Inquiry Points
Toward a Pentagon Plot to Subvert Obama’s Syria Policy
By Gareth Porter
January 06, 2017 "Information
Clearing House"
- "Truth
Dig" -
Airstrikes by the United States
and its allies against two Syrian army positions Sept.
17 killed at least 62 Syrian troops and wounded dozens
more. The attack was quickly treated as a non-story by
the U.S. news media; U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM)
claimed the strikes were carried out in the mistaken
belief that Islamic State forces were being targeted,
and the story disappeared.
The
circumstances surrounding the attack, however, suggested
it may have been deliberate, its purpose being to
sabotage President Obama’s policy of coordinating with
Russia against Islamic State and Nusra Front forces in
Syria as part of a U.S.-Russian cease-fire agreement.
Normally the
U.S. military can cover up illegal operations and
mistakes with a pro forma military investigation that
publicly clears those responsible. But the air attack on
Syrian troops also involved three foreign allies in the
anti-Islamic State campaign named Operation Inherent
Resolve: the United Kingdom, Denmark and Australia. So,
the Pentagon had to agree to bring a general from one of
those allies into the investigation as a co-author of
the report. Consequently,
the summary of the investigation released by CENTCOM
on Nov. 29 reveals far more than the Pentagon and
CENTCOM brass would have desired.
Thanks to that
heavily redacted report, we now have detailed evidence
that the commander of CENTCOM’s Air Force component
attacked the Syrian army deliberately.
The Motives
Behind a Pentagon Scheme
Secretary of
Defense Ashton Carter and the military establishment had
a compelling motive in the attack of Sept. 17—namely,
interest in maintaining the narrative of a “new Cold
War” with Russia, which is crucial to supporting and
expanding the budgets of their institutions. When
negotiations on a comprehensive cease-fire agreement
with Russia, including provisions for U.S.-Russian
cooperation on air operations against Islamic State and
Nusra Front, appeared to gain traction last spring, the
Pentagon began making leaks to the news media about its
opposition to the Obama policy. Those receiving the
leaks included neoconservative hawk
Josh Rogin, who had just become a columnist at The
Washington Post.
After Secretary
of State John Kerry struck an agreement Sept. 9 that
contained a provision to set up a “Joint Integration
Center” (JIC) for U.S.-Russian cooperation in targeting,
the Pentagon sought to reverse it.
Carter grilled Kerry for hours in an effort to force
him to retreat from that provision, according to The New
York Times.
Lobbying
against the JIC continued the following week after Obama
approved the full agreement. When the commander of the
Central Command’s Air Force component, Lt. Gen. Jeffrey
L. Harrigan, was asked about the JIC at a press briefing
Sept. 13, he seemed to suggest that opponents of the
provision were still hoping to avoid cooperating with
the Russians on targeting. He told reporters that his
readiness to join such a joint operation was “going to
depend on what the plan ends up being.”
But the
Pentagon also had another motive for hitting Syrian
troops in Deir Ezzor. On June 16, Russian planes
attacked a remote outpost of a CIA-supported armed
group, called the New Syrian Army, in Deir Ezzor
province near the confluence of Iraq, Syria and Jordan.
The Pentagon demanded an explanation for the attack but
never got it.
For senior
leaders of the Pentagon and others in the military, a
strike against Syrian army positions in Deir Ezzor would
not only offer the prospect of avoiding the threat of
cooperating with Russia militarily, it would also be
payback for what many believed was a Russian poke in the
U.S. eye.
The Evidence
in the Investigation Report
On Sept. 16,
Gen. Harrigan, who also headed the Combined Air
Operations Center (CAOC) at al-Udeid airbase in Qatar,
set in motion the planning for the attack on the two
Syrian army positions. The process began,
according to the investigation report, on Sept. 16,
when Harrigan’s command identified two fighting
positions near the Deir Ezzor airport as belonging to
Islamic State, based on drone images showing that the
personnel there were not wearing uniform military garb
and, supposedly, displayed no flags.
But, as a
former intelligence analyst told me, that was not a
legitimate basis for a positive identification of the
sites as Islamic State-controlled because Syrian army
troops in the field frequently wear a wide range of
uniforms and civilian clothing.
