This Is How
Russia and the United States are Cooperating in Syria
By Federico
Pieraccini
February 03, 2017
"Information
Clearing House"
- "SCF"
-
Since Donald Trump became President of
the United States, we have been witnessing some
interesting developments in Syria. We have only
fragmentary and seemingly unconnected information at
this time, but, as one puts the pieces of the puzzle
together, it appears likely that some kind of deeper
level of coordination between the US and Russia exists.
While it cannot be said with certainty, Trump and Putin
have probably agreed to cooperate in the fight against
Daesh in Syria without making it publicly known. These
represent only intentions, especially after the
misunderstanding in recent days about joint strikes
between Moscow and Washington against Daesh in Syria.
The following list is intended to
facilitate an understanding of a tentative hypothesis
that posits secret coordination between the US and
Russia.
Let us start with some points concerning
recent months.
1. Russia has fought terrorism in Syria
for nearly two years, repeatedly requesting the US to
cooperate in this effort, at least in terms of sharing
sensitive information on intelligence.
2. Trump, during the election campaign,
always said he would be willing to work
with Moscow to fight terrorism in Syria, focusing on
Daesh as the number one priority.
3. Once becoming president, Trump reiterated
this position without backtracking, as many had
anticipated.
4. Over the past ten days (21st, 23rd and 31st January
2017) the Russian Federation has conducted at least two
aviation missions involving as many as six Tu-22M3
strategic bombers over the village of Deir ez-Zor,
representing an important display of firepower.
5. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MOD)
reported that they targeted
structures and facilities used for making weapons in
addition to the command centers and arms depots of
Daesh.
6. The areas around Deir ez-Zor have been
under Daesh control for a very
long time.
Now let us look at some recent but rather
obscure events that have never been fully clarified.
7. The most cryptic news coming out of
Syria usually involves areas around Deir ez-Zor and
Palmyra, which has included the cowardly
bombing by the international coalition of the Syrian
Army on September 17, 2016, and also in recent weeks, as
well as the extraordinary crossing of hundreds of Daesh
members from Mosul to Deir ez-Zor that did not provoke any
air intervention from the international coalition.
8. Given the above, it is likely that the
American deep state (CIA and State Department) is in contact
with Daesh, coordinating the repeated attacks on the
Syrian state.
Some considerations on the Russian
operations in Syria, in addition to the earlier
observations.
9. From experience, thanks to the story
of the heroic sacrifice of Alexander
Prokhorenko, we know that Russian aviation relies on
Russian special forces (acting as spotters) for bombings
in such locations as Palmyra and Deir ez-Zor, relying on
such soldiers to identify and confirm targets on the
ground that are often disguised as civilian structures
(e.g., weapons-manufacturing plants and arms depots).
But we also know how dangerous and difficult it is for
spotters to infiltrate such areas.
10. Russian
strategic bombers have employed «dumb» bombs that do
not require laser-guided targeting systems. Evidently
Russians have been confident in their ordnance hitting
their targets.
11. Given points (1), (6), (9), (10) and
the repeated attacks in recent days of strategic
bombers, it is evident that the Russian ministry of
defence has acquired new, previously unknown
intelligence information regarding ground targets in the
area of Deir ez-Zor that was. Moscow has been
requesting from Washington the sharing of intelligence
information for years now. The Obama administration has
consistently refused to cooperate. Trump has always
offered the opposite.
In addition, a note on recent news of
joint efforts between the American and the Russian air
forces in Syria.
12. The episode involving
the joint bombing conducted by the Russians and
Americans (but denied by sources in the international
coalition) has taken on a particular significance when
Trump's spokesman, Sean Spicer, declined to comment on
the story, perhaps indicating possible differences of
opinion between the Trump administration and members of
the US-led international coalition.
Finally, two logical deductions,
consistent with those reported previously.
13. It is very likely that Moscow
received from American sources, thanks to the points
(7) and (8), the coordinates of Daesh in Deir ez-Zor.
This would also explain the issues covered (4), (9) and
(10).
14. The Russian MOD has not released
information on how
they acquired the information that led to the
bombing of the past days.
Conclusions.
In summary, we can draw a picture of
events in recent days in Syria, assuming a hidden
coordination between Moscow and Washington.
We know, for example, that Trump does not
intend to overthrow the Assad government. With no need
for ground troops (AKA terrorists), the newly
established administration does not intend to finance or
arm «moderate rebels», as was repeatedly stated by the
new president in the election campaign.
Equally likely is that as a result of the
US-Russian joint mission in Syria against Daesh,
confirmed by the Russian Ministry of Defence and
repeated by RT and not denied by Spicer (12),
the US deep state (especially the Republican Party, the
mainstream media and intelligence communities at high
levels) has strongly protested against this, maintaining
the traditional hostility towards Moscow.
It is therefore likely that the Trump
administration has gone from active support (joint
missions) to hidden coordination with Moscow to avoid
further friction with some of the components of the
so-called ‘deep state'.
To confirm this hypothesis, strategic
bombers have struck with unguided bombs targets that
were previously unknown, probably thanks to newly
acquired intelligence (otherwise it is not clear why
these targets would have not been previously engaged in
such missions given the critical situation in Deir
ez-Zor for the Syrian Arab Army).
Regarding paragraphs (6), (7) and (8), it
is easy to understand why it is likely that this kind of
information is in the possession of Washington. This is
also one of the reasons why the previous administration
has consistently refused to cooperate with Moscow. The
American deep state has deep, hidden links with
terrorism in Syria, and the US intelligence community
has every intention of maintaining these secrets.
In conclusion, the call scheduled between
Trump and Putin on Saturday, January 28 is another
indication of an agreement that is currently developing
without much publicity to combat terrorism in Syria.
Keeping an eye on the situation in Syria and the talks
between the US and Russia over the coming days, it will
become easier to evaluate the accuracy of this tentative
hypothesis.
The views
expressed in this article are solely those of the author
and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of
Information Clearing House. |