Netanyahu
Is Meeting Trump To Push For War With Iran
Let’s be
clear.
By Trita
Parsi
September
18, 2017 "Information
Clearing House"
-
Today, Israeli
Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu
will meet with
Donald Trump at
the White House and push the U.S. to withdraw
from the nuclear accord with Iran. Netanyahu
will present an argument that Trump already has
come to accept: America’s adherence to the
nuclear deal cannot solely depend on Iran’s
compliance with the agreement, but also whether
Iran’s other policies challenge U.S. national
interests. It’s a more honest argument compared
to the slogans Netanyahu has used in the past.
But it is also a line that fundamentally
contradicts Netanyahu’s central message of the
past decades: That Iran’s nuclear program
constitutes an existential threat to Israel.
The Trump
administration has desperately sought a pretext
to quit the nuclear deal and shed the limits the
deal imposed on the U.S.’s ability to pursue
aggressive policies against Iran ― even if it
also sheds the limits the deal imposed on Iran’s
nuclear activities. The latest idea is to use
the Congressional certification ― due every 90
days ― where the president has to report to
Congress on whether Iran is complying with the
deal or not. But unlike the reports by the
International Atomic Energy Agency ― who is
tasked to oversee the implementation of the
nuclear deal ― the president’s report to
Congress goes beyond the nuclear issue: Trump
must also report whether the suspension of
sanctions against Iran is “appropriate and
proportionate to the measures taken by Iran and
vital to U.S. national security interests.”
The Trump plan ― as
telegraphed by several administration officials
― is to certify that Iran is in compliance with
the deal (Trump has no leg to stand on to claim
otherwise ― both the IAEA and the U.S.
intelligence services have
consistently reported that Tehran is living up
to its obligations),
but to argue that the deal and its sanctions
relief nevertheless is unjustified due to Iran’s
policies in the region that are anathema to U.S.
national security interests.
In her by now
infamous presentation
at AEI ―
riddled with falsehoods and lies
― Ambassador Nikki Haley argued that the nuclear
deal was “designed to be too big to fail” and
that an artificial line was drawn “between the
Iranian regime’s nuclear development and the
rest of its lawless behavior.” The push to keep
the deal, Haley argued, was put above all other
concerns about Iran’s policies. As such, the
deal is constraining America’s ability to act
aggressively against Iran, much to the chagrin
of hawks such as Haley and her neoconservative
allies at AEI.
But it is
not President Barack Obama, or the proponents of
the deal for that matter, that Haley and Trump
should blame for the nuclear deal not addressing
non-nuclear issues. It’s Prime Minister
Netanyahu.
As I document in my
new book
Losing an Enemy - Obama, Iran and the Triumph of
Diplomacy,
Netanyahu has argued ever since the mid-1990s
that Iran’s nuclear program and its enrichment
of uranium constituted
an existential threat to Israel.
During the George W. Bush administration, he
repeatedly warned that “It’s
1938 and Iran is Germany.”
The implication being that the U.S. must attack
Iran before Tehran invades the West. No Israeli
leader pushed this line harder than Bibi.
Netanyahu’s argument that Iran was on the
verge of being able to destroy Israel served
to achieve several objectives. First, an
existential threat combined with the claim
that the Iranians were irrational and
suicidal could ensure that preemptive
military action needed to be taken. After
all, an irrational, suicidal entity cannot
be negotiated with it.
Secondly, existential issues take precedence
over all other matters. With the nuclear
program defined as an existential threat, it
superseded all other concerns ― and
opportunities ― the U.S. had with Iran. In
case Israel would fail to prevent
negotiations from taking place, defining the
nuclear issue as an existential threat
ensured that there could be no bargaining
between the nuclear question and other
regional matters. Ideally, it would ensure
that the U.S. would not even negotiate with
Iran over non-nuclear issues, but rather
only focus on Iran’s atomic program.
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And that is
exactly what happened. Largely due to
pressure from Israel and Saudi Arabia, the
U.S. adopted the position that the
negotiations would solely address Iran’s
nuclear activities. (the Iranians originally
insisted that the agenda would have to
include a whole set of issues, including
global warming). From Netanyahu’s
perspective, the sole focus on the nuclear
issue would ensure that the talks would
fail. “Leaders in the region were saying to
me personally, and to the president,
President Obama, you should bomb these
guys,” then-Secretary
of State Kerry recently
commented.
“That’s the only way to resolve this issue.”
For
the Obama administration, the opposite held
true: In order to ensure unity between the
countries negotiating with Iran, it was
critical to only focus on the matter they
all agreed on: The need to prevent Iran from
developing a nuclear weapons option. Had the
agenda been expanded to include regional
questions such as Syria, Tehran could split
the major powers as Russia and China were
closer to Iran on that question than to
Washington.
Now,
Washington’s hawks and Netanyahu are
complaining about the nuclear deal’s
singular focus on Iran’s nuclear activities.
The real threat is Iran’s regional
“expansion,” they suddenly claim. Allowing
the nuclear deal to restrain the U.S. from
confronting Tehran in the region, or
allowing sanctions relief to proceed under
these circumstances, would not serve U.S.
national security interests, the Trump
administration argues.
It is
not invalid to point out that the sanctions
relief put an end to more than three decades
of U.S. efforts to completely isolate and
contain Iran. That argument, however, cannot
be combined with the central assertion made
by Netanyahu and Washington hawks in the
past: That Iran’s nuclear program
constitutes an existential threat.
If the
hawks truly believed in that contention,
they would not complain about the nuclear
deal’s singular focus on this existential
threat. They would celebrate it.
But in
their effort to kill the deal, they are
twisting and turning, contradicting the very
premise that ensured that Iran’s nuclear
program would top the U.S.’s and the
international community’s security agenda
for the first fifteen years of this century.
Nevertheless, whatever line Netanyahu uses
to compel Trump to quit the nuclear deal,
the end result is inescapable: Killing the
deal will put the U.S. back on a path to war
with Iran. Which is exactly what Netanyahu
has sought for the past twenty-five years.
With
Trump in the White House, he finally has a
receptive ear for his shifting and
contradictory arguments to push the U.S.
into yet another war in the Middle East.
Trita
Parsi is President of the
National Iranian American
Council
and author of
Losing an Enemy - Obama,
Iran and the Triumph of Diplomacy.
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