The US
Economy Is Failing
By Paul Craig
Roberts
September
29, 2017 "Information
Clearing House"
- Do the Wall Street Journal’s editorial page
editors read their own newspaper?
The
frontpage headline story for the Labor Day weekend
was “Low Wage Growth Challenges Fed.” Despite an
alleged 4.4% unemployment rate, which is full
employment, there is no real growth in wages. The
front page story pointed out correctly that an
economy alleged to be expanding at full employment,
but absent any wage growth or inflation, is “a
puzzle that complicates Federal Reserve policy
decisions.”
On the
editorial page itself, under “letters to the
editor,” Professor Tony Lima of California State
University points out what I have stressed for
years: “The labor-force participation rate remains
at historic lows. Much of the decrease is in the
18-34 age group, while participation rates have
increased for those 55 and older.” Professor Lima
points out that more evidence that the American
worker is not in good shape comes from the rising
number of Americans who can only find part-time
work, which leaves them with truncated incomes and
no fringe benefits, such as healh care.
Positioned
right next to this factual letter is the lead
editorial written by someone who read neither the
front page story or the professor’s letter. The lead
editorial declares: “The biggest labor story this
Labor Day is the trouble that employers are having
finding workers across the country.” The Journal’s
editorial page editors believe the solution to the
alleged labor shortage is Senator Ron Johnson’s
(R.Wis.) bill to permit the states to give 500,000
work visas to foreigners.
In my day
as a Wall Street Journal editor and columnist,
questions would have been asked that would have
nixed the editorial. For example, how is there a
labor shortage when there is no upward pressure on
wages? In tight labor markets wages are bid up as
employers compete for workers. For example, how is
the labor market tight when the labor force
participation rate is at historical lows. When jobs
are available, the participation rate rises as
people enter the work force to take the jobs.
I have
reported on a number of occasions that according to
Federal Reserve studies, more Americans in the 24-34
age group live at home with parents than
independently, and that it is those 55 and older who
are taking the part time jobs. Why is this? The
answer is that part time jobs do not pay enough to
support an independent existence, and the Federal
Reserve’s decade long zero interest rate policy
forces retirees to enter the work force as their
retirement savings produce no income. It is not only
the manufacturing jobs of the middle class blue
collar workers that have been given to foreigners in
order to cut labor costs and thus maximize payouts
to executives and shareholders, but also tradable
professional skill jobs such as software
engineering, design, accounting, and IT—jobs that
Americans expected to get in order to pay off their
student loans.
The Wall
Street Journal editorial asserts that the young are
not in the work force because they are on drugs, or
on disability, or because of their poor education.
However, all over the country there are college
graduates with good educations who cannot find jobs
because the jobs have been offshored. To worsen the
crisis, a Republican Senator from Wisconsin wants to
bring in more foreigners on work permits to drive US
wages down lower so that no American can survive on
the wage, and the Wall Street Journal editorial page
editors endorse this travesty!
The
foreigners on work visas are paid one-third less
than the going US wage. They live together in groups
in cramped quarters. They have no employee rights.
They are exploited in order to raise executive
bonuses and shareholder capital gains. I have
exposed this scheme at length in my book, The
Failure of Laissez Faire Capitalism (Clarity
Press, 2013).
When Trump
said he was going to bring the jobs home, he
resonated, but, of course, he will not be permitted
to bring them home, any more than he has been
permitted to normalize relations with Russia.
In America
Government is not in the hands of its people.
Government is in the hands of a ruling oligarchy.
Oligarchic rule prevails regardless of electoral
outcomes. The American people are entering a world
of slavery more severe than anything that previously
existed. Without jobs, dependent on their masters
for trickle-down benefits that are always subject to
being cut, and without voice or representation,
Americans, except for the One Percent, are becoming
the most enslaved people in history.
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Grants -
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Americans
carry on by accumulating debt and becoming debt
slaves. Many can only make the minimum payment on
their credit card and thus accumulate debt. The
Federal Reserve’s policy has exploded the prices of
financial assets. The result is that the bulk of the
population lacks discretionary income, and those
with financial assets are wealthy until values
adjust to reality.
As an
economist I cannot identify in history any economy
whose affairs have been so badly managed and
prospects so severely damaged as the economy of the
United States of America. In the short/intermediate
run policies that damage the prospects for the
American work force benefit what is called the One
Percent as jobs offshoring reduces corporate costs
and financialization transfers remaining
discretionary income in interest and fees to the
financial sector. But as consumer discretionary
incomes disappear and debt burdens rise, aggregate
demand falters, and there is nothing left to drive
the economy.
What we are
witnessing in the United States is the first country
to reverse the development process and to go
backward by giving up industry, manufacturing, and
tradable professional skill jobs. The labor force is
becoming Third World with lowly paid domestic
service jobs taking the place of high-productivity,
high-value added jobs.
The initial
response was to put wives and mothers into the work
force, but now even many two-earner families
experience stagnant or falling material living
standards. New university graduates are faced with
substantial debts without jobs capable of producing
sufficient income to pay off the debts.
Now the US
is on a course of travelling backward at a faster
rate. Robots are to take over more and more jobs,
displacing more people. Robots don’t buy houses,
furniture, appliances, cars, clothes, food,
entertainment, medical services, etc. Unless Robots
pay payroll taxes, the financing for Social Security
and Medicare will collapse. And it goes on down from
there. Consumer spending simply dries up, so who
purcheses the goods and services supplied by robots?
To find
such important considerations absent in public
debate suggests that the United States will continue
on the country’s de-industrialization,
de-manufacturing trajectory.
Dr.
Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the
Treasury for Economic Policy and associate editor of
the Wall Street Journal. He was columnist for
Business Week, Scripps Howard News Service, and
Creators Syndicate. He has had many university
appointments. His internet columns have attracted a
worldwide following. Roberts' latest books are
The Failure of Laissez Faire
Capitalism and Economic Dissolution of the West,
How America Was Lost,
and
The Neoconservative Threat to
World Order.
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