The Collapse of Civilization May Have
Already Begun
Scientists disagree on the timeline of
collapse and whether it's imminent. But can
we afford to be wrong? And what comes after?
By Nafeez AhmedDecember 24, 2019 "Information
Clearing House" - “It is now too late to
stop a future collapse of our societies
because of climate change.”
These are not the words of a tinfoil
hat-donning survivalist. This is from a
paper delivered by a senior
sustainability academic at a leading
business school to the European Commission
in Brussels, earlier this year. Before that,
he delivered a similar message to a
UN conference: “Climate change is now a
planetary emergency posing an existential
threat to humanity.”
In the age of climate chaos, the collapse
of civilization has moved from being a
fringe, taboo issue to a more mainstream
concern.
As the world reels under each new
outbreak of crisis—record heatwaves across
the Western hemisphere, devastating fires
across the Amazon rainforest, the
slow-moving Hurricane Dorian, severe ice
melting at the poles—the question of how bad
things might get, and how soon, has become
increasingly urgent.
The fear of collapse is evident in the
framing of movements such as ‘Extinction
Rebellion’ and in resounding warnings that
business-as-usual means heading toward an
uninhabitable planet.
But a growing number of experts not only
point at the looming possibility that human
civilization itself is at risk; some believe
that the science shows it is already too
late to prevent collapse. The outcome of the
debate on this is obviously critical: it
throws light on whether and how societies
should adjust to this uncertain landscape.
Yet this is not just a scientific debate.
It also raises difficult moral questions
about what kind of action is warranted to
prepare for, or attempt to avoid, the worst.
Scientists may disagree about the timeline
of collapse, but many argue that this is
entirely beside the point. While scientists
and politicians quibble over timelines and
half measures, or how bad it'll all
be, we are losing precious time. With the
stakes being total collapse, some scientists
are increasingly arguing that we should
fundamentally change the structure of
society just to be safe.
Jem Bendell, a former consultant to the
United Nations and longtime Professor of
Sustainability Leadership at the University
of Cumbria’s Department of Business,
delivered
a paper in May 2019 explaining how
people and communities might “adapt to
climate-induced disruption.”