th.
Further escalation by the U.S. in response to
Iranian and other attacks on Americans will only
exacerbate this cycle of violence.
2. U.S. acts of war in Iraq have injected even
more volatility and instability into an
already war-torn and explosive region. The
U.S. close ally, Saudi Arabia, is seeing its efforts
to solve its conflicts with Qatar and Kuwait thrown
into jeopardy, and it will now be harder to find a
diplomatic solution to the catastrophic war in
Yemen–where the Saudis and Iranians are on different
sides of the conflict.
Soleimani’s murder is also likely to sabotage the
peace process with the Taliban in Afghanistan.
Shiite Iran has historically opposed the Sunni
Taliban, and Soleimani even worked with the United
States in the aftermath of the U.S. overthrow of the
Taliban in 2001. Now the terrain has shifted. Just
as the United States has been engaging in peace
talks with the Taliban,
so has Iran. The Iranians are now more apt to
ally with the Taliban against the United States. The
complicated situation in Afghanistan is likely to
draw in Pakistan, another important player in the
region with a large Shiite population. Both the
Afghan and Pakistani governments have already
expressed their fears that the US-Iran conflict
could unleash uncontrollable violence on their soil.