The report
contains the incriminating revelation that the
authorities at CAOC had plenty of intelligence warning
that its identification was flat wrong. Before the
strike, the regional station of the Distributed Common
Ground System, which is the Air Force’s primary
intelligence organ for interpreting data from aerial
surveillance, contested the original identification of
the units, sending its own assessment that they could
not possibly be Islamic State. Another pre-strike
intelligence report, moreover, pointed to what appeared
to be a flag at one of the two sites. And a map of the
area that was available to intelligence analysts at CAOC
clearly showed that the sites were occupied by the
Syrian army. Harrigan and his command apparently
claimed, implausibly, that they were unaware of any of
this information.
Further
evidence that Harrigan meant to strike Syrian army
targets was the haste with which the strike was carried
out, the day after the initial intelligence assessment
was made. The investigation summary acknowledges that
the decision to go ahead with a strike so soon after the
target had been initially assessed was a violation of
Air Force regulations.
It had started
out as a “deliberate target development” process—one
that did not require an immediate decision and could
therefore allow for a more careful analysis of
intelligence. That was because the targets were clearly
fixed ground positions, so there was no need for an
immediate strike. Nevertheless, the decision was made to
change it to a “dynamic targeting process,” normally
reserved for situations in which the target is moving,
to justify an immediate strike on Sept. 17.
No one in
Harrigan’s command, including the commander himself,
would acknowledge having made that decision. That would
have been a tacit admission that the attack was far more
than an innocent mistake.
The Deir Ezzor
strike appears to have been timed to provoke a breakdown
of the cease-fire before the JIC could be formed, which
was originally to be after seven days of effective
truce—meaning Sept. 19. Obama added a requirement for
the completion of humanitarian shipments from the
Turkish border, but the opponents of the JIC could not
count on the Syrian government continuing to hold up the
truck convoys. That meant that Harrigan would need to
move urgently to carry out the strike.
Perhaps the
single most damaging piece of evidence that the strike
was knowingly targeting Syrian army bases is the fact
that Harrigan’s command sent the Russians very specific
misleading information on the targets of the operation.
It informed its Russian contact under the deconfliction
agreement that the two targets were nine kilometers
south of Deir Ezzor airfield, but in fact they were only
three and six kilometers away, respectively, according
to the summary. Accurate information about the locations
would have set off alarm bells among the Russians,
because they would have known immediately that Syrian
army bases were being targeted, as the U.S. co-author of
the investigation report, Gen. Richard Coe, acknowledged
to reporters.
‘Who is in
charge in Washington?’
Gen. Harrigan’s
strike worked like a charm in terms of the interests of
those behind it. The hope of provoking a Syrian-Russian
decision to end the cease-fire and thus the plan for the
JIC was apparently based on the assumption that it would
be perceived by both Russians and Syrians as evidence
that Obama was not in control of U.S. policy and
therefore could not be trusted as a partner in managing
the conflict. That assumption proved correct. When
Russia’s ambassador to the United Nations, Vitaly
Churkin, spoke to reporters at a press briefing outside
a U.N. Security Council emergency meeting on the U.S.
attack on Syrian troops, he asked rhetorically, “Who is
in charge in Washington? The White House or the
Pentagon?”
Seemingly no
longer convinced that Obama was in control of his own
military in Syria, Russian President Vladimir Putin
pulled the plug on his U.S. strategy. Two days after the
attacks, Syria announced, with obvious Russian support,
that the cease-fire was no longer in effect.
The
political-diplomatic consequences for Syrians and for
the United States, however, were severe. The Russian and
Syrian air forces began a campaign of heavy airstrikes
in Aleppo that became the single focus of media
attention on Syria. In mid-December, Secretary of State
Kerry
recalled in an interview with The Boston Globe that
he had had an agreement with the Russians that would
have given the United States “a veto over their flights.
…” He lamented that “you’d have a different situation
there now if we’d been able to do that.”
But it didn’t
happen, Kerry noted, because “we had people in our
government who were bitterly opposed to doing that.”
What he didn’t say was that those people had the power
and the audacity to frustrate the will of the president
of the United States.
Gareth Porter is an independent investigative journalist
and winner of the 2012 Gellhorn Prize for journalism. He
is the author of the newly published “Manufactured
Crisis: The Untold Story of the Iran Nuclear Scare.”
The views
expressed in this article are the author's own and do
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