October 30, 2019 "Information
Clearing House" -
The
long nightmare in Syria might finally be coming to
an end, but not thanks to the United States and the
administration of President Donald Trump.
Trump’s boast that “this was an outcome created
by us, the United States, and nobody else” was as
empty as all the other rhetoric coming out of the
White House over the past two and a half years.
Nevertheless, it now appears that the U.S. military
just might finally be bidding farewell to an
exercise that began under President Barack Obama as
a prime bit of liberal interventionism, with
American forces illegally entering into a conflict
that the White House barely understood and
subsequently meddling and prolonging the fighting.
The fundamental reason why
the U.S. was so ineffective was that the Obama
Administration’s principal objective from the
beginning was to remove Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad, yet another attempt at “humanitarian”
regime change similar to that which produced such a
wonderful result in Libya. Al-Assad was never in
serious danger as he had significant popular
support, including from the country’s Christian
minority, and American piecemeal attempts to
negotiate some kind of exit strategy were doomed as
they eschewed any dealing with the legitimate
government that was in place. The Syrian civil war
supported and even enabled by Washington caused more
than 500,000 deaths, created some 9 million internal
and external refugees, and destroyed the Syrian
economy and infrastructure while also almost
starting a war between the U.S. and Turkey.
The Russians understood the
American mistake and consequently were able to
arrange a settlement which now appears to be viable.
They were able to deal with the Syrian government,
Turkey, and the Kurds who had been set adrift by
Washington. The arrangement arrived at has a number
of significant features. First, it guarantees
Syria’s territory integrity, which presumably means
the U.S. will eventually have to evacuate its
remaining positions in the oil region. Second, it
satisfies Turkish legitimate security demands for a
disarmed safe zone, which means that Kurdish
militias will have to disarm and/or move twenty
miles away from the border. The safe zone will be
patrolled by the Syrian Army and the Russians with
Turkish observers. Third, all separatist groups
(terrorists) will be hunted down and eliminated and
further attempts by them to reestablish in Syria
will be opposed by all parties to the agreement.
Fourth, steps will be taken to make possible the
orderly return of refugees to Syria.
It is undeniably true that
throughout the Syrian farrago, President Trump’s
admittedly inherited policy could not possibly have
been more incoherent, occasionally bizarre,
predictably inconsistent, and actually dangerous to
genuine American interests in the region. It is to
everyone’s benefit that the game is finally over,
but one can expect the neoconservatives in the
United States to do their best to bring about yet
another reversal by Trump.
It must be conceded that
along the way, President Trump was not exactly
acting with a free hand. He has been beleaguered by
a Deep State conspiracy against him that began even
before he was nominated, though he didn’t have to
help his enemies by shooting himself in the head at
every opportunity through tweets and demeaning
language. The apparent commitment to withdraw all
U.S. forces from Syria was long overdue as
Washington’s involvement in the fighting was wrong
by every measure right from the beginning and
remaining has only served to make more complicated
the country’s recovery from eight years of conflict.
It also was contrary to its publicly stated
objective of destroying ISIS. A strong Syrian
government was and is best placed to do just that
and Washington, in a panic to recruit, train and arm
mercenaries to fight Damascus often wound up arming
terrorists.
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But doing what is
right does not go far in today’s United
States of America and the fact that
Trump is now taking credit for a
ceasefire and by extension a settlement
of the conflict means little as he has
predictably folded already once on plans
to withdraw. The argument that the Kurds
have been betrayed has a certain
cogency, but the reality is that the
Kurdish leaders entered into a
relationship with the U.S. military
based on their own interests with no
expectation that Washington would be
backing them up forever. They are now
well placed to cut their own deals with
both Damascus and Ankara, with Russia in
the middle working to sustain the
agreement to end the fighting and
restore the Syrian state’s status ante
bellum.
To give Trump his due, his
original announcement that he was removing ALL U.S.
troops from Syria made powerful new enemies in the
Israel Lobby, which has been backing the president
because of his many favors to Tel Aviv but which has
never really liked or trusted him. Israel has long,
and even openly, promoted the breaking up of Syria
into its component tribal and religious parts to
enable the acquisition of even more land in the
Golan Heights and to reduce dramatically the threat
coming from any unified government in Damascus. It
has also seen the Syrian civil war as a proxy
conflict fought by the its poodle the United States
against Iran. Israel and its friends in Congress and
the media will, to say the least, be disappointed if
the war is now truly ended and the U.S. military is
withdrawn.
Trump also must continue to
deal with the fallout from his Democratic Party
opponents, having given them a cudgel to beat him
over the head with as Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer
and Adam Schiff all wax emotional over how they
really love those “freedom fighting” Kurds. The
Democrats, having denounced Trump with one voice,
were joined by Republicans like Mitch McConnell,
Marco Rubio, Mitt Romney and the ever-versatile
Lindsay Graham, all dedicated to the continuation of
an interventionist foreign policy, though they would
never quite call it that. It is not likely that any
of them are really pleased with a deal to end the
Syrian fighting.
So the opposition, coming
from multiple directions against a Donald Trump also
on the impeachment block for Ukraine, will continue
and as of this writing it is by no means clear what
will happen vis-à-vis the Pentagon announcing that
some troops, augmented by armor units, would remain
in Syria to
protect the oil fields. Defense Secretary Mark
T. Esper
explained to reporters that the remaining U.S.
troops would seek “to deny access, specifically
revenue to ISIS and any other groups that may want
to seek that revenue to enable their own malign
activities.” The president
has also suggested, in true Trumpean fashion,
that “We want to keep the oil, and we’ll work
something out with the Kurds. … Maybe we’ll have one
of our big oil companies to go in and do it
properly,” a step that even the feckless Obama
Administration had hesitated to take on legal
grounds as the oil unquestionably belongs to Syria.
Trump’s amigo Senator Lindsey Graham
elaborated on the plan, saying bluntly that “We
can use some of the revenues from future Syrian oil
sales to pay our military commitment in Syria.”
And there will be additional
fallout from Syria in the damaged relationships in
the region. Demonstrating that it could actually
screw up two things simultaneously, the White House
had unleashed Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who
warned last Tuesday that the United States was ready
to go to war against Turkey if it proved necessary.
He said “We prefer peace to war… But in the
event that kinetic action or military action is
needed, you should know that President Trump is
fully prepared to undertake that action.” Pompeo’s
comment comes on top of Trump warnings that he would
“obliterate” or “destroy” the Turkish economy,
statements that did not sit well in Ankara and will
predictably only create new problems with a NATO
member that has the largest army and economy in the
Middle East.
And in another maladroit
move, the White House has just announced that it
will be giving $4.5 million to the so-called White
Helmets, the major propaganda arm of the Syrian
“resistance.” Falsely claiming to be a humanitarian
rescue and relief organization, the White Helmets
produced carefully edited films of “heroism under
fire” that have been released worldwide. The films
conceal the White Helmets’ relationship with the
al-Qaeda affiliated group Jabhat al-Nusra and its
participation in the torture and execution of
“rebel” opponents. Indeed, the White Helmets only
operated in rebel held territory, which enabled them
to shape the narrative both regarding who they were
and what was occurring on the ground.
The White Helmets travelled
to bombing sites with their film crews trailing
behind them. Once at the sites, with no independent
observers, they are able to arrange or even stage
what was filmed to conform to their selected
narrative. Perhaps the most serious charge against
the White Helmets consists of the evidence that they
actively participated in the atrocities, to
include torture and murder, carried out by their al-Nusra
hosts. There have been
numerous photos of the White Helmets operating
directly with armed terrorists and also celebrating
over the bodies of execution victims and murdered
Iraqi soldiers. The group’s jihadi associates regard
the White Helmets as fellow “mujahideen” and
“soldiers of the revolution.”
Some White Helmets continue
to operate in Syria’s terrorist-controlled Idlib
province, raising the question whether the United
States is prepared to give more taxpayer derived
money directly to terrorists. Several months ago, as
the Syrian Army closed in on some of the other
pockets where the White Helmets operated, the U.S.
and Israel mounted an operation to evacuate many of
them. Some of them and their families were moved to
Israel and Jordan and many of them have wound up in
Canada. If the White House again does a flip-flop
and pulls the plug on the money earmarked for them
it would truly be a welcome sign that the U.S. has
realized that the game is over and its direct
involvement in Syria should be ended.
Philip Giraldi is a former counter-terrorism
specialist and military intelligence officer of the
United States Central Intelligence Agency.
This article was originally published by "Unz
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